gman2 said:
onetrick pony- any particular reason youre trying for the "polish middle"?
youre basically laying 2 units to win (for sake of argument) 0.4 units.
almost the same as betting a heavy chalk.
I guess it makes about as much sense as betting a -210 fav on a "gut feeling" or betting a pitcher because it is "time for him to step up"
Theoretically on a big chalk there is a 50/50 chance of winning, in baseball about 60% or a little more. On this bet I would calculate the odds of winning are approximately 85 - 90%. Worth a small bet in certain situations.
A question for you...I notice you don't post a record with your picks, why is that?