AntiConsensus 2007

[BobbyBlueChip]

This is the time of the year that I do well by going straight anti-consensus. Taken from another site, here is the consensus as of 10:20 CST

Away/Line/Picks/Pct/Home/Line/Picks/Pct
Belmont +16.5 412 20.15% Georgetown -16.5 1633 79.85%
Central Conn. St. +20.5 545 29.04% Ohio St. -20.5 1332 70.96%
Pennsylvania +13 637 31.36% Texas A&M -13 1394 68.64%
Stanford +5.5 718 32.59% Louisville -5.5 1485 67.41%
Davidson +7 849 38.61% Maryland -7 1350 61.39%
Wright St. +9.5 795 39.32% Pittsburgh -9.5 1227 60.68%
Oral Roberts +7 861 40.5% Washington St. -7 1265 59.59%
George Washington +3.5 872 40.86% Vanderbilt -3.5 1262 59.14%
Eastern Kentucky +27.5 809 43.47% North Carolina -27.5 1052 56.53%
Weber St. +20.5 843 44% UCLA -20.5 1073 56%
Va. Commonwealth +6.5 995 46.34% Duke -6.5 1152 53.66%
Old Dominion +1.5 1058 47.61% Butler -1.5 1164 52.39%
Texas Tech +2.5 1073 48.14% Boston College -2.5 1156 51.86%
Michigan St -2 1031 48.49% Marquette +2 1095 51.51%
Xavier -2 1119 54.11% Brigham Young +2 949 45.89%
Gonzaga +1.5 1195 55.61% Indiana -1.5 954 44.39%

System calls for fading any team backed by 70+%. Since 2002, system has gone 31-17 and has made a profit for the two years before that (Didn't keep the records.) Simply, This is a time of the year that you don't want to be on the side of the public. Good Luck to all in the tourney!!

Play on:
Belmont
Central Conn. St.

 

[Morris]

I did the same thing last year and it worked. I believe I didn't start untill the sweet 16. Faded everything in the Final 4. GL

 

[redsfann]

Nice to see you, BBC.

Liked C Conn State just from a 'capping perspective, now I like it even more...:mj07:

Will have to take a closer look at Belmont now.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 0-2

Ugh...

Miami (OH) +7.5 503 21.97% Oregon -7.5 1787 78.03%
Texas A&M CC +12 540 24.5% Wisconsin -12 1664 75.5%
New Mexico St. +8 561 24.99% Texas -8 1684 75.01%
North Texas +18 634 29.26% Memphis -18 1533 70.74%
Marist +7 376 33.48% N.C. State -7 747 66.52%
Niagara +18.5 343 34.3% Kansas -18.5 657 65.7%
Purdue +2.5 803 34.7% Arizona -2.5 1511 65.3%
Illinois +2.5 813 34.79% Virginia Tech -2.5 1524 65.21%
Albany +8.5 816 35.9% Virginia -8.5 1457 64.1%
Holy Cross +7.5 776 36.13% Southern Illinois -7.5 1372 63.87%
Arkansas +2 876 37.28% Southern California -2 1474 62.72%
Creighton +2 910 38.3% Nevada -2 1466 61.7%
Long Beach St. +7 991 43.28% Tennessee -7 1299 56.72%
Winthrop +3.5 1064 43.8% Notre Dame -3.5 1365 56.2%
Jackson State +27.5 885 43.81% Florida -27.5 1135 56.19%
Georgia Tech -2 1335 54.87% UNLV +2 1098 45.13%
Villanova -1 1472 62.88% Kentucky +1 869 37.12%

Play on:
Miami (OH)
Texas A&M CC
New Mexico St.
North Texas

Good Luck!!

 

[bjfinste]

Very surprised to see the Badgers on there. Everyone I talk to around here is thinking they might lose straight up. The national opinion of them is what they saw in the horrid OSU game.

Where are these numbers from?

 

[IX_Bender]

bjfinste,
they are from a well known wagering site, but Jack disapproves of linking it so we cant. Hey, its his joint afterall. Just know that they are real numbers with a proven record.

As for yesterday I had this as top 6:

• Win Gtown
• Win OHST
• Win A+M
• Win Lville
• Win PItt
• Win Mary

JoeP swept the board. He could have just gone out and bought a USAToday, cirlcled all the teams on the left and cleaned up. I forgot how easy this handicapping this really is.:mj07:

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 2-4


Sorry for the lack of responses, but I'm working at a place that doesn't allow access to Jacks anymore during working hours, but on the plus side, they give me a check every two weeks. If you follow consensus information, then you know where these numbers are from. Good Luck!!



