Bases Fri 5/29
- Thread starter Junior44
- Start date
Atlanta (Holmes) RL +115 over Cincinnati (Paddack) (1x)
-Here we go again with one of my favorite fade pitchers in RHP Chris Paddack. Paddack is 0-6 this season with an ERA of 7.63 on the season, with his team going 1-8 in his 9 starts. His current from is even worse gong 0-3 in this last 5 games with an ERA of 8.02 (with the Reds going 0-5 as a team on those starts). In the last 2 years (with 3 different teams) he is 5-18 with an ERA of 5.81. Meanwhile, the Braves are coming off a demolishing of Boston 10-2. The Braves have the best record in the majors at 38-19 and are now 21-9 on the road and 17-9 vs teams over .500. while the Reds are 8-16 vs teams above .500, Tonight, Atlanta starts RHP Grant Holmes who is 1-0 with a 3.63 ERA on the road this year and the Braves are 7-3 as a team in his 10 starts. Finally, in 7 0f 8 of Paddack's losses, the opposing team won the game by more than 2 runs.........Play Atlanta on the run line......
-Here we go again with one of my favorite fade pitchers in RHP Chris Paddack. Paddack is 0-6 this season with an ERA of 7.63 on the season, with his team going 1-8 in his 9 starts. His current from is even worse gong 0-3 in this last 5 games with an ERA of 8.02 (with the Reds going 0-5 as a team on those starts). In the last 2 years (with 3 different teams) he is 5-18 with an ERA of 5.81. Meanwhile, the Braves are coming off a demolishing of Boston 10-2. The Braves have the best record in the majors at 38-19 and are now 21-9 on the road and 17-9 vs teams over .500. while the Reds are 8-16 vs teams above .500, Tonight, Atlanta starts RHP Grant Holmes who is 1-0 with a 3.63 ERA on the road this year and the Braves are 7-3 as a team in his 10 starts. Finally, in 7 0f 8 of Paddack's losses, the opposing team won the game by more than 2 runs.........Play Atlanta on the run line......
Parlay:
Atlanta (Holmes)/San Francisco (Webb) +183 (1x)
-See above write-up on info for Atlanta. As far as the Giants go, they will start RHP Logan Webb who is 11-4 vs Colorado in his career with a 2.97 ERA. including 3-0 his last 3 starts, allowing just 1 ER in 12 1/3 IP in Colorado. Meanwhile, Colorado starts RHP Michael Lorenzen who is 2-7 on the year with a 7.21 ERA, allowing 102 baserunners in just 53 2/3 IP. But, here's the kicker.........Lorenzen has a 1-5 record career at Coors Field with a 10.03 ERA! Colroado has lost 14 of their last 20 games, including 5-straight and sit at 20-37 (the worst record in baseball) The Rocks have allowed 38 runs in their last 5 (on the road) for an average of 7.6 runs/game. Play Atlanta/SF in a parlay.
Atlanta (Holmes)/San Francisco (Webb) +183 (1x)
-See above write-up on info for Atlanta. As far as the Giants go, they will start RHP Logan Webb who is 11-4 vs Colorado in his career with a 2.97 ERA. including 3-0 his last 3 starts, allowing just 1 ER in 12 1/3 IP in Colorado. Meanwhile, Colorado starts RHP Michael Lorenzen who is 2-7 on the year with a 7.21 ERA, allowing 102 baserunners in just 53 2/3 IP. But, here's the kicker.........Lorenzen has a 1-5 record career at Coors Field with a 10.03 ERA! Colroado has lost 14 of their last 20 games, including 5-straight and sit at 20-37 (the worst record in baseball) The Rocks have allowed 38 runs in their last 5 (on the road) for an average of 7.6 runs/game. Play Atlanta/SF in a parlay.
Minnesota (Bradley) +121 over Pittsburgh (Jones) (1x)
-Tonight, the Twins face the floundering Pirates, who after a nice start, now sit in last place in the NL Central. Pitching tonight for the Twins is RHP Taj Bradley who is 5-1 on the year with an ERA of 2.77. In his last 2 starts, he has gone 2-0 (on the road) with an ERA of 2.45. On the season, he is 4-1 with a nice ERA of 3.03 on the road, allowing more than 1 ER just once. Meanwhile, the Pirates start RHP Jared Jones who hasn't made an appearance since 2024 due to a UCL sprain in his throwing elbow. Jones, in his first full season in 2024, was 6-8 with 4.14 ERA. Play Minnesota tonight.
