Bad timing on Iraq

AR182

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nobody likes what is going on in iraq. and nobody in this forum know the specifics of what is going on in iraq, other than what we read in the papers or see on the news. so i thought that i would post this article because it gives the other side of the argument from what the majority of other posts of this forum think. i happen to agree that it's much too early to judge whether this extra troop (from what i have read about this war, i always felt that we needed more troops) surge is working.btw this opinion piece is from one of the s.f. newspapers (of all places).


Bad timing on Iraq

Debra J. Saunders


Thursday, July 12, 2007

DURING a teleconference from Iraq with reporters last week, Maj. Gen. Rick Lynch, commander of coalition forces operating in the region south of Baghdad, explained, "Lynch's rules of war fighting." Rule 1 is, "Everything is timing, and the second rule is, everything takes longer than you think it's going to take."

I've had people ask me what it would take for me to support withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq. The answer: If military leaders such as Lynch or top Iraq commander Gen. David Petraeus say this war is not winnable, then it's time to get out.

But when U.S. senators -- be they Republicans Richard Lugar and Pete Domenici, or Democrats Hillary Clinton and Harry Reid -- call for a timetable to withdraw U.S. troops, that's not a sign to get out. It's a sign that D.C. pols want to be on the popular side of an unpopular war.

It's a sign that Washington lacks what Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., described as "the courage necessary to put our country's interests before every personal or political consideration." U.S. troops serving in Iraq deserve better.

It simply is too soon to be talking about the surge failing. U.S. forces in Iraq did not meet full surge strength until June 15. It makes no sense to send an additional 20,000 troops to Iraq, then not give them the time to do their job.

It also makes no sense to call for a change in plans now that the Bush administration is doing what critics demanded -- increasing troops and changing strategy. More important, there is evidence that the surge and the Petraeus approach to fighting counterinsurgency are working.

Lynch told reporters, "What I believe is (that) al Qaeda has worn out its welcome. They've overplayed their hand, and their tactics have indeed backfired." More Iraqis are coming forward to share intelligence in ways that have not occurred before. U.S. troops are seizing weapons caches, which should reduce the number of bombs used against American forces.

Lynch also noted that Iraqi troops are beginning to identify as Iraqis, not simply as Sunnis and Shiites.

Sunni tribes in Anbar Province are reported to have flipped from their alliance with al Qaeda in Iraq. Returning from Iraq, McCain noted that Ramadi, "which just months ago stood as Iraq's most dangerous city, is now one of the safest."

Not all of Lynch's words were reassuring. He criticized Iraqi police as "either not competent or corrupt." Lynch noted that he has been fighting to "clear, to hold, to retain" territory that "became an enemy sanctuary because no one was there" to keep insurgents out.

During Wednesday's Senate debate, many senators argued that a troop withdrawal is needed because American troops have no business fighting in another country's civil war. Nice sound bite, but Americans should be clear that this is not a civil war with two sides fighting on a battlefield. It is a war in which terrorists from various factions are waging war against civilized society, using violence and intimidation to sabotage efforts to stabilize and secure Iraqi daily life. If the ugly tactics of purposefully killing innocent civilians prevail, then those tactics will spread beyond Iraq's borders.

As McCain noted in prepared remarks on July 10, if al Qaeda insurgents "defeat the United States in Iraq, they will believe that anything is possible, that history is on their side, that they really can bring their terrible rule to lands the world over."

And: "the terrorists are in the war to win it. The question is: Are we?"

The answer, judging by this weeks' debate in the Senate, is: Not exactly. Thankfully, there are still enough (mostly Republican) senators to block bills to start pulling out U.S. troops.

With more than 3,600 U.S. troops killed in Iraq, many Americans just want this war to go away. That's a natural desire, but it ignores the price that American troops will have to pay if U.S. troops again are called to arms.

For all the mistakes that have been made, the Iraq war effort today benefits from the new Petraeus counterinsurgency strategy, committed U.S. troops and Iraqis who sense a final chance to grab the brass ring of normalcy. While Iraqi politicians are failing, many Iraqi people are risking their lives to bring about change.

