Australian Open

[alb]

I watched both games and I thought Clijsters played very well.....she had to as Schiavone pushed her hard. The odds have reflected this as Clijsters is now 2nd fav and Hingas' odds have been pushed out. If both chicks repeat their last (Clijsters/Hingas)....I would guess Kimmie wins 6-3, 6-1. I'm hoping Hingas just had a lapse.

Anyway, Bags is rolling on a high right now and a repeat performance could beat Lubie but the odds are right.

I see a Fed/Lubjicic final......but Nalbandian should cruise through the quarters. Rumour has it that the Fed fears Lubie the most.

 

[inzone]

I didnt see the whole clijsters match but from what I saw she didnt play that well, schiavone fought hard, but I saw the stat line and clijsters had almost twice as many errors as winners.

I wish Hingis worked on her serve more, b/c she still has all the shots. Her serve is still the weakest part of her game.

I agree with you though I still think clijsters wins

 

[alb]

Well it was a bit scary but the bad ankle theory was definitely the deciding factor as Henin-Hardon beats Davenport. Another sad match to watch but HH was suffering from a sore shoulder so maybe the injuries were the cause of yet another pathetic display of women's tennis. Davenport would have won easily I'm sure if healthy.

HH goes on to face Sharapova......probably another ridiculous game of unforced errors and double faults. I couldn't guess at the winner of that one.

Unfortunately for me, Hingas goes to a 3-set gruelling tie-breaking doubles match the day before she faces Clijsters. She ran out of gas against Stosur yesterday and now this. Why is she playing doubles when she isn't in proper shape yet (which she admitted in her Aussie Open tune-up). I don't know how she will handle Clijsters now....who should be the tournament favourite now due to HH's shoulder problem.

Something like 14 straight favorites in the hoe's now. :mj10:


Nalbandian cruises as expected and will probably be a slight favourite over Lubie as I think Bags will make him earn the W.



YTD
10-27...+6.66 :scared

O/R...-3.0
3 Pending;
Hingas 2u each way @ 20/1
Lubjicic .5u 35/1 and .5 each way @ 33/1
The Fed 8u @ -200

 

[alb]

Never mind Bags making Ljubicic earn the W.....he's force feeding him a big 'L'. Amazing to watch.....watch him burn my money that is.

 

[alb]

1u Clijsters Outright @ +350

YTD
10-27...+6.66 1 pending

O/R...-4.5
3 Pending;
Hingas 2u each way @ 20/1
1u Clijsters @ +350
The Fed 8u @ -200

 

[alb]

I would really love to get the big guns out here on Bags but Nalbandian is better equipped to break his serve than Arod and Lubie were. On the other hand, Nalbandian doesn't serve as good as those two. Strictly a value play here as I price Nalbandian @ -175.

Bagdhatis + 200

Whoever wins, The Fed is probably feeling a bit nervous looking at whatever lies ahead of Kiefer.

On that subject....The Fed should have an easy 3-0 win here but even the set-betting price is too short for my blood.

Can't see a play on the hoe's as there has been something like 16 straight favourites. Sharapova and HH (sore shoulder) won't even be worth watching from a tennis point of view. Fortunately, I have a few fantasies involving those two, me and a hottub, that may keep me interested for awhile. Clijsters looks good but Mauresmo hasn't had a real game yet so who knows what she'll bring. The winner of the tournament should come from this pair.


YTD
10-28...+5.66 1 pending

O/R...-8.5
2 Pending;
Clijsters 1u @ +350
The Fed 8u @ -200

 

[alb]

YTD
11-28...+7.66

O/R...-9.5
1 Pending;
The Fed 8u @ -200


Bags is a stud!!!!

Tough loss for Nalbandian. The Fed must be a bit nervous but also a bit relieved that this guy has knocked out his toughest competition. (Roddick, Ljubicic and Nalbandian)

 

[alb]

So Mauresmo gets to a grand slam final via 4 token matches and 2 retirements. Granted she looked on her way to a good win against Clijsters anyway.
HH gets there via 4 token matches....a crippled quarter finalist and finally earning advancement beating Sharapova (who was also gifted a semi appearance despite playing poor all the way through).