-Tonight, the Twins face the floundering Pirates, who after a nice start, now sit in last place in the NL Central. Pitching tonight for the Twins is RHP Taj Bradley who is 5-1 on the year with an ERA of 2.77. In his last 2 starts, he has gone 2-0 (on the road) with an ERA of 2.45. On the season, he is 4-1 with a nice ERA of 3.03 on the road, allowing more than 1 ER just once. Meanwhile, the Pirates start RHP Jared Jones who hasn't made an appearance since 2024 due to a UCL sprain in his throwing elbow. Jones, in his first full season in 2024, was 6-8 with 4.14 ERA. Play Minnesota tonight.
Miami (Meyer) +112 over NY Mets (Peralta) (1x)
-Tonight, the Marlins start RHP Max Meyer who has been outstanding so far this year going 5-0 with an ERA of 2.52. He has excellent current form going 4-0 in his last 5 starts for and ERA of 1.76, including 2 straight starts of shutout ball in which he gave up 0 runs on just 4 hits in 13 innings pitched. In his last 2 starts vs the Mets, he is 2-0 allowing 0 runs on just 3 hits in 13 1/3 IP, including a 1-hitter on 5/23 of this year. Meanwhile, the Mets start RHP Freddy Peralta who is 3-4 this year with an ERA of 3.52. In addition, he is 0-3 vs the Marlins in 3 starts the last 2 years. The Mets sit in last place in the NL East with a record of 23-33 and are just 3-7 their last 10 games and have scored just 10 runs in their last 6 games. Play Miami tonight.
-Tonight, the Marlins start RHP Max Meyer who has been outstanding so far this year going 5-0 with an ERA of 2.52. He has excellent current form going 4-0 in his last 5 starts for and ERA of 1.76, including 2 straight starts of shutout ball in which he gave up 0 runs on just 4 hits in 13 innings pitched. In his last 2 starts vs the Mets, he is 2-0 allowing 0 runs on just 3 hits in 13 1/3 IP, including a 1-hitter on 5/23 of this year. Meanwhile, the Mets start RHP Freddy Peralta who is 3-4 this year with an ERA of 3.52. In addition, he is 0-3 vs the Marlins in 3 starts the last 2 years. The Mets sit in last place in the NL East with a record of 23-33 and are just 3-7 their last 10 games and have scored just 10 runs in their last 6 games. Play Miami tonight.
Thanks for posting, Junior. Can you please clarify how you're playing the parlay? RL, or minus the juice?
Adding:
Milwaukee (Crow) vs Houston (Teng) Under 8.5 (1x)
-Both of these teams at 7-3 to the Under their last 10 games. Milwaukee starter Coleman Crow has a 2-0 record on the year with a 2.61 ERA (with both starts on the road). Meanwhile, Houston starter Kai-Wei Teng has an ERA of 2.19 this year between starting and relieving and in his last 2 starts he is 2-0, allowing 0 runs on just 4 hits in 11 IP with 13 K's with both starts going way under the total. In 5 appearance at home, Teng has allowed 1 ER in 11 1/3 IP. In all 4 of Teng's starts this year the Under is 4-0. Play Milwaukee/Houston Under the total
Milwaukee (Crow) vs Houston (Teng) Under 8.5 (1x)
-Both of these teams at 7-3 to the Under their last 10 games. Milwaukee starter Coleman Crow has a 2-0 record on the year with a 2.61 ERA (with both starts on the road). Meanwhile, Houston starter Kai-Wei Teng has an ERA of 2.19 this year between starting and relieving and in his last 2 starts he is 2-0, allowing 0 runs on just 4 hits in 11 IP with 13 K's with both starts going way under the total. In 5 appearance at home, Teng has allowed 1 ER in 11 1/3 IP. In all 4 of Teng's starts this year the Under is 4-0. Play Milwaukee/Houston Under the total
On top of 2 walkoff losses.............Brewers score 4th run in the 8th to kill by under........
