BCS Title Futures

[gjn23]

any winners in here:

Texas +580 (think they have best shot to beat fla...visions of 2005 vs sc)

Va Tech +1300 (good defense, winnable conf, no mragin for error....could be eliminated on opening night vs bama)

Penn State +2200 (2 game schedule, osu + iowa, both at home....not many returning starters but 5 cupcakes to start)


vt and psu lose one they're out......tex might be able to lose one and make it (but cant lose to ou)

fla vs tx/ou winner looks too simple.....is it that simple?


any other longshots out there that have a chance???

 

[txag]

I really think PSU is good value, they are 35-1 at one of my books. They could easily be favored in every game, but might be dogs @ Illinois and at home agasint tOSU. Even if they are dogs in those 2 games it won't be more than 3 or 4 points. 35-1 seems like excellent value with their schedule.

 

[Betone]

Texas is loaded with enough talent to play toe to toe with florida as they did lose percy to the pros. Will Muschamp is smart enough with enough talent to stop the gator spread. Just my opinion....:director:

 

[Sun Tzu]

Penn State could go potentially go undefeated (but even with the weak schedule they arent good enough -someone will beat them)I suppose but has ZERO chance to beat anybody they could play in a title game. ZERO. Moreover, even unbeaten a great chance PSU wouldnt even be in the title game. "Good value" doesnt mean much - an L is an L.

Texas has talent but there are still issues. The running game isnt all that, there is no tight end yet again and Cosby is a huge loss at wr. I expect them to beat OU - not even that worried about it - but while better a national tv night game in Stillwater is going to be a pickle. I actually expect another 3 way tie with Texas left out again despite beating OU..although there could be a media/coaches backlash to prevent it.

I figure the only teams with any legit shot at all to win are Fla, Tx, OU, USC.

 

[txag]

I agree that PSU would have zero chance in the title game, but if they get there at 35-1 I would have a HUGE middle opportunity. As far as them going undefeated and not making the title game that is very highly unlikely. Isn't Auburn the only BCS team to ever go undefeated and not get a shot at the title under this system? Very unlikely that 3 bcs teams go undefeated this year so they would be in if they are undefeated. All this being said there is a reason they are 35-1, but worth a shot with this schedule.

 

[gjn23]

i agree that psu would get rolled in a title game vs tex/sc/ou/fla but at those odds i've got a nice middle

but i'm likely passing on psu as i just dont see them winning it all

also passing on va tech as their rb is out for the year and i still dont trust beamers offense to win 14 games in a row (including acc title game and bcs title game)

just not sold on sc going undefeated this year with a rookie qb and entirely new lb crew.....think they have a bunch of tough road games and they always lose a game they shouldnt.

so for me it comes down to ou-tex-fla......fla at +155 isnt worth the time.....and ou has odds lower than tex.......and i could see the same thing happening this year with ou-tex-and ok state this year...all tied with 1 loss and all beating each other, with ou having the toughest ooc schedule making it to the big-12 title game........but i just dont trust stoops vs fla in a bcs title game

ore and lsu/miss would be intruguing long shots as well.....but they have no margin for error.

will probably take tex or pass alltogether.

for me it's fla-