AntiConsensus 2005

[BobbyBlueChip]

This is the time of the year that I do well by going straight anti-consenus (also works in the NCAA bowls) Taken from another site, here is the consensus as of 12:15 CST

Date Rot Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
737 Winthrop 152 26.25% +13 Gonzaga 427 73.75% l
727 Ala Birmingham 188 29.75% +3 Lsu 444 70.25% l
729 Utah St 196 32.08% +5.5 Arizona 415 67.92%
707 Tennessee Chat 206 35.09% +18 Wake Forest 381 64.91%
715 Fair Dickinson 193 35.87% +27 Illinois 345 64.13%l
3/17/2005735 Ucla 230 37.64% +3.5 Texas Tech 381 62.36%
713 Pennsylvania 244 38.30% +6.5 Boston College 393 61.70% l
719 Eastern Ky 232 41.65% +16.5 Kentucky 325 58.35% l
709 Creighton 280 42.11% +2.5 West Virginia 385 57.89%
723 Montana 230 42.44% +20 Washington 312 57.56%
711 Wisc Milwaukee 299 45.10% +5.5 Alabama 364 54.90% l
731 Texas El Paso 285 45.97% +3 Utah 335 54.03% l
733 Niagara 274 47.40% +12.5 Oklahoma 304 52.60%
721 Iowa 308 47.46% +3 Cincinnati 341 52.54%
725 Pittsburgh 321 50.39% -3.5 Pacific 316 49.61%
717 Nevada 349 53.86% +1 Texas 299 46.14%
739 Arizona St 128 55.65% +2 Nev Las Vegas 102 44.35% l


System calls for fading any team backed by 70+%. Last three years, system went 21-12 and has made a profit for the two years before that (Didn't keep the records.) Simply, This is a time of the year that you don't want to be on the side of the public. Good Luck to all in the tourney!!

Play On:
Winthrop
UAB

 

[IE]

Mr. Fix-It' ready for LSU's Bass


At 6-foot-7, 190-pounds, UAB's Demario Eddins is a wiry forward who does a little bit of everything for the Blazers.

"I'm Mr. Fix-It," joked Eddins. "I see something wrong, I fix it."

Even when it calls for playing out of position. A natural small forward, UAB has needed Eddins to play the power position.






The junior admits the job has been taxing. This season, Eddins has defended players 30 to 50 pounds heavier than himself on a regular basis.

He's banged on the blocks with Clemson's Sharrod Ford (6-9, 220) in Hawaii, fought and scrapped with Charlotte's Curtis Withers (6-8, 230) and took a few bumps from Louisville's Ellis Myles (6-7, 245).

His next battle comes Thursday when UAB (21-10) meets the LSU Tigers (20-9) at the Boise State University Pavilion in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. CBS will air the game, scheduled to tip off at 8:50 p.m.

"At the beginning of the year, it was hard (playing the position)," Eddins said. "It was different playing against bigger players. Sometimes it would take a lot out of me."

Eddins' latest challenge is slowing down Brandon Bass, LSU's 6-8, 252-pound post threat. The Associated Press' SEC player of the year, Bass is averaging 17 points and nine rebounds.

Eddins gives up 60 pounds to Bass, but he isn't ready to concede anything to Bass.

"He probably thinks he has the upper hand, but I can't worry about that, I've just got to go out and play my game," said Eddins.

Eddins' game is something he now works to his advantage. While he lacks size, Eddins has found he can use his quickness against bigger opponents. He'll take the heavier post player out on the perimeter and make them defend him on drives to the basket.

Eddins discovered the strategy in UAB's game at Marquette. He said a light began to flash when he took the Golden Eagles' Mark Jackson, a 6-9, 240-pounder, off the dribble for a basket.

"After that I was used to it," he said.

Head coach Mike Anderson said Eddins is starting to understand how to take advantage of the matchup.

"Demario is a basketball player," said Anderson. "He's the total package. When he's effective, it creates advantages for our basketball team."

Anderson has always had high expectations for Eddins, but now he said Eddins is starting to see his abilities as well. In UAB's run toward a tournament bid, Eddins was key. He averaged 15 points in the Blazers' five consecutive victories and his two 3-pointers in the final minutes against DePaul carried the day in the Blazers' quarterfinal win in the Conference USA Tournament.

Eddins averaged 12 points per game before UAB's five-game win streak.

Also before the stretch run, opponents were backing off Eddins and letting him take the outside shot. Now Eddins is making opponents pay for leaving him open.

"His game has evolved," said Anderson. "Demario has stepped up his entire game."

Donell Taylor said he sees Eddins holding his own against Bass.

"Bass is big and strong, but Demario is quick," Taylor said. "Demario can take him out of the paint, use that first step and get by him."

 

[IE]

+7.5 for 1st half is the way im going on that game BBC with winthrop, good luck next couple of weeks.......

