AntiConsensus
- Thread starter BobbyBlueChip
- Start date
Re: you may think i`m a "square"
Re: you may think i`m a "square"
and you are entitled to your opinion...but,without namecalling,my point is that the vast majority of cappers would be better off forgetting about who the public likes,who vegas likes,traps,where a line move is coming from,etc....
i guess a very savvy,experienced bettor who really has his finger on the pulse of this info,could use this analysis as a handicapping tool,but for most everyone else it`s a blind alley and somewhat of a distraction....if you are just such a capper,my hats off to you and best of luck....i have more than held my own this year(and am quite a bit better than average capping boxing),but i do not presume to be able to follow and interpret the sharp books and line moves....best of luck,and thanks for the explanation...g.l. .........btw...off the subject,thanks dirk d....
Re: you may think i`m a "square"
and you are entitled to your opinion...but,without namecalling,my point is that the vast majority of cappers would be better off forgetting about who the public likes,who vegas likes,traps,where a line move is coming from,etc....
i guess a very savvy,experienced bettor who really has his finger on the pulse of this info,could use this analysis as a handicapping tool,but for most everyone else it`s a blind alley and somewhat of a distraction....if you are just such a capper,my hats off to you and best of luck....i have more than held my own this year(and am quite a bit better than average capping boxing),but i do not presume to be able to follow and interpret the sharp books and line moves....best of luck,and thanks for the explanation...g.l. .........btw...off the subject,thanks dirk d....
I don't think you are a square at all. Just saying that someone saying "Inside information" is square. LOL. Hell garden you are one of the sharper ones in here. Anyway I agree 100 % with you take on all this. One problem with a place like Wagertalk is that it keeps all the plays as one no matter how many times the number has moved. I am line watcher. I let the books do the picking for me. I don't look at stats or concencus reports or what have ya... Bobby sorry for for turning this thread into....
System Record 1-2
Tulane 194 32.61% +12.5 Hawaii 401 67.39%
New Mexico 248 40.66% +10.5 Ucla 362 59.34%
Play on Tulane +12.5 and New Mexico +10.5
Tulane 194 32.61% +12.5 Hawaii 401 67.39%
New Mexico 248 40.66% +10.5 Ucla 362 59.34%
Play on Tulane +12.5 and New Mexico +10.5
System Record 2-3
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Boston College 365 60.43% -4 Toledo 239 39.57%
Pittsburgh 366 61.72% +2.5 Oregon St 227 38.28%
Play on Toledo +4 and Oregon State -2.5
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Boston College 365 60.43% -4 Toledo 239 39.57%
Pittsburgh 366 61.72% +2.5 Oregon St 227 38.28%
Play on Toledo +4 and Oregon State -2.5
System Record 2-5
I really think that I'm gonna remember the 2002 football season for a long, long time
Southern Miss 163 25.75% +8 Oklahoma St 470 74.25%
Kansas St 342 58.36% -17.5 Arizona St 244 41.64%
Nebraska 359 59.73% -7 Mississippi 242 40.27%
Play on SoMiss +8, Arizona State +17.5 and Ole Miss +7
I really think that I'm gonna remember the 2002 football season for a long, long time
Southern Miss 163 25.75% +8 Oklahoma St 470 74.25%
Kansas St 342 58.36% -17.5 Arizona St 244 41.64%
Nebraska 359 59.73% -7 Mississippi 242 40.27%
Play on SoMiss +8, Arizona State +17.5 and Ole Miss +7
I hear ya Bobby. Been purposely factoring in the public consensu so far in the bowls but somehow the public seems to be kick the man's nuts:shrug:
It figures, you try to be smart and go against the obvious, and all the sudden the public and the faves start hitting everything. I'm guessing we'll see it swing the other way here soon.
It figures, you try to be smart and go against the obvious, and all the sudden the public and the faves start hitting everything. I'm guessing we'll see it swing the other way here soon.
That makes three of us. I remember something my mentor told me about this. He said "One thing about due, due will bust ya if ya ain't careful."
