Bases Fri 4/17

[Junior44]

YTD: 48-45 (-3.46u)

got a very late start due to a semi-emergency..........so not gonna do write ups today (please forgive me for 1 day) LOL.....All games have been handicapped thoroughly.

Cleveland (Bibee) -131 over Baltimore (Bassitt) (1x)
Cleveland (Bibee) RL +145 over Baltimore (Bassitt) (1x)

 

[Junior44]

Tampa Bay (Martinez) +125 over Pittsburgh (Chandler) (1x)

 

[Junior44]

Kansas City (Wacha) vs NY Yankees (Schlittler) Under 9 (1x)

 

[Junior44]

Atlanta (Perez) -110 over Philadelphia (Walker) (2x)
-This afternoon, The Braves start LHP Martin Perez who, in 3 starts this year, has an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 0.91. He has a career record against the Phillies of 4-1 with a 3.58 ERA. the Braves have won 2-straight and lead the NL East by 3 games with a run differencial of +44 (2nd in the majors) Meanwhile, the Phillies are in a complete funk so far in 2026, going 3-7 their last 10 and just 5-7 at home. They have a run differencial of -25 (2nd worst in the majors). They are averaging just 3.98 runs/game this season while giving up 5.39 runs/game. Today, they start Taijuan Walker has been dismal to start the season, going 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA. Play Atlanta this afternoon.

 

[steamfitter638]

Atlanta (Perez) -110 over Philadelphia (Walker) (2x)
-This afternoon, The Braves start LHP Martin Perez who, in 3 starts this year, has an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 0.91. He has a career record against the Phillies of 4-1 with a 3.58 ERA. the Braves have won 2-straight and lead the NL East by 3 games with a run differencial of +44 (2nd in the majors) Meanwhile, the Phillies are in a complete funk so far in 2026, going 3-7 their last 10 and just 5-7 at home. They have a run differencial of -25 (2nd worst in the majors). They are averaging just 3.98 runs/game this season while giving up 5.39 runs/game. Today, they start Taijuan Walker has been dismal to start the season, going 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA. Play Atlanta this afternoon.

Hope all is alright

 

[Micelli]

Question for ya, you seem to rely heavily on starting pitchers with the way to explain most of ur bets (Ik it’s not all u look at). If u heavily favor SP‘s, why not key in on 1st 5 inning bets?

 

[T]

Question for ya, you seem to rely heavily on starting pitchers with the way to explain most of ur bets (Ik it’s not all u look at). If u heavily favor SP‘s, why not key in on 1st 5 inning bets?

1st 5 used to be a goldmine. Now it’s nothing more than a flip of the coin.

 

[ChasDee]

1st 5 used to be a goldmine. Now it’s nothing more than a flip of the coin.

Plus, and if I'm not mistaken...isn't the line steeper? Something like a 40-cent line?

 

[T]

Plus, and if I'm not mistaken...isn't the line steeper? Something like a 40-cent line?

If it’s a top pitcher always higher 👍🏻

 

[Junior44]

Question for ya, you seem to rely heavily on starting pitchers with the way to explain most of ur bets (Ik it’s not all u look at). If u heavily favor SP‘s, why not key in on 1st 5 inning bets?

actually i look at most everything..........but yes indeed, I do rely more on starting pitching as good pitching is IMO 70% of the game and its more quantifyable to put down in writing. But in my writeups, i do include runs for vs runs against last 5-10 games and run diffential, as well as batter history vs a certain starting pitchers. I also use bullpen usage in my handicapping, but I can only write so much per game or I'd be up till 8 in the morning LOL.......The reason i have NEVER played first 5 inning wagers is exactly what the guys said (much much higher juice) plus its just not in my handicapping portfolio. Thanks for the question Micelli and I hope me (and the other guys) answered it for you...........Jr44

 

[Junior44]

Hope all is alright

everything fine steamfitter.........thanks for asking.......had to take my dog to the vet at around midnight, He's good

 

[canuckfan77]

YTD: 48-45 (-3.46u)

got a very late start due to a semi-emergency..........so not gonna do write ups today (please forgive me for 1 day) LOL.....All games have been handicapped thoroughly.

Cleveland (Bibee) -131 over Baltimore (Bassitt) (1x)
Cleveland (Bibee) RL +145 over Baltimore (Bassitt) (1x)

Hope all is well my friend

 

[Micelli]

Appreciate the response Junior! The juice can be much higher, but in many instances it’s only a 5-15 cent Difference. Like tonight NYY with Schlittler is -170, only -173 in the F5. Sea-127 but only -115 in the F5. But on the other extreme side of things, Minn is -169 but -210 on the F5! Just wanted to point out, in some cases it makes sense to check it out. Thanks and hope ya sweep the board!

 

[Junior44]

Adding 1 more:

Washington (Littell) +128 over San Francisco (Webb) 1x
-Despite squeaking out a 3-0 victory last night in Cincy (with all 3 runs unearned), the Giants are still a horrible team, sitting in last play in the AL West with a 7-12 record and a -24 run differencial. They have scored only 5 ER's in their last 4 games plays. Tonight, they start Logan Webb who had been terrible thus far in 2026, going 1-3 in 3 starts for an ERA of 5.45. In addition, he is 0-3 on the road this year. He is a vastly different pitcher on the road in his career, going just 32-32 with an ERA of 4.21. Meanwhile, the Nats are a nice tough out this year and starter Zack Littell is off to a great start going 2-0 with a low ERA. The Giants have NO business laying -148 on the road. Play the Nats today!

 

[Junior44]

WTF is Bubba Chandler shuting out the Rays through 5??

 

[Junior44]

Cleveland up 4-0...........gives up a 6 spot in the 8th.......Another meltdown. FML

 

[Plegacy]

Padres tonight Jr?

 

[Junior44]

Padres tonight Jr?

i want to really bad..........but Soriano has been lights out this year, so gonna pass............gL if you play them!

 

[Plegacy]

I'm gonna pass too.. thanks for the reply Jr

 

[Plegacy]

Good thing didn't touch the padres tonight.. Padres are good against lefties and Yikuchi is pitching for the angels tom.. might be the game to take the padres