1:10 PM Xavier +7.5 352 25.83% Ohio St. -7.5 1011 74.17% Detail
8:25 PM Indiana +6.5 376 27.69% UCLA -6.5 982 72.31% Detail
5:50 PM Boston College +8 620 40.95% Georgetown -8 894 59.05% Detail
3:20 PM Butler +5.5 630 41.07% Maryland -5.5 904 58.93% Detail
3:40 PM Louisville +3 667 41.95% Texas A&M -3 923 58.05% Detail
5:55 PM Vanderbilt +2 684 44.3% Washington St. -2 860 55.7% Detail
8:20 PM Michigan St +9.5 579 44.95% North Carolina -9.5 709 55.05% Detail
5:50 PM Va. Commonwealth +7 638 49.11% Pittsburgh -7 661 50.89% Detail
12:00 PM Bradley +8 750 50.61% Mississippi St. -8 732 49.39% Detail

Play on:
Xavier
Indiana

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 4-4

5:20 PM Southern California +2.5 322 22.33% Texas -2.5 1120 77.67% Detail
4:45 PM Purdue +11 423 29.05% Florida -11 1033 70.95% Detail
5:05 PM Kentucky +8 465 34.99% Kansas -8 864 65.01% Detail
2:15 PM Nevada +5 591 38.01% Memphis -5 964 61.99% Detail
2:50 PM Winthrop +3 619 39.35% Oregon -3 954 60.65% Detail
2:30 PM UNLV +5.5 655 47.85% Wisconsin -5.5 714 52.15% Detail
2:40 PM Virginia Tech +1.5 626 49.02% Southern Illinois -1.5 651 50.98% Detail
12:10 PM Tennessee -3 1056 65.39% Virginia +3 559 34.61% Detail

Play On:
USC
Purdue

Good Luck!

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 6-4


9:40 PM Pittsburgh +3 565 28.48% UCLA -3 1419 71.52% Detail
9:57 PM Tennessee +4.5 747 42.81% Ohio St. -4.5 998 57.19% Detail
7:10 PM Southern Illinois +9 737 43.3% Kansas -9 965 56.7% Detail
7:27 PM Texas A&M -3 1016 57.24% Memphis +3 759 42.76% Detail

Play On:
Pitt

Good Luck!

 

[utcahoona]

I like it sir. I may be a rookie, a newbie - whatever. For what its worth, I study this site day in and day out. If there was a way to see who reads ALL posts, I guarantee my name would be at the top of the list. Anyways, tomorrow I am playing

Memphis
Tenn
Pitt
SIU

This system makes total sense. Before the conference tournaments - I was playing a system that hit over 65%. Every single bet was made based on public percentages. Believe me or dont, I dont care - I am telling the truth. Simply put - On Sat, Mon, and Tues, I bet against any team that had 55%-70% of the public money on that side (versus the spread). On Sun, Wed and Thursday, I would bet with the public. Go back and take a look although there are many nuances of the system that I will not reveal on this site. Next season, if you bet solely on the information I have provided, YOU WILL NOT SUCCEED - promise. Anyway, I thought this was really interesting and I believe strongly in in its logic ....thanks for the post. I may very well lose every bet, but tonight I was 2-0. I played Clemson (pretty much in opposition to everyone on this site) and DePaul (same reasoning). IMO, the consensus was on SYracuse and AirForce - Ha, what a joke - this game is not that easy. Your so-called capping system is no match for the VEGAS SYSTEM - I promise. And before that, in this tourney, I am in the positive. I dont give two shits about the response to this post - just something to chew on. Peace.

cahoona

 

[utcahoona]

Also, I really hate the Tenn bet. I will stick to this system and bet Tenn, but Ohio St is due for a good game. They have looked terrible these past two and Tenn has shot lights out. Oh well, my two cents. Good luck to everyone tomorrow.

FYI, if you are in Lawrence - Zig and Macs is the best sports bar. Look for me - I will be the ONLY one rooting for the Salukis.

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

System Record 6-5
Time (ET) Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct View
9:40 PM UNLV +3 844 39.24% Oregon -3 1307 60.76% Detail
7:27 PM Vanderbilt +7.5 1056 47.27% Georgetown -7.5 1178 52.73% Detail
9:57 PM Southern California +8.5 1057 50.26% North Carolina -8.5 1046 49.74% Detail
7:10 PM Butler +10.5 1063 51.85% Florida -10.5 987 48.15% Detail


No plays qualify today. Consensus numbers are for information only.

 

[el JB]

TNX FOR INFO

TNX FOR INFO

EVEN THOUGH THEY NOT QUALIFY FOR ANTI CONSENSUS PLAYS THEY ARE VERY WELL APPRECIATED BY US...as we can take the true dogs in perspective to bet against the public's money if we think it can cash us some green
BTW i've been gettin good results by mixing gut feeling/power/consensus/money line excesses
and today all come to Vandy and UNLV
so i'll play 'em in parlay for a dime good luck to all

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Heartbreaker, el JB - Shared your pain.


Time (ET) Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct View
4:40 PM Memphis +2 391 37.38% Ohio St. -2 655 62.62% Detail
7:05 PM UCLA +2 447 43.23% Kansas -2 587 56.77% Detail

No plays today, FYI