Atlanta Analysis

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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Record so far

We havent picked a winner yet....so in that department we are a dismal

0-3 (- 134.5 units) That may look bad...but as soon as we pick one, assuming it is soon, we should get right back to the Mendoza line.

Matchups (at 5 units a piece) 17-14 (+24 units)



I will be back in the morning with a writeup.....


Matchups in this one are pretty tight, so I will be careful
 

howdy

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Sep 20, 2002
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Tease,
Glad you made it in this week.
You are right on about the matchups! I found a couple goods ones but that was it.

Good luck with your plays today!
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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OK im gonna post my plays now, and a little info right after in case someone might be waiting to follow my plays (yea right) :D

To win bets:

Stewart 8-1 (25 units)(100 unit profit if win)
B Labonte 9-1 (15 units) (45 unit profit if win)
Newman 10-1 (20 units) ( 125 unit profit if win)
J Johnson 10-1 (15 units) (60 unit profit if win)
Nemachek 17-1 (12 units) (111 unit profit if win)
R Wallace 20-1 (7 units) (42 unit profit if win)
Harvick 20-1 (7 units) (42 unit profit if win)
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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Matchups

Stewart -185 over Dale Jr
R Wallace -110 over Jarrett
J Burton +100 over Waltrip
Elliott +105 over Marlin
Craven +100 over Benson
J Burton +115 over Dale Jr
Craven -105 over Blaney
Mayfield +105 over W Burton
Nemacheck +105 over W Burton
B Labonte -160 over Dale Jr
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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OK....with the picks outta the way here are some of the guys that are overvalued and undervalued this week.




Overvalued:

Dale Jr: He has raced well here in the past....BUT this car is not running right. He is loose and his crew has been unable to fix it up to this point. This is NOT a track not to be handling poorly. If his crew doesnt fix it before racetime, he will be rolling his car into the garage after hitting a wall. That is a promise

Waltrip: One of the other DEI cars is one of the worst in the field today. The DEI cars are almost too fast for this track, which is causing them to become loose, and handle like crap. Waltrip was terrible in Happy Hour, and he has not really been great here in the past. The fact that he is the points leader and Dayton winner, he is overvalued this week.

J Gordon: OK I am officially off the band wagon.....this guys pit crew just sucks. Gordon always has the setup correct at some time during each race, but it is never at the end. You always hear him say "He are loose now, and we are way tight." That isnt because the car is bad, or Jeff is a bad driver....if is because Robbie Loomis is a bad crew chief. Bottom line....that is why Jimmie Johnson is better than Gordon and has been for about a year now. He will be overvalued for most of the year.

Ward Burton: Bottom line this guy is lost this week. The team has been lost for most of the year, and they have been one of the worst cars here all week. Unless they solve something before racetime, they should be at the back of the pack....and that should show some negative value since he has been good here in the past


Undervalued:

Joe Nemachek: he is driving the number 25 car which he finished 2nd in last time in Atlanta...which is also the ride that Jerry Nadeau won his first race in and should have won his second race. This team is always set up the right way at this race track. If he finishes the race...he will be in the top 5, and very well could win this race....he is my number 2 selection.

Jerry nadeau: He is on another team, granted a team that isnt as good as the number 25 car, but Nadeau still knows how to get around this track. He has been fast all week, and will look to be a Top 5-10 car. This is much better than most tracks and for that is worth a shot in most matchups.
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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well im gonna do some in-race bitching because if I get screwed out of this race i will never bet this dumb ass sport again. Of the 7 cars that I pegged as the best and the best shot to win the race....they all have been in the front all day long....and now they are starting to drop like flies, as usual for me.

First Rusty rund into the wall, then Nemachek has a loose lugnut...what next? LaBonte will blow his weekly tire? Maybe Newman will run out of gas?

I cant take another loss like this.....Maybe my bitching will stop the bad karma...because as it stands, I am counting this as a loss. I am sure that Gordon or Jr will win this race
 

ChuckyTheGoat

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Interesting info, Big Tease. GL w/ the plays. You may still have the winner. Could be Bobby Labonte's day?
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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Yup we lost......oh well. I am done with this for this year. Ya know it is funny....I feel like I have a really good grip on this sport. But there is a reason that Las Vegas doesnt get much action on the sport....and that is because half of the people dont know anything about it, and the other half are smart enough to know that it is unpredictable and uncappable.


Congrats to the rainbow freakin warrior:rolleyes:
 

The Big Tease

DUKE SUCKS
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LOL! I knew I could jinx that son of a bitch:D


Oh well....I really didnt profit all that much this week if at all, due to terrible matchups. Oh well....I am glad to get off the schnide. I think that may start to look up from here on out!
 

royalfan

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Sep 5, 2002
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Good work Big Tease!! I thought you were going to get jammed again after all the cautions at the end. Justice finally served. Once again you drilled your analysis and finally got rewarded. Thanks for you analysis and efforts. Hopefully you keep it coming. Great call on Nemechek's car. He was much stronger than his finish IMO. Could have even won with proper pit execution potentially.
 
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