This moment should not be sacrificed because American voters and politicians are tired of the war -- not when those at the center of this storm believe they can make it work.
 

Spytheweb

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Iraqi preparedness down
At the Pentagon, meanwhile, Marine Gen. Peter Pace, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told reporters that the number of battle-ready Iraqi battalions able to fight on their own has dropped to a half-dozen from 10 in recent months despite heightened American training efforts.


This war has been going on for 4 and a half years, when America finally wins who's there to take over? Iraq has not signed that oil deal that will give away their oil to the west yet, so we have not won yet. 3,600+ dead Americans and maybe 2,000 more dead before Bush leaves office. But give it time, what's a few thousand more military lives, there's big bucks at stake here, the new oil law will make some people very very rich, i heard the number 21 trillion dollars being thrown around. I thought the President's job was to safeguard American lives, not sell them out for a profit. I guess this is the new world order.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Thanks AR I would agree on most points--probably most important was A-Q overplaying their hand and Iraq'i beginning to see the light and turn on them--might be why Al-Zachari been preaching last few weeks.

On being winable--depends on what one calls winning. Already won 1st phase of ousting Saddam and his guard in record time--followed by failure to plan for aftermath--scored another win on setting up democracy there --followed by failure to realize corruption of gov in place.
Phase 3 is currently in place with out come in question.
If we can get to position where we had couple of bases there for reinforcements with Iraqi's doing the ruling ' semi competently" I would also call that a victory.

Biggest obstacle is not A-Q as they have no shot with our presense in area--only possibilty of loss is if we don't have guts to match A-Q tenacity of sticking it out--which is their only hope.

Have their been mistakes--plenty but every war has mistakes--only diff between VN and this war vs Korean and world wars--is gov controled media then and all you saw on the screen was our victories not f--ups--in this era you have the opposite--the media bombards you with the negatives--and rairly see the positives.

However on negative side very hard to accomplish last phase when radical elements are your allies

I'd like to how progess goes to Sept--then adobt at least a modification of Luger/Warner proposal regardless of outcome
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,289254,00.html

--and to give credit where credit is due--an almost identicle proposal was brought up by Biden about 18 months ago--which I also acknowlegded I liked back then.
 
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ImFeklhr

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Man, that is the type of article you get out of this right wing city. Friggin neo-con town better fall into the ocean next earthquake. :142smilie

Debra J Saunders = San Francisco Chronicle.

:00x19
 

bryanz

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Thanks AR I would agree on most points--probably most important was A-Q overplaying their hand and Iraq'i beginning to see the light and turn on them--might be why Al-Zachari been preaching last few weeks.

On being winable--depends on what one calls winning. Already won 1st phase of ousting Saddam and his guard in record time--followed by failure to plan for aftermath--scored another win on setting up democracy there --followed by failure to realize corruption of gov in place.
Phase 3 is currently in place with out come in question.
If we can get to position where we had couple of bases there for reinforcements with Iraqi's doing the ruling ' semi competently" I would also call that a victory.

Biggest obstacle is not A-Q as they have no shot with our presense in area--only possibilty of loss is if we don't have guts to match A-Q tenacity of sticking it out--which is their only hope.

Have their been mistakes--plenty but every war has mistakes--only diff between VN and this war vs Korean and world wars--is gov controled media then and all you saw on the screen was our victories not f--ups--in this era you have the opposite--the media bombards you with the negatives--and rairly see the positives.

However on negative side very hard to accomplish last phase when radical elements are your allies

I'd like to how progess goes to Sept--then adobt at least a modification of Luger/Warner proposal regardless of outcome
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,289254,00.html

--and to give credit where credit is due--an almost identicle proposal was brought up by Biden about 18 months ago--which I also acknowlegded I liked back then.