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

first half it is, IE. Don't need to tell me twice

 

[IE]

winnny coach is going to throw whatever he has 1st half i hear..and play it from there.....good luck

 

[gman2]

good luck robert. think uab is the way to go in that one. surprised the consensus is so lsu-heavy

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 2-0
(IE's halftime record in this thread 1-0

851 Se Louisiana 181 29.15% +19 Oklahoma St 440 70.85% l
857 Bucknell 207 30.17% +13.5 Kansas 479 69.83%
845 La Lafayette 211 30.98% +11.5 Louisville 470 69.02%
843 Geo Washington 233 31.92% +5.5 Georgia Tech 497 68.08%
827 Central Florida 221 33.54% +18.5 Connecticut 438 66.46%
849 Ohio 257 37.41% +11.5 Florida 430 62.59%
833 Vermont 276 38.49% +9.5 Syracuse 441 61.51%
839 Delaware St 239 38.80% +26.5 Duke 377 61.20%
855 Northern Iowa 295 43.64% +7.5 Wisconsin 381 56.36%
835 Oakland 111 44.94% +28 North Carolina 136 55.06% l
847 New Mexico 338 46.88% +5.5 Villanova 383 53.12%
859 Fullerton St 35 50.72% +4 San Francisco 34 49.28% l
831 Old Dominion 407 55.68% +8.5 Michigan St 324 44.32%
829 No Carolina St 414 56.79% -4 Nc Charlotte 315 43.21%l
837 Iowa St 405 57.45% +1 Minnesota 300 42.55%
841 Mississippi St 421 57.67% -2 Stanford 309 42.33%l
853 St Marys Ca 427 57.70% +2.5 Southern Ill 313 42.30%

Play on SE Louisiana +19

 

[pt1gard]

if follows form of day one those top 2 are locks!

thanx for the post
gregg

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 3-0

519 Cincinnati 157 36.77% +3 Kentucky 270 63.23%
515 Wisc Milwaukee 133 38.78% +3 Boston College 210 61.22%l
527 Utah 157 39.35% +4.5 Oklahoma 242 60.65%
529 Texas Tech 167 48.27% +3 Gonzaga 179 51.73%
521 Nevada 173 54.75% +11 Illinois 143 45.25% Detail
525 Ala Birmingham 180 55.90% +7.5 Arizona 142 44.10%
517 West Virginia 185 57.10% +9.5 Wake Forest 139 42.90%
523 Pacific 265 62.35% +6.5 Washington 160 37.65%

Nobody qualifies today for the system. For informational purposes only

 

[IntenseOperator]

Those simple approaches that have success are nicely stress free.

Good Stuff BBC

 

[Its Gravy]

Where is it at Mr Bob

Where is it at Mr Bob

consensus

 

[gardenweasel]

this is becoming an annual staple here at m.j.`s......i look forward to the plays...

excellent work once again,bubby....

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Those simple approaches that have success are nicely stress free.

It sure as hell beats handicapping.

567 No Carolina St 161 31.38% +3 Connecticut 352 68.62%
573 Mississippi St 134 44.97% +8 Duke 164 55.03%
579 Southern Ill 222 49.55% +8.5 Oklahoma St 226 50.45%
575 Villanova 243 50.10% -1 Florida 242 49.90%
577 Georgia Tech 171 50.74% +1 Louisville 166 49.26%
581 Bucknell 172 59.72% +9.5 Wisconsin 116 40.28% l
569 Vermont 194 61.01% +8 Michigan St 124 38.99%
571 Iowa St 286 65.60% +16 North Carolina 150 34.40%

No system play again today, but there definitely are some teams that I wouldn't be backing based on the above.

Good Luck all!

 

[Smitty]

Bobby, thanks for the posts. I already liked NC & NC St. Hopefully both games will go over the 70% mark, and I'll like 'em even more.

 

[Its Gravy]

Juicy

Juicy

NC Steak

 

[Its Gravy]

BobbyBLueChip

BobbyBLueChip

get my email from Jack and email me
thanks

 

[Its Gravy]

hey !!!

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Date Rot Away Picks Pct Line Home Picks Pct
821 West Virginia 198 39.76% +1.5 Texas Tech 300 60.24%
817 Arizona 205 42.98% +1 Oklahoma St 272 57.02% Detail
815 Wisc Milwaukee 248 50.92% +10.5 Illinois 239 49.08% l
819 Louisville 225 56.25% -1.5 Washington 175 43.75%

No pick. Nothing. Nada. Zilch

For informational purposes only.

Good Luck, All!!

 

[edludes]

Play Okla St-1 or 1- and Wisc+2.Heres a March Madness round of 16 handicapping tip for you Bluechip:Always look for a team that makes it through the first two games and doesn't cover,especially if that teams opponent has covered both games.Though Wisky failed to cover and pushed in thier two,i show them not only covering but winning vs NC ST,though I'm only playing the more conservative plus2.Track each teams tournament to date record vs the spread and total as this tournment progresses,it will lead you to many winners,that is if you're the counterpuncher I am.Doesn't hurt to share a good handicapping tip with someone who doesn't know what to play,its what this site is all about I've been told.Oh,but thats right,I'm the public in your esteemed judgement.Heres two easy ones for you. GL anyway

 

[Cappin Kirk]

Do you have the percentages on totals?
I was interested in the line movement in the Illinois game, it jumped from 137 to 144. I'd be willing to bet that over 70% are on the over in that game.