A few games to watch....

[taoist]

Be careful with these games/teams this week...especially the ones at the top of the list. The majority of the tickets are on the team listed, but they show reverse line movement, so it would appear that the sharps or the larger bets are coming in on the other side.... This is just for informational purposes.... Do with it what you will....


Team....... % of bets, not $
Maryland .....85%
Boise St.......77%
GA..............77%
OK..............77%
UMASS........69%
Tex.............69%
SJ St...........66%
Army...........65%
Wisky..........64%
Kan St.........60%
Ga. So.........58%
UAB.............56%
Toledo.........55%


Good luck out there, fellas!!! :0008

 

[taoist]

Largest percentage of the tickets are on these teams.... This is from a different source, but the percentages are generally in line with the other site.


#1 Maryland 85%
#2 Memphis 83%
#3 North Carolina 83%
#4 Oklahoma State 82%
#5 UTEP 78%
#6 Boise State 77%
#7 San Diego State 77%
#8 Georgia 77%
#9 Auburn 76%
#10 Arkansas State 74%


...some of these lines have moved in the direction that would make sense; some of them are showing reverse line movement, as listed above...and some of them seem to have "line freeze" on them where despite a large percentage of the tickets being on one side, the line won't budge -- that indicates to me that there's some big bets coming in on the other side. (e.g. Auburn, which scares the shit outta me since I am on them. Maybe I will get lucky and the public will come in late and push the line to 3' or 4 and I can buy back half my bet.)

Again, this is just for information.... Do with it what you will....


Good luck out there, fellas!!! :0008

 

[taoist]

Thursday night.... Both games tonight seem to indicate some reverse line movement and look to be setting up as "Pro's vs Joe's" type games with the public on the favs and the sharps on the dogs.... :0003



I will be running with the pups tonight.... :mj23: :mj23: :mj23: :mj23:



Good luck out there, fellas!!! :0008

 

[Jimboski]

Plenty of anomalies happening to me around here

Plenty of anomalies happening to me around here

That ain't a bad thing, just very strange.

First one was cruncher's post about putting in a regular line bet for the game and finding out you got a FIRST HALF bet. Get this - I did that a couple of years ago (Dimes only allows you to change the bet ONE time in your lifetime) .... AND i DID THAT FOR THE 2ND TIME LAST WEEK!

Now, I read an interesting post by taoist. The other day I noticed cruncher's play on Auburn which was one of my TOP picks for this week. Here's the spooky stuff ("anomaly" 50 cent word in title) -> i replied to cruncher that I LUV the Auburn play, even as a straight play not necessarily a teaser. My first sentence in my reply before I hit the submit button was exactly, " Don't see why that line is so little and that ain't a good thing.". AFTER previewing it, I decided that the "and that ain't a good thing" part was a negative to all the reasons I had to pick Auburn and I ERASED it. NOW, I'd like to put it back in.00x24

Here's the reason for this post:
Late last night I took a long (15 min +) look at that game and concluded that there are two other ways of betting that game or using an "insurance" side bet. I am going to do one of them with the CURRENT line--> Aurburn - 1 1/2 FIRST HALF and/or UNDER (game) 48 1/2. I think this UNDER would fit beautifully in a nice, big, fat TEASER! :0034

taoist, there's also one more of these strange thangs going on with "us" that I'll be putting in the WACE TWACK forum if I see you were there.

Have a good weekend MJers