YTD: (+30.85u)
Phillies RL -119
- Philadelphia comes into this contest a robust 29-16 at home this season and start Zach Wheeler who is 8-3 this season with a miniscule ERA of just 2.27. Furthermore, in his last 5 starts, he is 4-1 with an ERA of 0.58, with his only loss coming on the road where he gave up 0 ER's. The Reds meanwhile start RHP Chase Burns who has had only 2 major league starts since 2009 and was bombed for 7 ER's in 1/3 IP in his last outing in Boston. This game is a complete pitching mismatch and the Phillies should have no problem covering the runline. Furthermore, the Phillies have won 7 of 9 of their last 9 home wins by MORE than 2 runs, and the Reds have lost by
more than 2 runs in 15 of 17 of their last 17 road losses.
Boston/Detroit +105 (2x)
-Boston comes into this game winning 5 of 7 and scoring more than TEN runs in all 5 wins. Boston starter Garrett Crochet is 8-3 with an ERA of 2.34 on the season, also winning 5 of his last 6 starts. He also shutout Washington in his only meeting with them last season. Baltimore, meanwhile, starts Shinnosuke Ogasawara in his major league debut. I have paired Boston with the Detroit Tigers who start their ace Tarik Skubal who has won his last 9 decisions for Detroit and is 10-2 with an ERA of just 2.15 this year. The Tigers face the Cleveland Guardians who have lost NINE straight contests, scoring just 12 runs during this span. On top of that, Skubal shutout Cleveland on 2 hits last season walking none and striking out 13! To be honest, I can't see either of these teams losing and get them at a nice underdog price.
Miami +110
-Miami has gone 10-2 their last 12 outings and has gone 7-3 in their last 10 meeting vs Milwaukee. Marlins' starter Edward Cabrera has been lights out his last 5 starts, giving up just 6 ER during this span. He has also won both of his career starts vs the Brewers, giving up only 1 run in in 8 IP. The Brewers have lost 3 of 4 and start Brandon Woodruff who is making his first start since 2023 and most likely will be on a pitch count and a tad rusty. We like the hot team with the hot pitcher at home at a nice underdog price.
Please check back later for more plays.
G/L to all............
Phillies RL -119
- Philadelphia comes into this contest a robust 29-16 at home this season and start Zach Wheeler who is 8-3 this season with a miniscule ERA of just 2.27. Furthermore, in his last 5 starts, he is 4-1 with an ERA of 0.58, with his only loss coming on the road where he gave up 0 ER's. The Reds meanwhile start RHP Chase Burns who has had only 2 major league starts since 2009 and was bombed for 7 ER's in 1/3 IP in his last outing in Boston. This game is a complete pitching mismatch and the Phillies should have no problem covering the runline. Furthermore, the Phillies have won 7 of 9 of their last 9 home wins by MORE than 2 runs, and the Reds have lost by
more than 2 runs in 15 of 17 of their last 17 road losses.
Boston/Detroit +105 (2x)
-Boston comes into this game winning 5 of 7 and scoring more than TEN runs in all 5 wins. Boston starter Garrett Crochet is 8-3 with an ERA of 2.34 on the season, also winning 5 of his last 6 starts. He also shutout Washington in his only meeting with them last season. Baltimore, meanwhile, starts Shinnosuke Ogasawara in his major league debut. I have paired Boston with the Detroit Tigers who start their ace Tarik Skubal who has won his last 9 decisions for Detroit and is 10-2 with an ERA of just 2.15 this year. The Tigers face the Cleveland Guardians who have lost NINE straight contests, scoring just 12 runs during this span. On top of that, Skubal shutout Cleveland on 2 hits last season walking none and striking out 13! To be honest, I can't see either of these teams losing and get them at a nice underdog price.
Miami +110
-Miami has gone 10-2 their last 12 outings and has gone 7-3 in their last 10 meeting vs Milwaukee. Marlins' starter Edward Cabrera has been lights out his last 5 starts, giving up just 6 ER during this span. He has also won both of his career starts vs the Brewers, giving up only 1 run in in 8 IP. The Brewers have lost 3 of 4 and start Brandon Woodruff who is making his first start since 2023 and most likely will be on a pitch count and a tad rusty. We like the hot team with the hot pitcher at home at a nice underdog price.
Please check back later for more plays.
G/L to all............
