acc tourney final (and others)

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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another push-out day yesterday as has been the pattern in my tournament play, although larger unit plays on the wolfpack side and total show a modest profit. several good cappers around the forum, most notably volfan the maestro, provide other options for profitability. for myself, i'm sill having fun and ain't getting hurt, so will continue to do things my way. today still sticking with focus on dogs and one favorite with bye edge:




nc state +14: confidence, like ogres, comes in many layers. there is a subtle yet clear distinction between being confident you can win, and confident you can win against anyone. with their win yesterday, young pack players now have attained the level of self-belief that will allow them to take the court at the penultimate plateau of positiveness, a place formerly occupied by only devils and terps. wolfpack has now played at the highest level, stared eye-to-eye into potential disaster, and triumphed. at this stage, such confidence is important for a pack team that has lost twelve in a row to the devils. no current pack player has ever beaten duke, who, for the first time in a while, has shown vulnerability away from cameron. state is in peak form, shooting well and defending with sustained intensity. as all have probably noticed, duke triggerman williams is not 100%. he has nursed a groin injury all season and yesterday was obviously slowed by a painful hip and was noticeably hobbling after the game. if he is less than full speed today, pack can concentrate on limiting dunleavy outside and collapsing on boozer inside. the extra point or so is a local bonus.


miss st +4 and under 134-: four points seem like a lot in what shapes up to be a game where every possession will be critical. based on current forms of both teams, total play seems to be a no-brainer % play regardless of outcome.


okla +10: jayhawks the superior team, but every reason to believe that the sooners can compete, with a realistic shot at the upset.


ohio state -3: i know iowa did it last year, but as you would expect my approach will bet against the team seeking to win four games in a row.
 

Mizzou

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Too much Shrek

Too much Shrek

Good luck Loopy.

It sounds like you've been watching too much Shrek.

"confidence, like ogres, comes in many layers."
 

loophole

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can't help it, mizzou, loved that movie. btw, little known loophole minutia - i originally hail from st joe, mo, along with the other favorite son jesse james.
 

the_fix_is_on

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You mean the NCC tourney don't you?

You mean the NCC tourney don't you?

:D No sour grapes. :D
Just typical NC vs. the rest of the ACC stuff.

I like "Under" 155 in this one.

Good luck!

- The fix is on

P. S. How many layers does an ogre have? :)
 

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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additions and changes

additions and changes

nc state over 153-: can't see the wolfpack tinkering with an offensive gameplan that is working well right now. i believe the key to this game is pack continuing to play with confidence offensively and maintaining level of defensive intensity. obviously devils are not going to back down from anyone, only way to beat them is to score. play works as a hedge of sorts to my pack play as i have some confidence that pack will score 70 which assures the push. fact that play is against the move just gives me more satisfaction.


kansas -8: two point disparity between locals has caused me to take the free play with three numbers to side or middle on.


ohio st/iowa under 140: this total has risen to the point where i'm compelled to bite. see this game as a deliberate game with neither team inclined to push the place, especially iowa in fourth game scenario.


ala/miss st total had risen to 137-, so that's where i played it.


gl to all today


ps - half unit on wolfpack ml +700 (i couldn't help myself).
 
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