Bombs said:
Of course, if it goes 7 games, it will be a BLESSING FOR THE SPURS that the game is in Phoenix. I mean, who the hell needs home court advantage. In fact, I heard that the Spurs actually want to play all the games in Phoenix, and the league is currently considering this proposal.
:mj07:
I think Spurs hold advantage in terms of home court unless the series goes 7 games. IMO, it is much easier to win games 1 or 2 on road vs winning games 3 or 4 on road. Spurs are a scary and very good team at home. So lets assume Suns have VERY difficult time winning @SA. What are the chances Spurs win at least 1 of the first 2 games on road in this series @Phoenix? Would you take the bet if a sportsbook offered a prop saying "will Spurs win either game 1 or game 2 in this series at -110? The way I look at it, Spurs win game 1 or 2 (1 game only not both) and win both home games @SA, so Spurs "hopefully" will be up 3 games 1 heading back to Phoenix for game 5.
I also think there is a decent chance Suns struggle in game 1 and maybe even game 2 adjusting to the team defense of Spurs. In addition, the Spurs have an excellent defensive big man in Duncan. Mavs had NOBODY! Even MVP Nash will have to adjust not getting "consistent" WIDE OPEN 3pt shots and WIDE OPEN 10 foot jump shots. I don't care how good Nash is. He will have to adjust his game!
I wonder if the role players for Spurs will be getting wide open shots in this series? Against Sonics, the role players for Spurs struggled (except Muhammad) and didn't get to many open shots. Good news for Spurs is that Bown found his offensive game in last 2 games and Berry finally contributed in game 6.
Doesn't Nash defense concern anybody? He struggles against fast PG's and PG's usually have BIG GAMES when Nash is guarding them. Parker is more rested and much faster than Nash. Nash plays too many minutes and he won't be able to stay in front of Parker and Suns have NOBODY down low to contest shots/stop penetration. Sonics did, Suns do not.
Why did Mavs have so much success crashing the boards and driving to the basket? Spurs have better players to accomplish this task AND more importantly they will do it on a consistent basis.
Do the Suns have enough experience to win series? To there advantage, the Mavs challenged them and forced close games and must win situations. That will help a lot. Unfortunately, IMO the Spurs are a hell of a lot better defensive team than Mavs and Spurs offense isn't to shabby either, especially when they are not facing a good defensive squad.
Can Suns win if Nash doesn't shoot lights out?
Will the Suns get outrebounded? Mavs were able to crash the boards against Suns. IMO Spurs are a better rebounding team and def. have more size.
Can Suns win if they get into foul trouble?
Especially there 2 starting big men. I think Duncan, Ginoble, and Parker are the 3 best trio at drawing fouls and attacking the basket as a group. VERY IMPORTANT and bad news for Phoenix!
IMO Suns need to shoot lights out to win series. Are you going to rely on Suns defense and lack of interior to get stops? Pretty difficult to shoot lights out on a consistent basis in playoffs. MUCH more difficult to shoot lights out on a consistent basis facing the quality defense the Spurs bring in a 7 game playoff series.
Too many question marks for Suns facing Spurs. Of course there are some question marks for Spurs but not as many. Therefore, I predict Spurs winning this series in 5 or 6 games. I think it is pivotal for Suns to win games 1 and 2 to win series. A split would give Spurs too much of an advantage. VERY difficult to win @SA especially with games 3 and 4 being @SA.
Any news on Duncan and his ankle? He only got 2 days rest on it. Good news is he played on it after injury so it can't be TOO SERIOUS.