You can dress it up and sugar coat it any way you want, the hard core reality stays the same. Taking Saddam out and making sure he had no wmd's should have been the mission. Thinking that a win has been scored with a democracy in Iraq is ludicrous. There will never be a democracy in Iraq until all foreign military are off the ground and the people of the region birth it, nurture it and defend it. Finally, your thinking if flawed and shows no understanding of the global war we are in and who our enemy is when you compare this war to past wars. I going to explain it to you one more time. I have said this for years. WE WILL NEVER WIN A GROUND WAR IN IRAQ, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE. WE ARE FIGHTING A CONVENTIONAL WAR AGAINST TERRORIST. THERE IS NO AMOUNT OF THESE PEOPLE THAT WE CAN KILL, NO LAND THAT WE CAN SECURE TO MAKE THEM SURRENDER. THIS IS JUST PLAY FOR THESE GUYS, THEY WILL FIGHT UNTIL THE END OF TIME AS LONG AS WE PROVIDE THE TARGETS. EVEN IF WE KILLED EVEY TERRORIST ON THE GROUND IN IRAQ, THE THREAT AGAINST AMERICANS HERE AT HOME AND AROUND THE WORD WOULD BE THE SAME AS IT IS TODAY. Our highly visible force in Iraq is the wrong strategy. They know where we are, we don't even know friend from foe and the enemies biggest weapon against us is IED's. We are playing right into their hands. Osama & alqaeda are doing to America what he and Reagan did to the Russians in Afghanistan in the 80's. We are sucking dry our fighting force and wasting billions on a scheme that makes no sense. What should eventually happen in Iraq is something we should have done after the fall of Saddam. Keep working some special ops in the area, use air power to hit priority targets. We have to fight terror with terror. If we had ONE MILLION MEN TO PUT ON THE GROUND IN IRAQ AND SECURED THE COUNTRY THE SAME THING WOULD HAPPEN WHEN WE LEFT. THEY ARE GOING TO FIGHT THIS THING OUT AND IT WILL BE UP TO THE PEOPLE OF THE REGION TO DECIDE WHAT KIND OF GOVERNMENT THEY WILL HAVE. Not the people that America backs but all the people of the region. YOUR THINKING THAT A-Q HAS NO SHOT WITH OUR PRESENCE IN THE AREA IS LAUGHABLE !!! THEY LOVE OUR PRESENCE IN THE AREA !!!! THEY HAVE US BOGGED DOWN FOR 5 YRS SPENDING BILLIONS DEMORALIZING THE AMERICAN PEOPLE AND OUR FIGHTING FORCE FOR PENNIES TO OUR DOLLARS !!! YOU ARE RIGHT. OUR BIGGEST OBSTACLE IS NOT A-Q. IT IS THE STUPIDITY & ARROGANCE YOU HAVE DISPLAYED IN THIS THREAD BY MIMICKING THE STUPIDITY & ARROGANCE OF THE ARCHITECTS OF THE EXECUTION OF THIS WAR !!!A-Q WANTS US TO STAY, WHERE ELSE ARE THEY GOING TO FIND A FEEDING GROUND LIKE THIS FOR THEIR WARRIORS ? THE BIG BOYS STILL HAVE THEIR EYE ON THE PRIZE AND THEIR ACE IN THEIR HANDS. THEY HOLD OVER THE AMERICAN PEOPLE THE THOUGHT OF THE NEXT 911. HAVING THE TENACITY OF STICKING IT OUT ON THE GROUND IN IRAQ IS NOT GOING TO STOP THAT. THAT IS NOT TENACITY, THAT IS PLAYING INTO THE HANDS OF AN ENEMY, THAT YOU DON'T UNDERSTAND ! THAT'S STUPIDITY !!!!
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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"WE WILL NEVER WIN A GROUND WAR IN IRAQ, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE"
=========================

Explain how it would be possible to lose a ground war with best military in the world--

--with exception of retreat--which miltary would not do unless forced to by non miltary element.

Would be like me saying you are never going to win war on drugs-poverty-inner city violence-aids-ect ect ect.--not possible so lets pull back all funding--correct?
 

