Bases Tues 5/12

Junior44

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Pittsburgh (Skenes) RL -140 over Colorado (2x)
-The surprising Pirates come into tonight's game at 22-19 and a +31 run differencial. Tonight they start RH Paul Skenes who is 5-2 overall with a 2.36 ERA and only 23 hits in 42 IP. At home, he is 2-1 with an ERA of 1.85. The difference with Skenes this year vs last year is that he is FINALLY getting run support, with the Pirates scoring 57 runs in his 8 starts (an avg of 7.13 runs/game) In his start in 2025 vs the Rockies (at home) he shut them out on 3 hits through 7 innings with 7 K's. In addition, 5 of the 6 games started by Skenes have been decided by more than 2 runs. Meanwhile, Colorado starts Michael Lorenzen who is 2-4 on the season with a bloated ERA of 6.92. His team is 1-3 on the road when Lorenzen starts and has given up 15 runs in 20 1/3 IP. After a decent start, the Rocks have completely faded going just 2-8 in their last 10 games, 8-14 on the road, and 4-13 vs teams above .500. Play the Pirates on the RL.......
 
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Junior44

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Tampa Bay (McClanahan) -120 over Toronto (Gausman) (2x)
-With yesterday's 4-0 whitewashing of the Rangers, the Rays are now 9-1 their last 10 games and have moved 2 games ahead of the Yankees in the AL East. Tonight, they start LHP Shane McClanahan who is 4-2 on the season with a 2.60 ERA and in his last 3 starts, he is 3-0 with 16 2/3 consecutive shutout innings giving up only 10 hits. In addition, he is 3-0 career vs the Blue Jays with an ERA of 0.97 giving up only 10 hits in 18 2/3 IP. This season, Toronto is only hitting .226 vs lefties. Meanwhile, the Jays start LHP Patrick Corbin, who is 0-3 career vs the Rays with a 6.23 ERA, allowing 23 hits and 4 HR's in just 17 2/3 IP....Play the Tampa Bay Rays tonight.
 

Junior44

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NY Mets (Peralta) RL +150 over Detroit (Flaherty) (1x)
-The Tigers come into tonight's game just 7-16 on the road and start "walk machine" Jack Flaherty. He is 0-3 on the year with an ERA of 5.56. In his last 4 starts, the Tigers are 0-4 (0-2 individually) with a 7.90 ERA. Flaherty has a 1-1 record with a 7.04 ERA vs the Mets in his career. Mets starter Freddy Peralta has a 3.12 ERA this season and in the last 3 years, he is 30-18 with an ERA of 3.57. Peralta has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 2.93 and 20 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Tigers in his career.
 
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Keyser Soze

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Philadelphia (Wheeler) RL +115 over Boston (Bello) (1x)
The Phillies have really picked it up after the firing of their manager, going 7-3 their last 10 and scoring 65 runs during that stretch (an avg of 6.5 run/game). A big reason for that turn around has been the return of RHP Zach Wheeler whose team is 3-0 in his 3 starts and 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and just 6 hits and 14 K's in 11 IP. Wheeler is 2-1 vs Boston career with a 2.81 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 4 appearances. He has demonstrated dominance in these matchups, including a 0.86 WHIP and a 10.9 K/9 rate. Boston is "scheduled" to start Bryan Bello tonight. He has a 2-4 record in the 2026 season. He has struggled, posting a 7.44 ERA over 32.2 innings in 7 games (6 starts), with 24 strikeouts and a 1.93 WHIP. Play the Phillies on the RL.....
Looks like Boston is using a"Starter" befoe handing the ball over to Bello
 

Junior44

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Philadelphia (Wheeler) RL +120 over Boston (1x)

The Phillies have really picked it up after the firing of their manager, going 7-3 their last 10 and scoring 65 runs during that stretch (an avg of 6.5 run/game). A big reason for that turn around has been the return of RHP Zach Wheeler whose team is 3-0 in his 3 starts and 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and just 6 hits and 14 K's in 11 IP. Wheeler is 2-1 vs Boston career with a 2.81 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 4 appearances. He has demonstrated dominance in these matchups, including a 0.86 WHIP and a 10.9 K/9 rate. Boston is going to go with a starter before giving way to Bryan Bello. He has a 2-4 record in the 2026 season. He has struggled, posting a 7.44 ERA over 32.2 innings in 7 games (6 starts), with 24 strikeouts and a 1.93 WHIP. Play the Phillies on the RL.....
 
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