ARROWS SUPER BOWL WRITEUP AND PLAY

arrow

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I would like to start out by saying, no matter what some people say, i am no way touting anything, recruiting anyone, or falsifying anything. I really could care less what people think, just wish if they have nothing to offer on my plays, agree or disagree, they don't try to cut people down or offend people. It takes alot of time to study, post plays, and do write ups. I do have some people who have paid me for my picks over the past 10 years. Overall i think they would tell you that i do very well this time of year, and have always done good on big games. Those that don't know what amounts i bet each week should not comment. I do consistantly wager large amounts of money on my top plays. That does not matter to any of you. All you want is a person to post winners and back the picks up with info on why they are choosing one side or another so you have better info and can make a educated decision on what, who, and how much to play. I am very happy with this site, i like and know Jack personally, he does a great job and is fair, and i hope some of you out there appreciate Jack, myself and a few other strong handicappers on this site, if for no other reson the time and effort we give. I have been on here for about 11 years now and have never been any other poster than ARROW. I have never posted on any other site other than Madjacks. I do read some other posters on here and do enjoy the sharp, witty and humor by many. I do not write much on other threads, and usually only offer info if i feel it can be of help. I do not engage in bashing, unless to defend myself or whom i concider friends on this site who are being unfairly critized, as i hope they would defend me in return. We are on here for one reason, and that is to help people win money. I hope some of you feel i have helped you win money. I enjoy all of you, and realize sometimes we have bad days. This will be my last post of this football season. Good luck to all of you on the super bowl.

1ST Half UNDER 23

Pitt and G.B. are 1 and 2 in total defense. Green Bay will be conservative in the first Quarter, and Pitt likes to run the ball and use the clock. This game sets up for who makes the first mistake loses, and i believe both defenses are strong enough that even a defensive td, or kick off or punt return for a touchdown would not still be enough to get over the generous number of 23.
We all know that playing against Pitt for the first time is never easy.But it takes two good defensive units for this play, and Green Bay has the capability to shut down Pitt also. They are favored for a reason. Both teams will be healthier in two weeks, and i believe it will be a 10-3 or 10-7 half. I would not be surprised to see one of the quarters go scoreless.Thus my TOP PLAY IS for the S.B.

Under the 23 for the first half total for 5 dimes.

I am also teasing Pitt +8- and under 52 for the game for 2 dimes.

Good Luck, been a fun year! ARROW :toast:
 
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AR182

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Hey arrow....

Thanks for your thoughts on the play....May tail you....Btw, what parameters would you still play this since I see some books have 22.5 now....

Thanks & good luck....
 

arrow

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AR

AR

Hey arrow....

Thanks for your thoughts on the play....May tail you....Btw, what parameters would you still play this since I see some books have 22.5 now....

Thanks & good luck....
Hey AR, i asked Jack if you were going to be in Vegas. He said you were going to be with a different group out there! I love anything over 21 on the play. It is not going to be easy figuring out either one of these defenses. Like the two games sunday, it may take a whole half and like i said i would not be surprised at all to see a scoreless quarter or one of the teams not have more than 3 points for the half. I expect the line to get to 21 and 21.5 on the half. Good luck, hope you tail.:toast: ARROW
 

AR182

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Hey AR, i asked Jack if you were going to be in Vegas. He said you were going to be with a different group out there! I love anything over 21 on the play. It is not going to be easy figuring out either one of these defenses. Like the two games sunday, it may take a whole half and like i said i would not be surprised at all to see a scoreless quarter or one of the teams not have more than 3 points for the half. I expect the line to get to 21 and 21.5 on the half. Good luck, hope you tail.:toast: ARROW

Yeah I saw that & answered in the other thread....

We will be in Vegas during Superbowl weekend (2/3-2/7) to attend a wedding of friends from the Scottsdale area & am committed to hang out with them....We will be staying at the Mirage & will watch the game at a private party at The Westin Cassurina Hotel....

Thanks for answering me arrow & good luck....
 

Ronnie

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I appreciate what you do arrow and most others on the board as well. Only a select few assholes on the board who I could care less about and only because they've bashed me in the past. If I don't have anything nice to say about somebody, I just won't post in their thread. Keep plugging away and good luck on the Super Bowl.:toast:
 

mdc144

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Appreciate all you do...always read your plays.

My f'n local won't take first half bets though...:shrug:

GL in the SB!
 

joeyd

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Good luck with your play,I will have no 1st half action so I wish you well..I don't think Pitt will be conservative or nervous at all,superbowls are becoming the norm for this group,green bay on the other hand may be a little tight,BUT..if they look up at the scoreboard and it's 14-0 Pitt early on,there gonna have to open it up,both these defenses are good but there not shutdown defenses,I'm betting Pitt and over for the game but could see this game being 10-10 or 10-7 at the half but wouldn't shock me if it's 14-10 either..good luck with your play and we both cash..:toast:
 

arrow

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line movement

line movement

Got home from poker game tonight and pulled up the lines, and i see the half is down to 21- and the game down to 44-. Hope you got em in before it gets to the key number of 21. I told you guys it would be going down,:nono: I knew the big money would be coming in on the under early.

