90% Public Wagers
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
Bill, I do not understand the Oklahoma being the public favor? the line went from 6.5 to 5 :shrug:
Maybe I do not know how it all works :0008
Maybe I do not know how it all works :0008
- Apr 10, 2014
- 1,769
- 29
- 0
Sportsspy and scores & odds under Vegas odds. I get these lines when the totals come out and they are better to track at that time to get the initial money moves.
Betone, no problem. These lines are from Wednesday once the totals were released Tuesday evening. There were quite a few public favs over 90% where the lines do not move in their favor, Oklahoma is the biggest one, Oregon/AZ over was the other from 74 1/2 to 84 then back down to 81.
GL!!
Hope this info helps!!
I'd see where the line is first before playing any opposite. Since tracking these plays in both CFB & NFL, public 90% from Wednesday when these lines are posted and compared to the closing line, the over 90% listed are slightly over 55% on the year, that's $$$ so far. They got hot last year after week 6 of the NFL!
GL!!
CFB goes 7-7, minus the juice.
NFL pending today!!
Again, these are vs the closing numbers. Week 6 of LY starting in the NFL is when this 90% started doing well. Now they are 8 games above 500 in CFB for the season, still plus $$.
Last edited:
Week 10/9 - 10/13
Week 10/9 - 10/13
CFB went 7-7, NFL 1-4-1 last wk.
These lines today are with no totals yet posted by Vegas, those will be out late tonight.
Here are the college sides & NFL 90% or better public $$ sides/totals.
Wisconsin -23 moved -25
W Virginia -4 1/2 moved -4
Oklahoma St -20
Central Michigan +10 1/2
Ga Southern -20 1/2 moved -21
Kentucky -20 moved -20 1/2
NFL
Denver -7 moved -8
Over 45 Indy/Hou moved 46
Over 51 Philly/NYG moved 51 1/2
GL!!
Week 10/9 - 10/13
CFB went 7-7, NFL 1-4-1 last wk.
These lines today are with no totals yet posted by Vegas, those will be out late tonight.
Here are the college sides & NFL 90% or better public $$ sides/totals.
Wisconsin -23 moved -25
W Virginia -4 1/2 moved -4
Oklahoma St -20
Central Michigan +10 1/2
Ga Southern -20 1/2 moved -21
Kentucky -20 moved -20 1/2
NFL
Denver -7 moved -8
Over 45 Indy/Hou moved 46
Over 51 Philly/NYG moved 51 1/2
GL!!
I'm more than familiar with what you are doing, and agree with it. I'm just not sure we can really trust the information. The old adage of it's free, so it's probably not concrete applies imo. Plus I wouldn't trust anything coming from Pregame. Heck they can't even get their records right.
I too love fading the public, but I'm skeptical we are getting correct percentages. Covers as well. I use them as a guide but again, don't trust they are completely accurate.
To add to this, the consensus tab at the top of this forum takes you to BM's consensus, where they are only claiming 82% of bets on Wisky. And only 57.78% of the bets on covers say Wisky. That's why i'm always skeptical of these sites giving out the info
I'm not always anti-public, I never follow, I use statisical info and compare to where the lines move early and late (there goes one of my cappin secrets)..........Covers typically take the picks from their posters on their web page and have a 10% breakdown then have a % of how many on a side and how many on a total. I don't put any stock into that, but the info that Scores/Odds, Pregame and Covers give out can help aid those cappers who want all the information they can get before deciding on a final play, but the best is knowing your own set of numbers, gut instinct and knowing the personnel/coaching, how teams perform vs their schedules current and possibly last couple of years, depending on how long key personnel of a college team (QB, WR, RB, OL, DL) have been together - head coach too and the same with NFL, how long key players together, tendencies and strengths/weaknesses vs their opponents as well.
Thanks for sharing!!
:0008
Yea I get that, and I do quite a bit myself, outside of gut instincts that usually only come into play about 7 bourbon's deep and not having the brain to say hey 7 bourbon's deep lets not go on gut. And yes covers is by far the worst imo. I was just giving my points, i'm new to posting but have read this forum for more than a year figured I'd jump in on things I find interesting.
DENVER gets the BDC!! All is left is the total in Philly/Giants game!!
:0067:0070:0025:00x32:00x11
NFL 2-1, CFB 3-3.
Early wk this week with Tuesday game, Sun Belt Conference to give us even more action for the week!! :facepalm:
Will have 90> up tomorrow afternoon for sides. Totals on Wednesday.
