Bases Tues 5/5
- Thread starter Junior44
- Start date
Detroit (Valdez) RL +115 over Boston (Bello) (2x)
-With Tarik Skubal being out until after the All-Stat break, Valdez needs to pick up the slack, and I think he does so. Valdez has been excellent this year, going 2-1 overall with an ERA of 3.35. At home he has been nearly untouchable with a 0.69 ERA. In fact, Valdez has always been good in his home ballparks. Including postseason games, his home record is 43-28. Hehas already beaten Boston once this year on 4/19 giving up 1 run in 6 IP with 7 K's in a 6-2 win. Meanwhile, the Red Sox start RHP Brayan Bello who has been a complete gas can. Through May 3, 2026, Boston Red Sox pitcher Brayan Bello has a 1-4 record with a 9.12 ERA in 6 starts, allowing 26 earned runs, 15 walks, and 17 strikeouts over 25 2/3 innings. Bello has a 1-3 record on the road in 2026, with an ERA of 9.33 in 4 appearances. Play Detroit on the RL.
-With Tarik Skubal being out until after the All-Stat break, Valdez needs to pick up the slack, and I think he does so. Valdez has been excellent this year, going 2-1 overall with an ERA of 3.35. At home he has been nearly untouchable with a 0.69 ERA. In fact, Valdez has always been good in his home ballparks. Including postseason games, his home record is 43-28. Hehas already beaten Boston once this year on 4/19 giving up 1 run in 6 IP with 7 K's in a 6-2 win. Meanwhile, the Red Sox start RHP Brayan Bello who has been a complete gas can. Through May 3, 2026, Boston Red Sox pitcher Brayan Bello has a 1-4 record with a 9.12 ERA in 6 starts, allowing 26 earned runs, 15 walks, and 17 strikeouts over 25 2/3 innings. Bello has a 1-3 record on the road in 2026, with an ERA of 9.33 in 4 appearances. Play Detroit on the RL.
NY Yankees (Rodriguez) RL +155 over Texas (deGrom) (1x)
-The Yankees come into this game with the best record in the AL at 24-11 and have won 14 of 16 games. In all 14 of their wins, the Yankees have won the game by 2 or more runs. For this game, I'm not going to get into pitching matchups (I know deGrom has been excellent this year) but only 2-5 career vs the Yankees. I'm merely basing this play on the numbers and I'm going to ride this train till it crashes.Play Yankees on the RL
-The Yankees come into this game with the best record in the AL at 24-11 and have won 14 of 16 games. In all 14 of their wins, the Yankees have won the game by 2 or more runs. For this game, I'm not going to get into pitching matchups (I know deGrom has been excellent this year) but only 2-5 career vs the Yankees. I'm merely basing this play on the numbers and I'm going to ride this train till it crashes.Play Yankees on the RL
Milwaukee (Sproat) vs St Louis (Pallante) Over 7' (1x)
-The Milwaukee Brewers average 5.15 runs/game so far in 2026 and send RHP Brandon Sproat to the mound in tonight's contest. Sproat, in 6 appearances (4 starts) this year is 0-2 with an ERA of 6.75. In 2 road appearances he has allowed 8 ER's in 8 IP for an ERA of 9.00. Meanwhile, Cards start Andre Pallante has 3 starts at home in 2026, going 1-2 with an ERA of 5.29! In addition, Pallante has struggled in his career against the Brewers, posting a 0-2 record with a 5.06 ERA and 19 strikeouts across 15 appearances. Yesterday's game went over the total and I'm expecting this one to go over as well (with 2 below-average pitcher). Play Milwaukee/St louis Over 7.5
-The Milwaukee Brewers average 5.15 runs/game so far in 2026 and send RHP Brandon Sproat to the mound in tonight's contest. Sproat, in 6 appearances (4 starts) this year is 0-2 with an ERA of 6.75. In 2 road appearances he has allowed 8 ER's in 8 IP for an ERA of 9.00. Meanwhile, Cards start Andre Pallante has 3 starts at home in 2026, going 1-2 with an ERA of 5.29! In addition, Pallante has struggled in his career against the Brewers, posting a 0-2 record with a 5.06 ERA and 19 strikeouts across 15 appearances. Yesterday's game went over the total and I'm expecting this one to go over as well (with 2 below-average pitcher). Play Milwaukee/St louis Over 7.5
