90% Public Wagers

[WildBillPicks7]

Last year I started tracking these around the 4th week of the NFL season and overall they hit at 61%, so right now I'm tracking the colleges for this week using today's numbers and %!

These plays are what the public is playing over 90%:

Kansas St
Tennessee
Penn St
Minnesota
Over 55 1/2 La Tech/ULL
Oklahoma
Over Oklahoma/Tulsa
Memphis

Usually I track these on Tuesday after lines first come out late Sunday evening then post by Wednesday, I know the games are already started for most but thought I'd share and will keep this thread active as long as I post, LOL!

GL!

:0074

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Last year I started tracking these around the 4th week of the NFL season and overall they hit at 61%, so right now I'm tracking the colleges for this week using today's numbers and %!

These plays are what the public is playing over 90%:

Kansas St
Tennessee
Penn St
Minnesota
Over 55 1/2 La Tech/ULL
Oklahoma
Over Oklahoma/Tulsa
Memphis

Usually I track these on Tuesday after lines first come out late Sunday evening then post by Wednesday, I know the games are already started for most but thought I'd share and will keep this thread active as long as I post, LOL!

GL!

:0074

Chicago Bears is the only NFL play over 90% of wagers on thus far in, GL!!

 

[tulah]

Great stuff.....
I fell for KSU:nono:

I like that I see Memphis on the list. I'm really diggin UCLA ...

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Great stuff.....
I fell for KSU:nono:

I like that I see Memphis on the list. I'm really diggin UCLA ...

FWIW, tulah, my connection in Vegas tells me Billy Walters put a big play on BYU at +4 1/2 earlier in the week and he has now played Texas +2, not sure how much he put on either play and he has a play on Memphis at +24 1/2, both those lines have moved a large (more than 2 pts) since opening numbers, also he's on OVER 50 in the Wyoming/Air Force game, it has dropped since RAS put an under play on that one - he also played Over 51 Tenn/Ark St, line moved to 58 1/2

GL tonight!!

Im' out but will be back later after the suds wear on me!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

FWIW, tulah, my connection in Vegas tells me Billy Walters put a big play on BYU at +4 1/2 earlier in the week and he has now played Texas +2, not sure how much he put on either play and he has a play on Memphis at +24 1/2, both those lines have moved a large (more than 2 pts) since opening numbers, also he's on OVER 50 in the Wyoming/Air Force game, it has dropped since RAS put an under play on that one - he also played Over 51 Tenn/Ark St, line moved to 58 1/2

GL tonight!!

Im' out but will be back later after the suds wear on me!!

Opening line on Wy/AF total was 58 1/2 dropped down to 50 now back up to 51, RAS has UNDER in this one

UCLA now only 21 pt fav

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Last year I started tracking these around the 4th week of the NFL season and overall they hit at 61%, so right now I'm tracking the colleges for this week using today's numbers and %!

These plays are what the public is playing over 90%:

Kansas St
Tennessee
Penn St
Minnesota
Over 55 1/2 La Tech/ULL
Oklahoma
Over Oklahoma/Tulsa
Memphis

Usually I track these on Tuesday after lines first come out late Sunday evening then post by Wednesday, I know the games are already started for most but thought I'd share and will keep this thread active as long as I post, LOL!

GL!

:0074

Against the opening number, these 90> betting public numbers went 5-3 ATS with K St, Tenn & Minnesota not covering.

This weeks > 90 thus far as of this afternoon are:

BYU
Marshall
USF
Ohio St
ODU
Pitt
Ga Southern
W Virginia
Mass
Georgia
Ark
Ark St
Miss St
Illinois
Idaho
Tulsa
LSU
UCLA
USC
A&M
N Ill
Nevada
Nebraska

NFL

New Orleans
Atl
TB
Over 47 1/2 NO
Over 48 ATL
Denver
Over 52 1/2 Philly


Biggest line moves - TCU -8 to -14, Utah St -11 to -14, UCLA -6 to -8, North Texas -6 to -4, Miami Dolphins +1 to -1, Dallas over 47 to 49 1/2, Over 45 Jax to 43,

GL!