Terryray

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Reminds me of Kipling:

"Take up the White Man's burden--
The savage wars of peace--
Fill full the mouth of Famine
And bid the sickness cease;
And when your goal is nearest
The end for others sought,
Watch sloth and heathen Folly
Bring all your hopes to nought..."


and reminds me of the guerrilla warfare we fought in the Philippine about the same time he wrote the poem. We declared a "victory" there after 3 years (employing a ruthless warfare we couldn't do now), but guerrilla attacks on US and Philippine forces continued for 11 more years.


James Fallows at Atlantic Monthly argues we should declare a victory over Terrorists now, and take some new approaches in the future, lest our reactions to it cause more damage than any terrorist threat--harmful reactions that terrorists themselves are trying to evoke.
 

The Sponge

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"WE WILL NEVER WIN A GROUND WAR IN IRAQ, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE"
=========================

Explain how it would be possible to lose a ground war with best military in the world--

--with exception of retreat--which miltary would not do unless forced to by non miltary element.

Would be like me saying you are never going to win war on drugs-poverty-inner city violence-aids-ect ect ect.--not possible so lets pull back all funding--correct?

First off you don't know we have the best military in the world and if we do its like a great team with a terrible coaching staff with an agenda(stealing). Which also spells disaster.
 

bryanz

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"WE WILL NEVER WIN A GROUND WAR IN IRAQ, IT IS NOT POSSIBLE"
=========================

Explain how it would be possible to lose a ground war with best military in the world--

--with exception of retreat--which miltary would not do unless forced to by non miltary element.

Would be like me saying you are never going to win war on drugs-poverty-inner city violence-aids-ect ect ect.--not possible so lets pull back all funding--correct?

You don't get it ! You are to emotionally involved. You are right , we have the best military in the world by far !!!! Second to none. You just pick and choose parts of my post to read & you read without comprehension. Go back and read it again and think about it with an open mind. I'm not anti Military. Many on the right and many people in the military past and present agree with me. We are not fighting another military, conventional rules do not apply. The only way we can have a military win and secure Iraq would be too bomb that country relentlessly until all the bad guys are dead or move away. Even if we did that , the security of Americans here at home and around the world would not improve. If we ended this war like we did in Japan we would still face the terrorist threat . Look what just happened with those two car bombs. How is any Military going to defend against that ? I'm not going to repeat myself, I told you what I think our course of action should be above. In the end it will probably end up as I see it. I'm not saying don't fight the war on terror, I'm saying fight a war we can win. You have never heard me say stop funding ! People with your mind set are locked in a time and place. You want to equate taking a different approach with failure, retreat and losing. Staying the course will grant you failure !
 
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StevieD

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I will agree that we still have the worlds strongest military. Our problem is that we keep getting suckered into these gorilla wars that we can't win. We can wipe these people off the face of the earth in two minutes. But they get us to fight their type of war. Where our technology is rendered useless and we have to knock door to door. A terrible position for our leaders to put our soldiers in.
 

djv

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I'm not sure if its the right name a ground war. When you have small groups of less then what 5 all over the country. And you send 15 guys to hunt for them. They get blown up and the 5 there looking for disappear into thin air. We don't have 500 charging the fort. In this type civil war it's always hide and seek. We have 150000 there and we need 200000 just to be able to chase all these small groups around. The war of take Iraq out was over in two months. The war to get Saddam over with in a year. So why are we there. Were targets. By the way prime minister of Iraq said we can leave anytime.
 

Chadman

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The fact remains - in my opinion - that it is a hollow point for conservatives to maintain the correct commentary that will come from Gen. Petraues is the benchmark that should now be followed as gospel and we should base further plans on. There are several retired generals that have served in that role or other important roles also charged with running and assessing the war that have said otherwise and that our plan is not working. Read a great article the other day showing that what we are doing right now - "The Surge" - is nothing more (less in some ways) than our initial foray with manpower and firepower that did not work.

What do you people honestly think the good General is going to say in his report? Do you honestly think he would come out with a report that says that we are failing and we should pull out? Or would it be written in a way that could be manipulated to keep things pretty much the way they are now? We're already hearing reports of requests for more money and soldiers for the surge, and when do you think that will occur? Yep, I would guess it would happen when Congress and the Senate were on recess, in August, before the September report. How perfect a storm is THAT for our loyal (to the truth) administration? You just can't make it up...

