Bel, SA stakes

Valuist

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Aug 21, 2001
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Mt. Prospect, IL
Belmont-

Frizette- Looks to be a 2 horse race between Storm Flag Flying and Santa Catarina. According to T-Graph, SFF ran one of the best 2YO filly #s of all time but it was over a wet track so we have to be skeptical. And at 3-5 may be worth trying to beat. Santa Catarina is 4-1 in the m/l. THis is Baffert/Bailey and coming off a neck loss in a Dmr Grade 1. I like the 9.5 length gap back to the 3rd horse. Could be value here. A possible longshot to hit the board is Fabulous Brush, coming from RD. The horse she beat by 5 came back to win an AP stake at 60-1 last week.

Kelso-Lots of speed but some of it has scratched out. Patrol and Kreiger figure to need the lead and it depends what Santos does w/Forbiden Apple. He could sit third and stalk, and could be very tough. Baptize and Green Fee are the in form closers.

Champagne- Icecoldbeeratreds is another Baffert West Coast shipper. The negative is he hasn't been past 7f. Pretty Wild could be very tough here; like the outside post. Can stalk but doesn't get too far back. Faced a couple monsters in Whywhywhy and Sky Mesa. Cape Good Hope ran a big number at Delaware but it was over a wet track and a 5 horse field

Santa Anita

Ancient Title--
Swept Overboard is the favorite but could be vulnerable coming off a layoff and his deep closing style could be hurt in this small field. I wouldn't be surprised to see the winner go wire to wire. Crafty CT and Kalookan Queen look to be the most likely to lead here.

Norfolk-
2 main contenders in here in Kafwain and Listen Indy. I want to see how Icecoldbeer runs at Bel since he just beat Kafwain at Dmr. If he disappoints, I'll take Listen Indy. If he wins, I'll go with Kafwain.

BC Mile-
Congaree has never run on grass so he's a vulnerable favorite but he is bred to handle it. Night Patrol ran some good races at longer distances but he isn't fast enough to keep up w/Congaree. Nicobar and Spinelessjellyfish are the true legit turf horses for 1 mile in here.

Yellow Ribbon
Looks like a 3 horse race between Golden Apples, Banks Hill and Voo Doo Dancer. I'll pitch Banks Hill in the Pic 3s since she has just shipped to NY last week only to scratch and shipped back. Voo Doo Dancer might be tough if she sets a soft pace.
 
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