Bases Fri 4/10

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Junior44

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YTD: 35-21 (+14.27) - Time for a comeback day......

As always, ill post em as i play em...............

Detroit (Montero) RL +131 over Miami (Paddack) (2x)
-Here we go again with one of my favorite go-against pitchers, Chris Paddack. Paddack has a 5.47 ERA in his last 3 years (with 3 different clubs) and ha started off this season 0-1 with and ERA of 8.31 in 2 appearances. In addition, he is 0-2 in his career vs the Tigers. In addition, Paddack is 0-2 in his career vs the Tigers and in his last start IN Detroit, he took the loss surrendering 3 ER's in 4 2/4 IP for an ERA of 5.79. Current Tigers are hitting .417 against Paddack, a boisterous number. Meanwhile, Detroit starts Keider Montero who in his only start vs Miami in Sept of last year threw 5 innings of shutout ball, getting the win. I see the Tigers lighting up Paddack this afternoon and recommend a play on the RL
 
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Cincinnati (Burnes) RL +115 over La Angels (Kochanowicz) (2x)
-Angles pitcher Jack Kochanowicz is just about the worst "road" pitcher in the majors that you will find. He has a career record of 3-11 on the road and in his last 5 starts on the road (including 1 this year) dating back to last year, he is 0-2 on the road with a stunning ERA of 13.86. The Red's bats come alive tonight against this gas can. Meanwhile, Chase Burns has a record this year of 2-0 with an ERA of 0.82 and 15 K's in 11 innings. In addition, Burns has a career record at home of 1-0 with a low ERA of 3.12. Play the Reds on the RL in what I see as a complete pitching mismatch.
 
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NY Mets (Holmes) -148 over Oakland A's (Ginn) (1x)
-This is about as high as I go on a favorite, but I believe the situation warrents it. Props to the A's for beating the Yanks yesterday, but JT Ginn is no Jeffery Springs. This is Ginn's first start of the year (after 3 unimpressive relief appearances) and is now 4-7 since 2025 with an ERA of 5.11. Meanwhile, the Mets counter with Clay Holmes who is 2-0 this year with an ERA of 1.42. Dating back to the 2021 season, Holmes (as a starter and a reliever) is 36-25 with an ERA of 2.94 in 255 appearances and has never allowed an ER vs the A's. In addition the Mets were49-32 at home in 2025. Play the NY Mets............
 
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Milwaukee (Patrick) RL +107 over Washington (Irvin) (2x)
-The Brewers come into tonight's game with a 2026 record at home of 5-1 and a record at home in 2025 of 52-29. Tonight, the Brewers send RHP Chad Patrick to the mound. Patrick, so far in 2026 is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.97, with both win being won by 4 runs. In fact, dating back to last year, the Brewers are 4-0 at home in his starts with an ERA for Patrick of 1.43. Meanwhile, the Nats start RHP Jake Irvin comes into this game with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 8.00 including a 10-5 demolition in his last start. Furthermore, Irvin has a career ERA of 5.68 on the road and is 0-6 career vs Milwaukee in his career with a 6.59 ERA!

*THIS IS A NO PLAY DUE TO PITCHING CHANGE*
 
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Junior44

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Re-adding Milwaukee after the pitching change:

Milwaukee (Ashby) RL +100 over Washington (Irvin) (2x)
Ashby looks like the opener for the Brewers and while to orginal play was a play ON patrick, is was also a play AGAINST Irvin. , the Nats start RHP Jake Irvin comes into this game with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 8.00 including a 10-5 demolition in his last start. Furthermore, Irvin has a career ERA of 5.68 on the road and is 0-6 career vs Milwaukee in his career with a 6.59. The Brewers come into tonight's game with a 2026 record at home of 5-1 and a record at home in 2025 of 52-29. In addition the Brewers are 9-1 their last 10 vs the O's with ALL wins coming by more than 2 runs.
 
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