Here are my ten losses to date.
Regular play (7)
Filtered (2)
I-league (1)
Regular Play
Seattle 4/9
4/12 home
4/15 home
4/20 road
4/22 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?17.88
Tampa Bay 4/19
4/23 home
4/24 home
4/25 home
4/26 home
hit on gm 6
units lost ?17.78
Oakland 4/20
4/24 home
4/27 road
4/28 road
5/01 road
hit on gm 5
units lost -25.41
Washington 4/24
4/27 home
4/29 home
4/30 home
5/01 home
hit on gm 5
units lost -18.54
Angels 4/30
5/3 home
5/4 home
5/5 home
5/6 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?17.40
Oakland 5/1
5/4 home
5/5 home
5/6 home
5/7 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?15.0
Tampa Bay 5/8
5/11 home
5/12 home
5/13 home
I-L won road
Hit on gm 5
Units lost ?7.0
Games Filtered Out
Pittsburgh 5/2
5/06 home
5/09 home
5/10 home
5/12 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?17.88
Boston 6/1
6/04 home
6/05 home
6/11 home
6/12 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?15.0
Inter-League
Seattle 6/20
6/23 road
6/24 road
6/28 road
6/29 road
hit on gm 5
units lost ?24.40
Summary: -176.21 units
units lost -home -126.4
units lost ?road ?25.41
units lost I-L road -24.4
total games 10
games hit on game 5 was 9
Conclusion:
Filtering out, or excluding, a series where the bet against team has 3 or 4 games to play at home would have saved the system 100.99 units. (excluding inter-league) or 76.58 units saved including inter-league. The system would be +72.57 or +48.17 units.
Increasing the chase to 5 games, the total loss for the system to date would be ?17.8 units.
Increasing the chase to 6 games would result in zero games lost. The system would be 178-0 +192.72 units.
I don?t plan on doing either due to the bankroll needed to sustain the chase plus the stress a prolonged chase can bring.
Check my math. Let me know if I made any mistakes.
Here are all the games played to date if I were playing a 6 game system.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...z37NO2SQ&hl=en
.
Regular play (7)
Filtered (2)
I-league (1)
Regular Play
Seattle 4/9
4/12 home
4/15 home
4/20 road
4/22 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?17.88
Tampa Bay 4/19
4/23 home
4/24 home
4/25 home
4/26 home
hit on gm 6
units lost ?17.78
Oakland 4/20
4/24 home
4/27 road
4/28 road
5/01 road
hit on gm 5
units lost -25.41
Washington 4/24
4/27 home
4/29 home
4/30 home
5/01 home
hit on gm 5
units lost -18.54
Angels 4/30
5/3 home
5/4 home
5/5 home
5/6 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?17.40
Oakland 5/1
5/4 home
5/5 home
5/6 home
5/7 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?15.0
Tampa Bay 5/8
5/11 home
5/12 home
5/13 home
I-L won road
Hit on gm 5
Units lost ?7.0
Games Filtered Out
Pittsburgh 5/2
5/06 home
5/09 home
5/10 home
5/12 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?17.88
Boston 6/1
6/04 home
6/05 home
6/11 home
6/12 home
hit on gm 5
units lost ?15.0
Inter-League
Seattle 6/20
6/23 road
6/24 road
6/28 road
6/29 road
hit on gm 5
units lost ?24.40
Summary: -176.21 units
units lost -home -126.4
units lost ?road ?25.41
units lost I-L road -24.4
total games 10
games hit on game 5 was 9
Conclusion:
Filtering out, or excluding, a series where the bet against team has 3 or 4 games to play at home would have saved the system 100.99 units. (excluding inter-league) or 76.58 units saved including inter-league. The system would be +72.57 or +48.17 units.
Increasing the chase to 5 games, the total loss for the system to date would be ?17.8 units.
Increasing the chase to 6 games would result in zero games lost. The system would be 178-0 +192.72 units.
I don?t plan on doing either due to the bankroll needed to sustain the chase plus the stress a prolonged chase can bring.
Check my math. Let me know if I made any mistakes.
Here are all the games played to date if I were playing a 6 game system.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...z37NO2SQ&hl=en
.
