7/6 Stats and Plays

Randercity

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So so day yesterday, 9-6 overall, but 3-4 on "official" plays, losing BOTH my doubles, so don't be expecting to see any of those with the first day of INTERLEAGUE starting up again...

Mets at YANKEES

YANKEES are on a roll, winning their last 8 and 9 of 10. They've gone 12-8 vs LH Starters, are 9-4 on Fridays, 3-0 after 5 or more victories, 28-10 against teams w/losing records, and are 6-2 vs METS last 3 years. PETITE is 5-3 at home with 2.44 ERA, and TEAM is 4-1 in last five with ERA of 2.93.

METS are 4-6 overall in last 10, 5-5 in last 10 road starts, 10-10 in last 20. Mets are 18-27 overall on the road, 6-10 vs LH starters, 16-22 against teams with winning record, and 5-8 on Fridays. LIETER is 3-4 with 2.91 ERA in his career vs YANKEES, but is only 2-5 on the road this year with 4.31 ERA, and 1-4 in last five overall despite a fine 2.73 ERA.

Obviously the METS do not give LIETER much support or his record would be much better than 4-7 considering his 3.47 ERA. They've averaged 3.625 rpg in his 8 road starts. The YANKS on the other hand have supported PETITE much better at home, giving him 5.75 rpg on average to work with.

There are strong trends favoring an UNDER play on this game with YANKS last 3 home games all going UNDER, METS 6-1-1 UNDER in last 8 road starts, etc.... but with no HP UMP info, and wind blowing out to left, I'll pass on total. Add in the DH for the METS, and it's a definite no play. With a possibly lame PIAZZA reduced to DH'ing for the METS, I see a definite advantage for YANKEES tonite. Laying 160 is not always fun, but in this case, I feel it's worthy.

YANKEES -160
 

Randercity

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Cubs at DETROIT

I'm playing the TIGERS, but not gonna go into detail as JT SNEAKS summed it up in his post, check it out for details.

DETROIT +120

St. Louis at CLEVELAND

DITTO on JT's post... can't pass up the INDIANS at home as a dog against ANYONE but maybe PEDRO. Alomar may be out, but as JT stated, McGuire retirement talk could have their minds elsewhere.

CLEVELAND EVEN

Montreal at TORONTO

Like JT, I'm passing. BUT I'm looking to play the OVER in this one. The HP UMP Info is usually available before game time, and with the possible late nite/early am arrival of JAYS, I see a good chance for an EXPO win and the game to go OVER. Will pass for now.

PASS for now
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Phila at BALTIMORE

PHIL is 14-3 when DAAL starts, 39-28 vs RH starters, 23-13 vs teams with losing record, and 8-1 when DAAL starts on the road.

BALT is 1-7 in their last eight home games, 2-9 in the last 11 starts by ROBERTS, 7-22 against teams with winning record, and only 9-14 vs LH starters.

The OVER has cashed in the last 3 meetings betweens these two, PHIL is 7-1-1 OVER in their last nine on the ROAD, and DAAL's last 7 have gone 6-01 OVER.

PHILA -120
and will post OVER at game time if HP UMP is not UN-favorable. Wind is blowing in slightly according to Vegas Insider.

[This message has been edited by Randercity (edited 07-06-2001).]
 

Randercity

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adding...

ARIZONA -125

Dbacks are playing great ball, and are 5-0 in ANDERSON's last 5 starts. He hasn't pitched great, but they seem to like him pitching and support him well. LH starters neutralize the LEFTY LOADED A's, and they haven't been hitting anyone lately, except one game in TEXAS. TEMPTED to play run-line here, but will settle for small price!
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TEXAS -115

Rangers went nuts on SEATTLE and have had bats going all year. NOW that HELLING is on track and pitching well, will lay small price on him against a poor HOME team in PADRES. SD did manage to win a couple in a row against COLORADO before getting shut out in last game.

Seattle at LOS ANGELES

Two ways to look at this game... take the best team in MLB record wise as a dog, with perhaps their best pitcher on the hill, OR, Go with one of the best pitchers of the past decade at a very short price at home, with a very hot team. I'm not playing anything officially, but I'm gonna probably play a small parlay on LA and UNDER and watch this one. I love BROWN's tenacity and I think he shuts down the MARINERS. FINAL: LA 3 Sea 1
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Randercity

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wow.... 10-7 for a whopping +1.9 UNITS!
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Original plays went 7-3 for +4.4 UNITS though, so hopefully that's all anyone played!!
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Must admit, got cocky and played some iffy plays for me in the late ones, and it showed. Went 3-4 to knock down my profit.

Oh well... today's a new day ALREADY!!
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