Yeah, I can see it now...the Good General steps to the podium in September and says...

"Wow, this didn't go nearly as well as we had planned. We are not meeting many of the benchmarks that were set out for me to accomplish in the surge I was in charge of. The insurgency really is motivated and difficult to have success against. Even WITH everything the democrats agreed to let us have in money and time. We thought we could do it, but jeez, we just can't. I suggest we pull out and redeploy at this time, since the surge was given a chance and it just hasn't gotten the job done. Since it was under my watch, and the watch of the President, I guess we both have failed the free world."

Somehow, I won't hold my breath for that report on Faux News...:rolleyes:
 

The Sponge

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The fact remains - in my opinion - that it is a hollow point for conservatives to maintain the correct commentary that will come from Gen. Petraues is the benchmark that should now be followed as gospel and we should base further plans on. There are several retired generals that have served in that role or other important roles also charged with running and assessing the war that have said otherwise and that our plan is not working. Read a great article the other day showing that what we are doing right now - "The Surge" - is nothing more (less in some ways) than our initial foray with manpower and firepower that did not work.

What do you people honestly think the good General is going to say in his report? Do you honestly think he would come out with a report that says that we are failing and we should pull out? Or would it be written in a way that could be manipulated to keep things pretty much the way they are now? We're already hearing reports of requests for more money and soldiers for the surge, and when do you think that will occur? Yep, I would guess it would happen when Congress and the Senate were on recess, in August, before the September report. How perfect a storm is THAT for our loyal (to the truth) administration? You just can't make it up...

Yeah, I can see it now...the Good General steps to the podium in September and says...

"Wow, this didn't go nearly as well as we had planned. We are not meeting many of the benchmarks that were set out for me to accomplish in the surge I was in charge of. The insurgency really is motivated and difficult to have success against. Even WITH everything the democrats agreed to let us have in money and time. We thought we could do it, but jeez, we just can't. I suggest we pull out and redeploy at this time, since the surge was given a chance and it just hasn't gotten the job done. Since it was under my watch, and the watch of the President, I guess we both have failed the free world."

Somehow, I won't hold my breath for that report on Faux News...:rolleyes:

Why i think this whole thread is ridiculous. As you stated Chad one general after another who were there have explained what the heck is going on after they took off their gags the administration handed out when they take the job. Now we are supposed to believe some right wing article with an agenda instead of the very generals who were there from the start? This is a failed policy that will never work and this has nothing to do with hoping we lose this insane activity and everything to do with common sense. There is nothing left to win unless there is an agenda by a bunch of criminals who got us in this in the first place. Its really kind of simple. Brazil has alternative fuel so why can't we? Now we never have to deal with this part of the world ever again. Unfortunately greed rears its ugly head with our scum politicians and we won't ever do this.
 

bryanz

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You don't get it ! You are to emotionally involved. You are right , we have the best military in the world by far !!!! Second to none. You just pick and choose parts of my post to read & you read without comprehension. Go back and read it again and think about it with an open mind. I'm not anti Military. Many on the right and many people in the military past and present agree with me. We are not fighting another military, conventional rules do not apply. The only way we can have a military win and secure Iraq would be too bomb that country relentlessly until all the bad guys are dead or move away. Even if we did that , the security of Americans here at home and around the world would not improve. If we ended this war like we did in Japan we would still face the terrorist threat . Look what just happened with those two car bombs. How is any Military going to defend against that ? I'm not going to repeat myself, I told you what I think our course of action should be above. In the end it will probably end up as I see it. I'm not saying don't fight the war on terror, I'm saying fight a war we can win. You have never heard me say stop funding ! People with your mind set are locked in a time and place. You want to equate taking a different approach with failure, retreat and losing. Staying the course will grant you failure !

DTB , I RESPONDED, RESPOND PLEASE.
 
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