Bases Tues 5/19
- Thread starter Junior44
- Start date
Atlanta (Perez)-125 over Miami (Garrett) (1x)
-Last night, I went with the Braves and lost and tonight I'm gonna go with them again. Atlanta comes into tonight's game with the best record in the NL at 32-16 and have won 7 of 10 vs Miami since 2025. They are 16-8 on the road and have a run differencial of +86 and have scored 250 runs the season (2nd to only to Washington in the majors). Last night, they were shutout by the Marlins 12-0 and may be in a nasty mood this evening. Atlanta starts LHP Martin Perez who has an ERA of 2.25 in 9 appearances this year (5 starts) and is 3-0 career vs the Marlins with a 2.76 ERA. The Marlins hit only .233 against lefties this year (19 pts below their avg) Tonight, the Marlins start LHP Braxton Garrett who has made 1 start since 2024 on May 14 and didn't make it out of the 2nd inning, giving up 5 ER's on 9 base runners in just 1 1/3. Play Atlanta to rebound tonight
-Last night, I went with the Braves and lost and tonight I'm gonna go with them again. Atlanta comes into tonight's game with the best record in the NL at 32-16 and have won 7 of 10 vs Miami since 2025. They are 16-8 on the road and have a run differencial of +86 and have scored 250 runs the season (2nd to only to Washington in the majors). Last night, they were shutout by the Marlins 12-0 and may be in a nasty mood this evening. Atlanta starts LHP Martin Perez who has an ERA of 2.25 in 9 appearances this year (5 starts) and is 3-0 career vs the Marlins with a 2.76 ERA. The Marlins hit only .233 against lefties this year (19 pts below their avg) Tonight, the Marlins start LHP Braxton Garrett who has made 1 start since 2024 on May 14 and didn't make it out of the 2nd inning, giving up 5 ER's on 9 base runners in just 1 1/3. Play Atlanta to rebound tonight
Tampa Bay (Jax) -118 over Baltimore (Bradish) (1x)
-Tampa Bay comes into tonight's game with the best record in the majors at 31-15 and are 17-5 this year at home. They are a staggering 17-3 their last 20 games and are now 3 games up on the Yankees in the AL East. The Rays start RHP Griffn Jax (a starter/reliever) who in his last 4 appearance, his team is 3-1 and individually has an ERA of 1.29. Meanwhile, the O's start RHP Kyle Bradish who is 2-5 on the year with a 4.21 ERA. Bradish is even worse on the road, with an ERA of 5.90 in 4 starts while Baltimore is just 21-27 on the year with a horrible 9-15 mark on the road and 7-14 vs teams above .500. This is very low price to pay for TB at home. Play the Rays tonight.
-Tampa Bay comes into tonight's game with the best record in the majors at 31-15 and are 17-5 this year at home. They are a staggering 17-3 their last 20 games and are now 3 games up on the Yankees in the AL East. The Rays start RHP Griffn Jax (a starter/reliever) who in his last 4 appearance, his team is 3-1 and individually has an ERA of 1.29. Meanwhile, the O's start RHP Kyle Bradish who is 2-5 on the year with a 4.21 ERA. Bradish is even worse on the road, with an ERA of 5.90 in 4 starts while Baltimore is just 21-27 on the year with a horrible 9-15 mark on the road and 7-14 vs teams above .500. This is very low price to pay for TB at home. Play the Rays tonight.
Tampa Bay (Jax) RL +158 over Baltimore (Bradish) (1x)
-read writeup above. In 14 of Tampa's last 17 wins, they have won the game by more than 2 runs and 7 of their last 8 home games have been decided by more than 2 runs.
-read writeup above. In 14 of Tampa's last 17 wins, they have won the game by more than 2 runs and 7 of their last 8 home games have been decided by more than 2 runs.
Cleveland (Messick) -122 over Detroit (Montero) (1x)
-Cleveland now sits atop the the AL Central with a 27-22 mark and have won 3-straight and 7-3 their last 10. Dating back to last year, Cleveland has gone 8-0 against the Tigers IN Detroit. Tonight, Cleveland starts LHP Parker Messick who is 5-1 in 2026 with an ERA of 2.35. In addition, he is 2-1 with and ERA of 2.04 on the road. Meanwhile, Detroit is fading fast in the AL Central in last place with a record of 20-28. They have gone 2-8 their last 10 games and have lost 3 straight. Furthermore, the Tigers hit just .217 vs lefties (30 pts below their average). Starting for the Tigers is RHP Keider Montero who is 2-3 on the year with an ERA of 3.65 in 8 starts. Take the Guardians this evening.
-Cleveland now sits atop the the AL Central with a 27-22 mark and have won 3-straight and 7-3 their last 10. Dating back to last year, Cleveland has gone 8-0 against the Tigers IN Detroit. Tonight, Cleveland starts LHP Parker Messick who is 5-1 in 2026 with an ERA of 2.35. In addition, he is 2-1 with and ERA of 2.04 on the road. Meanwhile, Detroit is fading fast in the AL Central in last place with a record of 20-28. They have gone 2-8 their last 10 games and have lost 3 straight. Furthermore, the Tigers hit just .217 vs lefties (30 pts below their average). Starting for the Tigers is RHP Keider Montero who is 2-3 on the year with an ERA of 3.65 in 8 starts. Take the Guardians this evening.