 

[Corley1011]

What site do you use to get your numbers?

 

[WildBillPicks7]

What site do you use to get your numbers?

I use 3 total, but best is sports book spy, google the name as I won't post a link here under forum rules. Scores & Odds, go to Vegas odds link, is also good, the other is sports betting stats, you need to google that site, again I can't post the link, just following the rules..

GL!!

:0074

 

[Corley1011]

Yeah I use sportsbook spy. Thanks!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Against the opening number, these 90> betting public numbers went 5-3 ATS with K St, Tenn & Minnesota not covering.

This weeks > 90 thus far as of this afternoon are: as of 9/08/14

BYU LOSS
Marshall WON
USF LOSS
Ohio St WON
ODU LOSS
Pitt LOSS
Ga Southern WON
W Virginia WON
Mass WON
Georgia LOSS
Ark WON
Ark St LOSS
Miss St WON
Illinois LOSS
Idaho LOSS
Tulsa LOSS
LSU PUSH
UCLA LOSS
USC LOSS
A&M LOSS
N Ill WON
Nevada WON
Nebraska WON

NFL - PENDING

New Orleans
Atl
TB
Over 47 1/2 NO
Over 48 ATL
Denver
Over 52 1/2 Philly


Biggest line moves - TCU -8 to -14, Utah St -11 to -14, UCLA -6 to -8, North Texas -6 to -4, Miami Dolphins +1 to -1, Dallas over 47 to 49 1/2, Over 45 Jax to 43,

GL!

Green Bay ML
Arizona Cards
Seattle

Those teams in NFL dropping off 90% are:

Atlanta to 80%
Tampa to 20%
Over 47 1/2 NO/CLE to 86%

College totals have only been up since late Tuesday, and there are a ton of them at 100% currently, largest moves on totals are:

Over 65 1/2 BG/Indiana to 69 1/2 OVER
Over 60 Ga So/GT to 57 OVER
Over 57 Ark St/Miami-F to 54 OVER
Over 56 1/2 ULL/Miss to 58 1/2 :SIB OVER
Over 63 1/2 WM/Idaho to 59 1/2 OVER
Over 57 S Miss/Ala to 54 1/2 to 55 OVER
Over 62 1/2 NM St/UTEP to 60 OVER
Over 52 1/2 UCLA/Tex to 49 1/2 UNDER
Over 52 1/2 N Ill/UNLV to 55 OVER
Over 65 1/2 Nev/AZ to 63 1/2 UNDER

:0008

 

[Musca]

I think I am dense...

I think I am dense...

You are guys are playing against the 90% public backing? Or are you playing with it? Just trying to see exactly what I am looking at... there are A LOT of games be thrown around here.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

You are guys are playing against the 90% public backing? Or are you playing with it? Just trying to see exactly what I am looking at... there are A LOT of games be thrown around here.

These are not plays Musca. I posted who the public $$ is on from Monday and from Wednesday and only track them against the closing line on how they fared for the week. For example, if a team opened as a 16 fav and the closing line was 18 and they won and covered by more than 18 then it's a WIN, if they fail to cover the closing line it would be a LOSS.

That's all!

GL!!

 

[Musca]

but in your record keeping

but in your record keeping

You are tracking wins when the public money wins and losses when the public backing loses.. correct?

 

[WildBillPicks7]

You are tracking wins when the public money wins and losses when the public backing loses.. correct?

I go by the closing line of the game to count a "W" or "L".

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Green Bay ML
Arizona Cards
Seattle

Those teams in NFL dropping off 90% are:

Atlanta to 80%
Tampa to 20%
Over 47 1/2 NO/CLE to 86%

College totals have only been up since late Tuesday, and there are a ton of them at 100% currently, largest moves on totals are:

Over 65 1/2 BG/Indiana to 69 1/2 OVER
Over 60 Ga So/GT to 57 OVER
Over 57 Ark St/Miami-F to 54 OVER
Over 56 1/2 ULL/Miss to 58 1/2 :SIB OVER
Over 63 1/2 WM/Idaho to 59 1/2 OVER
Over 57 S Miss/Ala to 54 1/2 to 55 OVER
Over 62 1/2 NM St/UTEP to 60 OVER
Over 52 1/2 UCLA/Tex to 49 1/2 UNDER
Over 52 1/2 N Ill/UNLV to 55 OVER
Over 65 1/2 Nev/AZ to 63 1/2 UNDER

:0008

Early public money thru Wednesday after totals were posted in Vegas go 10-12-1 on sides and 6-2 over on totals. 16-14-1, slightly plus for the public on those.

