A lot of public fav's this week, which ones get burned?

[sds222]

I see quite a few favorites this week that have a high % of wagers on them. I am going by a popular site's numbers and I'm listing those that are near 70% or higher.
Which of these do you think has the best chance of going down in flames?

SF 307 9-4 (4-2 V) 73% -5
TB 308 4-9 (3-4 H) 27%

SEA 313 11-2 (5-2 V) 69% -7
NYG 314 5-8 (3-3 H) 31%

HOU 317 2-11 (1-5 V) 25%
IND 318 8-5 (4-2 H) 75% -5.5

PHI 323 8-5 (5-1 V) 77% -4.5
MIN 324 3-9 (3-3 H) 23%

KC 327 10-3 (5-1 V) 84% -4
OAK 328 4-9 (3-3 H) 16% 4

NO 311 10-3 (3-3 V) 75% -5.5
STL 312 5-8 (3-3 H) 25%

CIN 331 9-4 (3-4 V) 68% -2.5
PIT 332 5-8 (3-3 H) 32%

You notice only Indy is at home, this makes 6 road fav's the majority is all over, you could maybe throw in Az at Tenn as well at 65%.

I think the division games of Indy, KC, NO, and CInci would be more likely to have upsets.

You have Sea and SF going far east for early games, shit I may have to roll the dice and take every dog here and hope for 4-3 (I already have Az -2.5). I will have to look into these a little more but will surely be on some of these.

 

[sds222]

I actually like the proverbial dumpster fire(s) Giants, Vikings, and Raiders :s2:

 

[sds222]

I'm throwing the Buc's in as a strong lean, SF off a big win against a physical team, home team is 6-1 ATS in last 7 meetings. There may even be some kind of trend on teams that played Sea in previous week, not that I put a lot of stock in trends.

 

[Cortez]

Totally agree, I'm feeling some big time dog-love this week. I'll be on TB, Hou and NYG at least, maybe more.

 

[Scrapman]

NAH CORTEZ Texans never won in INDY even the year manning was out Texans lost there str8 up as a fav Besides have you noticed Colts recent boing boing boing boing every other week? W L W L W L

TB i have told my friend n boss kinda that 49ers would lose that game 100% way back in august i told him he gaffed every time but guess what the dope took them on his pool - 6 LOL.

 

[ImFeklhr]

There may even be some kind of trend on teams that played Sea in previous week, not that I put a lot of stock in trends.

There was one referenced here on madjacks, but it didn't hold up last week, much to my chagrin.

 

[Scrapman]

There was one referenced here on madjacks, but it didn't hold up last week, much to my chagrin.

it's teams after a win vs Seahawks suffer greatly next week not losers

same thing with saints teams after a win over saints fail when favored next week at high rate 65% losers ats when favored 100% if off a dog win over saints then favored

 

[Pound4Pound#1]

I see quite a few favorites this week that have a high % of wagers on them. I am going by a popular site's numbers and I'm listing those that are near 70% or higher.
Which of these do you think has the best chance of going down in flames?

SF 307 9-4 (4-2 V) 73% -5
TB 308 4-9 (3-4 H) 27%

SEA 313 11-2 (5-2 V) 69% -7
NYG 314 5-8 (3-3 H) 31%

HOU 317 2-11 (1-5 V) 25%
IND 318 8-5 (4-2 H) 75% -5.5

PHI 323 8-5 (5-1 V) 77% -4.5
MIN 324 3-9 (3-3 H) 23%

KC 327 10-3 (5-1 V) 84% -4
OAK 328 4-9 (3-3 H) 16% 4

NO 311 10-3 (3-3 V) 75% -5.5
STL 312 5-8 (3-3 H) 25%

CIN 331 9-4 (3-4 V) 68% -2.5
PIT 332 5-8 (3-3 H) 32%

You notice only Indy is at home, this makes 6 road fav's the majority is all over, you could maybe throw in Az at Tenn as well at 65%.

I think the division games of Indy, KC, NO, and CInci would be more likely to have upsets.

You have Sea and SF going far east for early games, shit I may have to roll the dice and take every dog here and hope for 4-3 (I already have Az -2.5). I will have to look into these a little more but will surely be on some of these.

The ones you least expect :mj07:

 

[sds222]

I see quite a few favorites this week that have a high % of wagers on them. I am going by a popular site's numbers and I'm listing those that are near 70% or higher.
Which of these do you think has the best chance of going down in flames?

SF 307 9-4 (4-2 V) 73% -5 win
TB 308 4-9 (3-4 H) 27%

SEA 313 11-2 (5-2 V) 69% -7 win
NYG 314 5-8 (3-3 H) 31%

HOU 317 2-11 (1-5 V) 25%
IND 318 8-5 (4-2 H) 75% -5.5 win

PHI 323 8-5 (5-1 V) 77% -4.5 loss
MIN 324 3-9 (3-3 H) 23%

KC 327 10-3 (5-1 V) 84% -4 win
OAK 328 4-9 (3-3 H) 16% 4

NO 311 10-3 (3-3 V) 75% -5.5 loss
STL 312 5-8 (3-3 H) 25%

CIN 331 9-4 (3-4 V) 68% -2.5
PIT 332 5-8 (3-3 H) 32%

These public fav's went 4-2 with Cinci pending, the percentages changed some but looks like a good day for Joe public.
I lost on NYG, TB, and NO :facepalm:

 

[Cash Man]

These public fav's went 4-2 with Cinci pending, the percentages changed some but looks like a good day for Joe public.
I lost on NYG, TB, and NO :facepalm:

i got killed on the only 2 losses.. fuk my life... philly and saints burned me huge