atl vs wash opinions needed

[Billy in 4C]

any team that runs the ball an avg of 175 yards a game and has +7 turnover margine isnt gonna get too many points at home

ATL weak run defense doesnt match up well

On the other hand Matt Ryan has been solid this year and is going against a pretty poor pass defense

This one smells like a Falcons letdown

 

[tulah]

While I agree with your take on the game, it looks like
you disregard money management.
IMO a longterm successful punter flat bets 90% of the time and the other 10% might be a double.
Unloading or GOY status is dangerous. Good Luck
on your ROAD big bet.

money management is absolutely the key to long term success.... by no means is this a goy for me.
I am a 1 x to 3 x bettor with nfl plays ...
so to clarify i have
atl x2
over 50.5 x3

 

[the addict]

washington and the under....

 

[tulah]

washington and the under....

the over is 4 and 0 and Washington games this year.
best of luck

 

[VMANIA]

?????????

?????????

I think you all are underestimating the true impact of RG3....I would counter argue that he is the most important player to his team in the NFL and the MVP at this point, rookie QB's just dont do this: damn near 70 % completion pct, 4 pass TD, 4 rush TD, only 1 pick.....I think Skins +3 is the play here and I think Skins to win the NFC East is a good value play at this time, if you watched Sunday Night and Monday Night, tell me where I am wrong......

GL gents

 

[Old School]

what about washington's defense thou? yea i understand they will be able to score some points.. but will they be able to stop atlanta? feel like betting ATL with the OVER, your playing with house money.. can anyone see ATL not scoring 26?

Wash. gives up 326 yards PER GAME thru the air..

2nd to last in a league...

the Falcons avgerage 290 a game...

the question is can Wash score 30 to keep it close..

this skins team is still a long ways from serious playoff consideration..

long long way to go before they close the holes is the horrible "D".

 

[elmer fudd]

atl rolls..pretty high scoring...opcorn2

 

[REDSKIN]

This has "Sucker Bet" written all over it!!! This line opens at 3 and with 71% of the early money coming in on Atl, the line hasn't moved. In fact, 5 Dimes is now offering 2.5. I understand the Atlanta passing game is probably the best in the league and the Skins pass D sucks but are we ignorant to think the guys who set these lines don't know this too??? Anyone who makes ATL their play of the year is in for a shock. In no way is this a hoomer post, anyone who reads my posts knows I play the sharp lines that move in the opposite direction of the bets coming in. Mr. Billy Walters says he knows who's gonna win the game/cover just by looking at the opening line, think he's taking ATL this week? :nono:

 

[cash]

This has "Sucker Bet" written all over it!!! This line opens at 3 and with 71% of the early money coming in on Atl, the line hasn't moved. In fact, 5 Dimes is now offering 2.5. I understand the Atlanta passing game is probably the best in the league and the Skins pass D sucks but are we ignorant to think the guys who set these lines don't know this too??? Anyone who makes ATL their play of the year is in for a shock. In no way is this a hoomer post, anyone who reads my posts knows I play the sharp lines that move in the opposite direction of the bets coming in. Mr. Billy Walters says he knows who's gonna win the game/cover just by looking at the opening line, think he's taking ATL this week? :nono:

Give me a break! There is a tooth fairy as well.

 

[REDSKIN]

That post could possibly be the most trite and obtuse comment I've ever seen on here. In response, we should probably ask the best cappers on here what they think. My guess would be that Kid, Jord 20, Addict, LDB and Thunder will be playing Wash if they get down on this game. The last NFL line that stunk this bad was the Pitts/Oak line of 3 that played 2 weeks ago. I think we all know how that one ended up. That Minny/San Fran game also comes to mind. 69% on San Fran and line drops from 7 down to 6.5. In that game Minny punched the niners in the mouth. It's like Kid says, more than 80% of the time Vegas knows how these games are gonna play out and I think they have this game pegged. Guess we'll find out on Sunday afternoon.

 

[tulah]

I'm fully aware that vegas gives no gifts...but I have had a ton of luck capping redskins games over my lifetime...I think the line is fishy without a doubt...
Shoulda been more...I capped it at atl-6.5 an 54.
I'm already on the over and feel super confident about it...but once i go over the %s on Sunday morning i might feel like buying it back....only time will tell...but at first glance my thoughts was and are still atl-3.
And i get the feeling that -3 won't be around on Sunday...so i may get the opportunity to take redskins at +4 or better if i decide to buy off.

a quick glance at some week 4 games.
last weeks lines had NE-3.5 SF -3.5 and Carolina /ATL total 51 over and a ginormous % of wagers on those 3...but they easily won and or covered...just sayin somitetimes Vegas' read on a game is not as spot on as we tend to think...

 

[Livin'tillthEnd]

That post could possibly be the most trite and obtuse comment I've ever seen on here. In response, we should probably ask the best cappers on here what they think. My guess would be that Kid, Jord 20, Addict, LDB and Thunder will be playing Wash if they get down on this game. The last NFL line that stunk this bad was the Pitts/Oak line of 3 that played 2 weeks ago. I think we all know how that one ended up. That Minny/San Fran game also comes to mind. 69% on San Fran and line drops from 7 down to 6.5. In that game Minny punched the niners in the mouth. It's like Kid says, more than 80% of the time Vegas knows how these games are gonna play out and I think they have this game pegged. Guess we'll find out on Sunday afternoon.

:0074

funny lines to me in which the dog appears strong---
wash, clev, jax, and tenn ---would take some balls to put money on all of them but you have situational plays on clev playing a team in the gmen who always seem to play inferior teams close at home at least once ayear and just lost a close div game---jax w their 2nd home game in a row and chi off their shellacking of dallas on mnf, but now traveling again---
minn have obviously turned a corner, but can definitely see hasselback creating a qb controversy w/ a strong showing and possible straight up win--
not the most in depth analysis, but these lines seem to stick out in one way or another for me

 

[PBRmeASAP]

I like Washington with the points in this one. I haven't been too sold on the Falcons lead by Ryan when they get out of the Georgia Dome and have to play on the road.

Granted they are 2-0 in road games this year, but it's been against poor opponents in San Diego and Kansas City. Washington is better than both of those teams.

I see somewhat of a grinder...like 23-21 but wouldn't be surprised to see a 38-35 type game either.

 

[East2West]

washington and the under....

Agreed!!! Washington and under....... like I told you before addict!, I am a Skins fan for life....but this game is a tough one for RGIII to face off undefeated team.
IMO!!! Washington coach will use his best QB to play 3 dimensional ground game to keep Ryan stay on side line as much as he can... Washington will run and QB draw all day long unless they way behind then different story...

Everybody can see it over very easy... Washington average 30 points in four game. 40, 28, 31, and 24... now the line is 50.5 which Washington defense gave up a lot of points too... so let me pick against the odd.

UNDER for me. + Washington...

GL!!!! all

p.s. also, best pick for the money will be Washington TT Over 24 pts