Seattle -126 (2x) and Over 7' (3x)
I handicapped this game through the ying-yang and AGAIN found myself leaning to the favorite! I just can't back Jack Flaherty is what it boils down to. Seattle comes into this game with the series tied 1-1 so this is a very pivotal game. Seattle comes into this game 7-1 in their last 8 road games and today starts RHP Logan Gilbert who was a decent 5-5 on the season with an ERA of 3.44! During the day, he was 3-1 with an ERA of 3.25. In 3 starts career vs Detroit, he gave up 8 ER's in 16 IP for an ERA of 4.50 with 2 of the 3 going over the total. In the 1 game in Detroit, he got the win in a 8-4 final, going way over the total. The Tigers, meanwhile, start RHP Jack Flaherty who had an abysmal season, going 8-15 with a 4.64 ERA. At home, he was slightly better but still not good, going 5-8 with an ERA of 4.58, giving up 15 HR's in just 92 2/3 innings pitched! In his last start, he took the loss, giving up 3 ER's in only 4 1/3 IP for an ERA of 6.28! In addition, he is 1-2 career vs Seattle with all 3 of those games over the total. Also, Flaherty's career playoff record is not good, going 2-5 with an ERA of 5.05 ERA, while Gilbert's playoff record is 1-0 with an ERA of 5.06! I'm basing 75% of this play and total on Flaherty's futility and I see Seattle winning handedly to take a 2-1 series lead. Play Seattle for a (2x) play and the over for a (3x) play.