:facepalm: I know this read by most of you is not going to be what you were looking for from me. One thing i really pay attention to is the line movements off of 14 ,7,3 and so on with key numbers.
If the vegas books are moving this to 14.5 there is a ton of rally smart money on Florida. :nono:
I took a good look today at the numbers for both offenses and defenses. Florida will have there way with louisville running the ball. The line projects florida to be ahead and louisville will be passing. Louisville played a really bad schedule and if you can find a similar team that louisville played even close to florida you would have to look at the syracuse game in which the orangeman had there way with the cardinals.
:nono: So for people to be backing Louisville tonight you better hope they play clean football and don't make the stupid mistakes. Now florida defensively will make you have mistakes. But they tend to play close to the teams they play like Mossouri and a few others where it was a low scoring game. But the spreads in most of those games were 7 or less, not 14.5. :nono:
So for me, i have two locals that have not moved there morning lines of 14 and 46. I am going to down size my bets with those two and tease this game to the over. Remember that 14.5 is telling and if i believe there is any trap it may be taking that hook in play and betting even more money on the cardinals.
Vegas does'nt lose money often and for me that is a very telling move. Look for Florida to have a big night rushing the football, 200 yards plus and control this game with field advantages and knowing louisville will be passing when they are behind.
two team teaser 7 points -120
20 units
lines 14,46
florida -7 and over 39
good luck guys, sorry i'm bucking the trend like i did in florida state lat night.:shrug:
ARROW
If the vegas books are moving this to 14.5 there is a ton of rally smart money on Florida. :nono:
I took a good look today at the numbers for both offenses and defenses. Florida will have there way with louisville running the ball. The line projects florida to be ahead and louisville will be passing. Louisville played a really bad schedule and if you can find a similar team that louisville played even close to florida you would have to look at the syracuse game in which the orangeman had there way with the cardinals.
:nono: So for people to be backing Louisville tonight you better hope they play clean football and don't make the stupid mistakes. Now florida defensively will make you have mistakes. But they tend to play close to the teams they play like Mossouri and a few others where it was a low scoring game. But the spreads in most of those games were 7 or less, not 14.5. :nono:
So for me, i have two locals that have not moved there morning lines of 14 and 46. I am going to down size my bets with those two and tease this game to the over. Remember that 14.5 is telling and if i believe there is any trap it may be taking that hook in play and betting even more money on the cardinals.
Vegas does'nt lose money often and for me that is a very telling move. Look for Florida to have a big night rushing the football, 200 yards plus and control this game with field advantages and knowing louisville will be passing when they are behind.
two team teaser 7 points -120
20 units
lines 14,46
florida -7 and over 39
good luck guys, sorry i'm bucking the trend like i did in florida state lat night.:shrug:
ARROW
opcorn2