System Record 4-6
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Colorado 387 62.62% -7.5 Wisconsin 231 37.38%
West Virginia 440 65.57% -5 Virginia 231 34.43%
Play on Wisconsin +7.5 and Virginia +5
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Colorado 387 62.62% -7.5 Wisconsin 231 37.38%
West Virginia 440 65.57% -5 Virginia 231 34.43%
Play on Wisconsin +7.5 and Virginia +5
System Record 6-6
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Wake Forest 154 24.25% +7 Oregon 481 75.75%
Arkansas 273 44.32% -7.5 Minnesota 343 55.68%
Play on Wake Forest +7 and Arkansas -7.5
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Wake Forest 154 24.25% +7 Oregon 481 75.75%
Arkansas 273 44.32% -7.5 Minnesota 343 55.68%
Play on Wake Forest +7 and Arkansas -7.5
System Record 7-7
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Air Force 225 33.23% +11.5 Virginia Tech 452 66.77%
Fresno St 217 37.94% +4 Georgia Tech 355 62.06%
Tennessee 305 41.44% PK Maryland 431 58.56%
Iowa St 381 51.49% +11.5 Boise St 359 48.51%
Colorado St 401 59.23% -5 Tcu 276 40.77%
Georgia Tech 247 59.38% -6.5 Fresno St 169 40.63%
Washington 430 61.78% -3 Purdue 266 38.22%
Play on AFA +11.5, Tennessee Pick, TCU +5, and Purdue +3
No play on Humanitarean Bowl as there is no clear consensus and No play on Silicaon Valley Bowl as neither line is still avaliable.
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Air Force 225 33.23% +11.5 Virginia Tech 452 66.77%
Fresno St 217 37.94% +4 Georgia Tech 355 62.06%
Tennessee 305 41.44% PK Maryland 431 58.56%
Iowa St 381 51.49% +11.5 Boise St 359 48.51%
Colorado St 401 59.23% -5 Tcu 276 40.77%
Georgia Tech 247 59.38% -6.5 Fresno St 169 40.63%
Washington 430 61.78% -3 Purdue 266 38.22%
Play on AFA +11.5, Tennessee Pick, TCU +5, and Purdue +3
No play on Humanitarean Bowl as there is no clear consensus and No play on Silicaon Valley Bowl as neither line is still avaliable.
System Record 10-8
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Florida St 153 25.50% +8 Georgia 447 74.50%
Auburn 200 27.82% +6.5 Penn St 519 72.18%
No Carolina St 243 33.11% PK Notre Dame 491 66.89%
Lsu 297 43.04% +10.5 Texas 393 56.96%
Florida 326 45.98% -1 Michigan 383 54.02%
Oklahoma 414 59.23% -6.5 Washington St 285 40.77%
Play on Florida State +8, Auburn +6.5, NCSU Pick'em (not me), LSU +10.5, and Wazzou +6.5
Team/Votes/%/Spread/Team/Votes/%
Florida St 153 25.50% +8 Georgia 447 74.50%
Auburn 200 27.82% +6.5 Penn St 519 72.18%
No Carolina St 243 33.11% PK Notre Dame 491 66.89%
Lsu 297 43.04% +10.5 Texas 393 56.96%
Florida 326 45.98% -1 Michigan 383 54.02%
Oklahoma 414 59.23% -6.5 Washington St 285 40.77%
Play on Florida State +8, Auburn +6.5, NCSU Pick'em (not me), LSU +10.5, and Wazzou +6.5
System Record 12-11
the consensus right now favors Iowa by a little and there is no clear consensus in the Fiesta Bowl. Third straight year that this system didn't do well on New Year's Day so I won't be posting for the final two bowls.
Like Iowa +3 FH and Ohio State fwiw. good luck.
the consensus right now favors Iowa by a little and there is no clear consensus in the Fiesta Bowl. Third straight year that this system didn't do well on New Year's Day so I won't be posting for the final two bowls.
Like Iowa +3 FH and Ohio State fwiw. good luck.