Bagdhatis' spent about about 3 times longer on the court as his route included three 5-set marathons. His matches also included easy advancement tokens.....names like Stepanek, Roddick, Lubjicic and Nalbandian. For his reward he gets an easy final against some rookie named Federer.

Yup.....very similar....I can see why the hoe's should get the same credit and money as the men.


Hoe's;
Going with Maurlesbo @ + 220 for 2u. If she plays the same, I think she comes out on top. But mentally she is no match for HH so do not be surprised if she chokes it away. I think this is the main reason HH is favoured in this spot. I have HH priced at -190 because of the mental factor.

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

What a crock of chit/

Fk henin. crying bich. just cause she's getting her ass kicked.

i played MALESBO as well for a couple units and of course get the bet voided at pinny cause 2 sets arent' complete.

joke.

played the greek guy too, although not sure why.

again to reiterate. henine hardene is a whore. thats all.

gl

 

[alb]

Well another joke in the Hoe's tennis. No surprise really but this time we collect.

YTD
12-28...+12.06

O/R...-9.5
1 Pending;
The Fed 8u @ -200

 

[hemiscatpak]

should federer win tonite?

 

[UT-Longhorn]

The only chance Baghdatis has is if......

1) He serves extremely well.

2) He tries to nail every groundstroke. He's not gonna be able to cope with Federer from the back of the court in most rallies, he's also going to be physically tired so doesn't want to get dragged into long points. My advice would be like Roddick at the beginning of the 2004 Wimbledon final. Just go for it. He has nothing to lose, and will make a lot of errors this way, but at least he will take the match out of Federer's comfort zone.

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

should federer win tonite?

he should win. doesn't mean he will. theres such a big gap between him and any other guy on tour on a hard surface its scary.

line opened around -750 and has dropped a little bit since, but hard to tell as people hedge their futures and what not.

i will say that baghditas is the one guy federer did not want to play. he has every intangible working for him. he's definitely a crowd pleaser and gonna have the support of the australian crowd and the blue shirts behind him. he's the story of this open, and although they have played before, a relative unknown. federer would much rather be playing roddick where he could just blow him out of the water again. american tennis is in a sad state when hes your best male player.

fed is obviously better and has much more experience in this setting, but bags has shown a lot of heart and does have some intangibles working for him.

bags could win, which says a lot, because if fed was playing roddick or a kiefer type player, you couldn't say that player "could" win.


gl

 

[alb]

Remember Bags is a course and distance winner here when winning this tournament in 2003 as a junior. If you had seen him and The Fed play (throughout the tournament) without knowing who they were, you would be hard pressed to say who was better. The Fed has shown brilliant flashes but he hasn't played his best for a whole game yet. Is this because he hasn't needed to or is it because he's not in full groove yet? I expect Bags to win a set (or Fed slacks off a set) so there should be some pressure on The Fed at some point.

For what it's worth, I price The Fed at -400 so there is obvious value in taking Bags. I won't be backing him though because if he wins, it surely must be a 5 setter (12/1).

.5u Fed wins 3-2 @ 8/1
.5u Bags wins 3-2 @ 12/1

I expect at least 1 tie-break and at least 4 sets so I will be looking for over # of games and possibly Bags + handicap.

 

[alb]

Don't think I am going to find better than 36.5 so betting it now.

2u over 36.5 games @ even money.

 

[alb]

YTD
12-28...+12.06

O/R...-1.5

Props....+1



Hingas was my make or break of the tourney (just needed her to make the final) and of course she pulls the upset of winning the mixed doubles. :cursin:

Despite showing an overall win on posted stuff, I feel disappointed as I lost too many other dog bets.........mostly in the hoe's. Speaking of which the overall hoe's performance was a disgrace and they should all be embarrassed to call themselves professionals....with the exception of Hingas, Clijsters and Mauresmo. We never saw any fault in Mauresmo but it must be nice to be gifted every single match she played....4 walkovers and 3 retirements.

Even the master Federer had to work for his trophy.