ARROW:shrug:
 

joeyd

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Great call,I can't till game day,I use local only,but it's good news for me
 

arrow

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info

info

Great call,I can't till game day,I use local only,but it's good news for me

i used several locals for years and many that did not put out half time lines normally, that did for the super. If you ask, they probably would give you one. :popcorn2
 

joeyd

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Yeah I could ask them,I've been a good customer for years..:shrug: I'll wait it out and won't place the wager till Sunday 5ish,they should also have 3-4 pages of props..it's funny I will basically avoid espn and all other superbowl hype shows,icant take 2 weeks of crap and won't tune in to watch until superbowl Sunday 6pm..
:toast: Hope u cash...
 

arrow

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adding

adding

Added @ -105 for 1 DIME

More points scored in second half than the first half.

ARROW:toast:
 

Zamo

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Dec 21, 2010
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I would like to start out by saying, no matter what some people say, i am no way touting anything, recruiting anyone, or falsifying anything. I really could care less what people think, just wish if they have nothing to offer on my plays, agree or disagree, they don't try to cut people down or offend people. It takes alot of time to study, post plays, and do write ups. I do have some people who have paid me for my picks over the past 10 years. Overall i think they would tell you that i do very well this time of year, and have always done good on big games. Those that don't know what amounts i bet each week should not comment. I do consistantly wager large amounts of money on my top plays. That does not matter to any of you. All you want is a person to post winners and back the picks up with info on why they are choosing one side or another so you have better info and can make a educated decision on what, who, and how much to play. I am very happy with this site, i like and know Jack personally, he does a great job and is fair, and i hope some of you out there appreciate Jack, myself and a few other strong handicappers on this site, if for no other reson the time and effort we give. I have been on here for about 11 years now and have never been any other poster than ARROW. I have never posted on any other site other than Madjacks. I do read some other posters on here and do enjoy the sharp, witty and humor by many. I do not write much on other threads, and usually only offer info if i feel it can be of help. I do not engage in bashing, unless to defend myself or whom i concider friends on this site who are being unfairly critized, as i hope they would defend me in return. We are on here for one reason, and that is to help people win money. I hope some of you feel i have helped you win money. I enjoy all of you, and realize sometimes we have bad days. This will be my last post of this football season. Good luck to all of you on the super bowl.

1ST Half UNDER 23

Pitt and G.B. are 1 and 2 in total defense. Green Bay will be conservative in the first Quarter, and Pitt likes to run the ball and use the clock. This game sets up for who makes the first mistake loses, and i believe both defenses are strong enough that even a defensive td, or kick off or punt return for a touchdown would not still be enough to get over the generous number of 23.
We all know that playing against Pitt for the first time is never easy.But it takes two good defensive units for this play, and Green Bay has the capability to shut down Pitt also. They are favored for a reason. Both teams will be healthier in two weeks, and i believe it will be a 10-3 or 10-7 half. I would not be surprised to see one of the quarters go scoreless.Thus my TOP PLAY IS for the S.B.

Under the 23 for the first half total for 5 dimes.

I am also teasing Pitt +8- and under 52 for the game for 2 dimes.

Good Luck, been a fun year! ARROW :toast:



Classy Post Arrow!! GL on your playS!! :0008
 

Shleprock

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Classy Post Arrow!! GL on your playS!! :0008

just some info I got straight from a packer players mouth "we are going to play fast faster than usual from the first time we get the ball until its over."This was from an offensive player so take it what its worth. I take it as spread out steelers,pass pass pass, hurry up offense. Personally I see fireworks for the first half. One last thing some time today I will get leroy butlers prediction on game. He has been right on the last 10 scores he gave.
 
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arrow

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under

under

I am well aware of what the packers will try to do. I love this under based on what the steelers do. slow methodical drives that keep the other offense off the field and chew up the clock. Remember i lived in Wisc. and talk to green bay people everyday. :shrug: Good luck on your plays, :nono: i stick by my bet made the first day the line came out. The lines has moved a point and a half in my favor.Vegas thinks i am right! I did"nt feel nearly as good last year on my under play with the colts and the saints, but it worked out and went under. I will take my chances that both offenses will not be perfect the first half. and stand by my statements that the first half is all about not losing it then winning it.

ARROW:toast: :0003 :0003 :0003 :0003
 

Cie

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Arrow, I respect your capping ability, and am pleased to see you on 1h under. Thanks for your continued efforts:toast:
 
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