Junior, do you ever look at who the teams plan to throw in relief? Is that info even accessible? GL to you today, hope the rays stay on a roll!
Milwaukee (Misiorowski) vs ChiCubs (Brown) Under 8 (1x)
-This number seems mighty low for a Cubs game, but I believe their is a reason for it. As of the time of this posting, the wind is blowing in at 4 mph and is expected to blow from left to right at 10 mph as the game progresses. Starting for the Brewers is RHP Jacob Misiorowski who is 3-2 on the year with an ERA of 2.12. In his last 3 starts, he is 2-0 and hasn't allowed a run in 18 1/3 IP with all 3 going under the total. In his 1 start last year in Chicago, the game also went under. During this span, he has struck out 29 batters. He currently leads the majors in K's with 80 in just 51 innings pitched. Starting for the Cubs is RHP Ben Brown who hasn't allowed a run in his two 2026 starts and was 3-0 vs the Brewers in 2025, allowing just 2 ER's in 18 IP for an ERA of 1.00. Just can't see where the runs are going to come from in this one. Play Milwaukee/Cubs under the total........
edit: to fix typo
-This number seems mighty low for a Cubs game, but I believe their is a reason for it. As of the time of this posting, the wind is blowing in at 4 mph and is expected to blow from left to right at 10 mph as the game progresses. Starting for the Brewers is RHP Jacob Misiorowski who is 3-2 on the year with an ERA of 2.12. In his last 3 starts, he is 2-0 and hasn't allowed a run in 18 1/3 IP with all 3 going under the total. In his 1 start last year in Chicago, the game also went under. During this span, he has struck out 29 batters. He currently leads the majors in K's with 80 in just 51 innings pitched. Starting for the Cubs is RHP Ben Brown who hasn't allowed a run in his two 2026 starts and was 3-0 vs the Brewers in 2025, allowing just 2 ER's in 18 IP for an ERA of 1.00. Just can't see where the runs are going to come from in this one. Play Milwaukee/Cubs under the total........
edit: to fix typo
Last edited:
yes goldie, i look at bullpen usuage when i handicapp.......unfortunately, there is only so much i can put in my write up or they would be 3 pages long....lol
Minnesota (Matthews) RL +141 over Houston (McCullers Jr.) (1x)
-The Astros (other than the Angels) are the worst team in baseball standing at 19-30 including 7-16 on the road. The yare just 3-7 their last 10 games with all 7 of their losses being by 2 runs or more. Starting for Houston is RHP Lance McCullers Jr. who could have the worst stats in the majors. He has a 6.86 ERA overall on the season and is even worse on the road with an ERA of 7.53. In addition, he is 0-3 career vs the twins with an ERA of 7.65! Meanwhile, the Twins start RHP Zebby Matthews who in his only start in 2026 pitched 7 innings of 4-hit ball allowing 0 ER's in a 9-1 Twins victory at home. Play the Twins on the runline........
*THIS IS NOW A NO PLAY DUE TO PITCHING CHANGE!*
-The Astros (other than the Angels) are the worst team in baseball standing at 19-30 including 7-16 on the road. The yare just 3-7 their last 10 games with all 7 of their losses being by 2 runs or more. Starting for Houston is RHP Lance McCullers Jr. who could have the worst stats in the majors. He has a 6.86 ERA overall on the season and is even worse on the road with an ERA of 7.53. In addition, he is 0-3 career vs the twins with an ERA of 7.65! Meanwhile, the Twins start RHP Zebby Matthews who in his only start in 2026 pitched 7 innings of 4-hit ball allowing 0 ER's in a 9-1 Twins victory at home. Play the Twins on the runline........
*THIS IS NOW A NO PLAY DUE TO PITCHING CHANGE!*
Last edited:
Junior, my book has this total at 7 1/2. Would you recommend it as a play at this number? Thanks.
| 5/19 6:58AM | -118 | -103 | u8-118 | MIL -1.5 |
Actually, that # at 8.5 was ANOTHER typo..........should be 8 as shown above............is ther any way you can buy the # up to 8? If not, still a play at 7.5........apparently the wind is blowing in at Wrigley......
Unfortunately, I cannot buy points in baseball. I played the under 7 1/2 for a little less than my normal amount.
No.....it was a play against MCCullers...........so NO PLAY.....thanks for the heads up
McCullers replacement, Jason Alexander, has an ERA of 14.21. The Astros suck, and they suck especially on the road. I'm sticking with my play on Minnesota -112 (It's -136 now). Played Minn TT over 4 1/2 as well.
This turned into a nail-biter but a winner none-the-less..........congrats longhorn on your under 7.5
