AFL...Round 21

[PAWAQATSI]

Will be brief as I'm off for a ski this weekend.

Expecting Hawthorn, who have "owned" my Kangaroos in recent times, to continue the trend. Hawthorn -8.5 v Kangaroos

Playing the percentages once again in the west with West Coast Eagles undefeated at home this season. West Coast +10.5 v Port Adelaide

Percantages again with Carlton +39.5 v Western Bulldogs and Fremantle +39.5 v Essendon Just too many points to say no!!


Pawamech system has 2 eligible starters in Brisbane -26.5 v Geelong and Fremantle +39.5 v Essendon I don't expect Fremantle to break through with their first win 'away' this season, but I do expect them to get within the 39.5 on offer. Therefore will be taking the $2.50 odd on offer for Essendon Under 40 which is paying more than the line.

Good punting fellas

 

[PAWAQATSI]

.....Adding St. Kilda +20.5 v Collingwood

 

[MrChristo]

I know you love your +40's, PAWA, but Freo is very dubious.

They have been beaten by an average of 40.5 points away so far this year, but 54 in the 4 games they've played in Victoria.
The only 2 times Essendon have played them at Colonial, the Bombers have won by 46 and 87.

er, and I think you'll find West Coast were beaten by Melbourne in their last home game by 6 points

Love Brisbane @ -25.5

Also think Richmond are a huge chance to win in Adelaide.
They are looking much better now with the tall forward line finally playing up to their potential.
Also playing much more direct.
They get Gaspar back this week which will sure up their defense against the Crows who are not a big scoring team anyway.

Bickley and Goodwin out for the Crows who were both very good in the first meeting this year.

Richmond have won their past 2 games v. Crows in Adelaide.
Adelaide big chance of a let down after last weeks loss.
Richmond won 3 straight at the end of last year, so they do finish the season well, and are looking to again.

3.25 is about, and it is WAY too much

 

[PAWAQATSI]

oops....must have subconciously blocked that Melbourne win out !

Can't get me on the Tigers. They have always been the team to cost me $$$ over the years!

What concerns me about the Geelong v Brisbane game is seeing Mark Thompson on the TV last night saying that he will be looking to save on the Cats low percentage. Makes me think that he might stack the backline once the inevitable loss arises :shrug:

Actually......I'll throw the Tigers into a treble for some value, then I'll send you the bill on Monday MrC !!!!
:thefinger

 

[beast2]

Year to Date: 42-27 (60%)

Round 21 Plays
West Coast +8.5 d Port Adelaide
West Coast have an great record at home and meet Port coming off a bruising game against Adelaide with only six days break. With the above in mind I'm taking West Coast plus the points.

Craig

 

[PAWAQATSI]

3-2 on selections with the Saints, Carlton and Fremantle all covering the lines. Missed with West Coast and (happily ) my under-manned Kangaroos who played a 'blinder' against Hawthorn on Friday night.
Season record now stands at 44 - 40

Pawamech system went 2 - 0 with Brisbane and Fremantle.
Season record now stands at 25 - 14 @ 64% and a system bank roll at 287.6%
It is really kicking on at the end of the season as history stats have shown it to do. Hopefully it has more to offer in the final month ahead.

'til next week

 

[MrChristo]

Gotta love those %%'s PAWA

Hit Brisbane -25.5 and Sydney +21.5, so a good weekend all round

Bloody Richmond

2 goals down at 3/4 time,kicking with a 2 goal wind and stopped dead!
Only a small play so no major damage.

Could be a good betting round next week.....7 of the games look like they could go either way, so some juicy odds no doubt!!