CFB sides with over 90% of money & NFL sides/totals. I'll have college totals over 90% up tomorrow.
NFL No sides? WOW
Over 44 STL
Over 48 1/2 Carolina, now 49
Over 49 1/2 ATL
CFB sides -
Marshall -21 1/2
Syracuse -3 1/2
Ga Tech -1 1/2, now -3
U Mass -12 1/2, now -16 1/2
BG -3 1/2, now -2 1/2
Wyoming pk, now +2, 98% on Wyoming
USF pk, now -2
Nevada +11, now +10
Washington +20 1/2, now +21
Michigan St -15, now -14
W Kentucky -3 1/2, now -6 1/2
Kentucky +11 1/2, now +9
Again, college totals up tomorrow!!
NFL No sides? WOW
Over 44 STL
Over 48 1/2 Carolina, now 49
Over 49 1/2 ATL
CFB sides -
Marshall -21 1/2
Syracuse -3 1/2
Ga Tech -1 1/2, now -3
U Mass -12 1/2, now -16 1/2
BG -3 1/2, now -2 1/2
Wyoming pk, now +2, 98% on Wyoming
USF pk, now -2
Nevada +11, now +10
Washington +20 1/2, now +21
Michigan St -15, now -14
W Kentucky -3 1/2, now -6 1/2
Kentucky +11 1/2, now +9
Again, college totals up tomorrow!!
This is insane. After doing this for almost 7 weeks now, I've never seen so many totals by mid afternoon on Wednesday where they are currently with the betting public at over 90% on either the OVER or UNDER.
Here they are - all lines expected to move greatly by Friday/Saturday!!
Over 61 1/2 USC/COL
Over 60 Mich St, now 58
Over 59 K St/OK
Over 67 1/2 NM State
Over 56 Ga St
Over 59 Marshall, now 61
Under 43 Syr/WF, now 44
Under 58 N Ill
Over 50 Purdue
Under 57 MD/Iowa
Over 67 1/2 GT/UNC, now 69
Under 61 1/2 EMU/U Mass
Under 55 Ball St
Over 56 1/2 AF
Over 57 1/2 S Miss
Over 57 1/2 SMU/Cincy
Under 52 Army
Under 67 1/2 Oregon/Washington
Over 76 UCLA/CAL
Under 57 1/2 Rutgers/Ohio St, now 58
Under 65 W Kentucky
Over 52 LSU/Kentucky
Over 48 Tenn/Miss, now 47
Under 49 1/2 FLA/MIZZOU
Over 56 Kansas
Over 45 1/2 UCF
Over 51 KY/LSU, now 52
GL!!
Ga Tech went from -1 1/2 to -3 now +2 vs UNC tonight, FYI!!
Over 61 1/2 USC/COL WINNER
Over 60 Mich St, now 58, ended 57 WINNER
Over 59 K St/OK WINNER
Over 67 1/2 NM State, up to 69, now down to 67 1/2 LOSER
Over 56 Ga St PUSH
Over 59 Marshall, now 61 ended 54 1/2? WINNER
Under 43 Syr/WF, now 44 WINNER
Under 58 N Ill, close 54 LOSER
Over 50 Purdue WINNER
Under 57 MD/Iowa LOSER
Over 67 1/2 GT/UNC, now 69 WINNER
Under 61 1/2 EMU/U Mass WINNER
Under 55 Ball St LOSER
Over 56 1/2 AF WINNER
Over 57 1/2 S Miss LOSER
Over 57 1/2 SMU/Cincy LOSER
Under 52 Army LOSER
Under 67 1/2 Oregon/Washington, CL 64 1/2 LOSER
Over 76 UCLA/CAL LOSER
Under 57 1/2 Rutgers/Ohio St, now 58 LOSER
Under 65 W Kentucky LOSER
Over 52 LSU/Kentucky LOSER
Over 48 Tenn/Miss, now 47 LOSER
Under 49 1/2 FLA/MIZZOU LOSER
Over 56 Kansas LOSER
Over 45 1/2 UCF, dropped to 43, back up to 44 close LLOSER
:0corn
Last edited:
With NFL still pending, early% on money over 90% thru Wed on totals and Tues on sides, public went 15 wins, 21 losses and 1 push with the closing numbers or numbers just before kickoff.
Remember, these are not consensus picks, they are % of money bet.
Thanks!!
I will not track these next week so I can put 100% effort into my cappin, cuz I foggen need to!!
:142smilie