Largest line move was TCU from -8 to -16! :SIB

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Early public money thru Wednesday after totals were posted in Vegas go 10-12-1 on sides and 6-2 over on totals. 16-14-1, slightly plus for the public on those.

Largest line move was TCU from -8 to -16! :SIB

NFL goes 2-1, GB ML hits and AZ wins/covers, Seattle loses!!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Week of Sept 18-22

Week of Sept 18-22

Not as many over >90 public money thru today at 4 PM EST. Totals for colleges will be up later this evening, so this is what I have so far, these are vs the Opening line, you can find that in MJs link at the top of the page under Scores/Lines.

Ohio U LOSS
Wyoming LOSS
Colorado PUSH
A&M WON
Oregon LOSS
Ark State WON
California WON
Under Toledo WON
Over Army LOSS
Under Minn WON
Under Memphis WON
Over Texas A&M WON
Over Rutgers WON
Under Alabama LOSS
Over Oregon LOSS
Under BYU LOSS
Over San Diego St LOSS
Over Oklahoma WON

NFL

Dallas
Over Green Bay
Indy
San Fran

GL!!

I will post totals on Colleges after Wednesday.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Not as many over >90 public money thru today at 4 PM EST. Totals for colleges will be up later this evening, so this is what I have so far, these are vs the Opening line, you can find that in MJs link at the top of the page under Scores/Lines.

Ohio U
Wyoming
Colorado
A&M
Oregon
Ark State
California


NFL

Dallas
Over Green Bay
Indy
San Fran

GL!!

I will post totals on Colleges after Wednesday.

Here are the CFB Totals with the trend to where the money is on them over 90%

Under Toledo
Over Army
Under Minn
Under Memphis
Over Texas A&M
Over Rutgers
Under Alabama
Over Oregon
Under BYU
Over San Diego St
Over Oklahoma

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Not as many over >90 public money thru today at 4 PM EST. Totals for colleges will be up later this evening, so this is what I have so far, these are vs the Opening line, you can find that in MJs link at the top of the page under Scores/Lines.

Ohio U LOSS
Wyoming LOSS
Colorado PUSH
A&M WON
Oregon LOSS
Ark State WON
California WON
Under Toledo WON
Over Army LOSS
Under Minn WON
Under Memphis WON
Over Texas A&M WON
Over Rutgers WON
Under Alabama LOSS
Over Oregon LOSS
Under BYU LOSS
Over San Diego St LOSS
Over Oklahoma WON

NFL

Dallas
Over Green Bay
Indy
San Fran

GL!!

I will post totals on Colleges after Wednesday.

Looks like 9-8-1 on College sides & totals the Public won on for small profit at 11/10, +.20 units

NFL still pending. No totals made the 90% or higher threshold other than OVER GB/DET.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

NFL went 3-0-1 LW!!

Sorry for the late update, these Public numbers were from Tuesday, Sept 30!!

NFL

Atlanta over 49
New Orleans over 49
Houston Over 46
Buffalo Over 44
Pittsburgh over 45 1/2
Jets Over 43 1/2

CFB

Over 74 1/2 AZ/Oregon (LOSER)
Under 47 Syr/LvilleWON
Under 56 1/2 S D St/Fresno WON, CL 59????
Under 51 1/2 BYU LOSS
ECU -38 1/2
Cen Michigan -5
W Virginia -23 1/2
N Illini -22 1/2
S Alabama -5
Rice -6
Oklahoma -5
Ark St -9 1/2
Ga Southern -16 1/2
San Jose -10 1/2

GL!!