best propositions bets for SB

[JIMMYBOY]

Selecci?n1:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Aaron Hernandez Props
Total pass receptions for Aaron Hernandez?
703. Over 5.5 Receptions -119


If Ron is not a 100% Aaron Hernandez is going to have a lot of targets, even if Rob is ok which I think he would be, Hernandez should have enough targets to go over on this one

Selecci?n2:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Ahmad Bradshaw Props
Total pass receptions for Ahmad Bradshaw?
809. Over 3 Receptions -101


Ahmad Bradshaw did not play against New England last time they meet, Jacobs had 4 receptions, I expect the same for Ahmad in this one, he is bay far , a better receiver than Jacobs

Selecci?n3:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Ahmad Bradshaw Props
Ahmad Bradshaw longest pass reception will be?
817. Over 11.5 Yards -108


If I am assuming that Bradshaw is going to have more than 3 catches, I think this bet is gold, do you think Ahmad is capable of making a five yarder pass reception into a 12 yarder , that is 7 yds after catch, I really think so.

Selecci?n4:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Props
Total pass receptions for BenJarvus Green-Ellis?
959. Over 0.5 Reception -134


If Giants pass rush pressure is working, this one is a winner, just one escape valve with BenJarvus and you got a winner, I mean we are talking about just one catch, I am taking the risk at a very good price.

Selecci?n5:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Brandon Jacobs Props
Will Brandon Jacobs score a TD?
851. Yes +190

The only way to win this bet is if the giants are in first and goal from the 5 yds line, at +190 I will take my chances.


Selecci?n6:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Eli Manning Props
Total rushing attempts for Eli Manning?
215. Over 2 Rushing Attempts -111

This one is tempting, Eli is tough to sack, just the niners did but we are talking about the niners defense, he should run for more than 2 times, a fourh an inches could mean one and a scape form defense could be another two , let`s hope we cash.

Selecci?n7:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Eli Manning Props
Will Eli Manning throw a 4th qtr TD pass?
244. Yes -116

Eli has been the king of 4th quarters, if you stick with statistics, he should throw a td.

Selecci?n8:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
First Half Fireworks Props
Manning vs Brady - 1st half most passing yds
3202. Tom Brady -5.5 Passing Yards +110


I think that with Ahmad and Jacobs the Ny Giants are going to try to have time control, and this should mean long drives and a balance offense, on the other hans we have a fast tempo with a lot of air game, the pats wont be running so much.

Selecci?n9:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Mario Manningham Props
Total pass receptions for Mario Manningham?
403. Over 3 Receptions -130


Mario could be the X factor on this game, everyone is talking about Hakeem and Victor and that should mean some open targets from Manningham. He was the number two guy before Victor shine, so he is no bad at all target.

Selecci?n10:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Quarterback Comparison Props
Manning vs Brady most gross passing yards?
1302. Tom Brady -11.5 Passing Yards +121

The same thougth as the other propositon about the time control, if the game is tight enough Brady should pass for more yds than Eli, let`s hope the game is a very close one.

Selecci?n11:
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Wes Welker Props
Wes Welker longest pass reception will be?
609. Over 20 Yards -114

I choose this one because I know for sure that Wes is going to have his chances of cathing the ball, and with just a more of less big of a play he should pass the 20 yds barrier

Hope you have fun and make some money while we are at it, don`t you think so?

:0074 :0074 :0074 :0074 :0074 :0074 :0074 :0002 :0002 :0002 :0002 :0002 :0002 :0002 :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast: :toast:

 

[thadchr]

Another SB prop thread if you're interested. :0074

 

[JIMMYBOY]

Thanks for your post. Did you like any of the prop bets?:0074

 

[thadchr]

I've posted some that I like or that particularly interest me in that other thread. Still lots more to come. As for your props... same deal... I'm doing lots of research right now, but will definitely let you know soon. Very much appreciate the write-ups by the way.

 

[el JB]

hey Jimmy gracias:toast: por los picks
will be playing them in VEGAS:00hour :0074

 

[JIMMYBOY]

Thanks man good luck:toast:

 

[JIMMYBOY]

NFL 12 Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Ahmad Bradshaw Props
Total rushing yards for Ahmad Bradshaw?
803. Over 62.5 Rushing Yards -109

I think that Ahmad is going to have a huge game agiants this New England defense. He has rushed for 74, 63 and 63 yards in the playoffs so far. Bradshaw did that against three defenses that are much better than New Englands. Also, Bradshaw actually ran for 45 yards on 9 carriers in the Giants last Super Bowl win over New England. He was a rookie then.

Let`s go Bradshaw

 

[JIMMYBOY]

hey Jimmy gracias:toast: por los picks
will be playing them in VEGAS:00hour :0074

Hey Jb, how are you? do not thank me until we cashed them lol........ do not drink to much over there. lol..:toast: :toast: :toast: :toast:

 

[JIMMYBOY]

I've posted some that I like or that particularly interest me in that other thread. Still lots more to come. As for your props... same deal... I'm doing lots of research right now, but will definitely let you know soon. Very much appreciate the write-ups by the way.

I will be waiting to see what picks you like the most.

Good luck:0074

 

[JIMMYBOY]

By the way all of this propositions were played at PINNACLE good luck

 

[thadchr]

My (quick) initial thoughts on each of these, as well as some tentative verdicts just for fun:

Note: It took me forever to decide the best way to edit this... Tried my best to make it clear where I'm speaking, since it's all in your quote box. I hope it's reasonably easy to read.

Selecci?n1:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Aaron Hernandez Props
Total pass receptions for Aaron Hernandez?
703. Over 5.5 Receptions -119

Thad's rough take: Lean with you but wouldn't necessarily bet it. It looks more and more like Gronk will play, so perhaps the odds on this will actually go up a bit as we move closer to game time. Tentative verdict: :0003 (Like it enough to consider.)

Selecci?n2:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Ahmad Bradshaw Props
Total pass receptions for Ahmad Bradshaw?
809. Over 3 Receptions -101

Thad's rough take: Think this falls on the number. If I had to take a side, I'd agree and go over because I do think NE will bring a lot of pressure, especially on third down, which is prime time for RB receptions. Tentative verdict: :0003

Selecci?n3:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Ahmad Bradshaw Props
Ahmad Bradshaw longest pass reception will be?
817. Over 11.5 Yards -108

Thad's rough take: Love this one. Combine your rationale with mine, I definitely think this cashes. Will be betting it. Tentative verdict: :0074 (Bet it.)

Selecci?n4:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
BenJarvus Green-Ellis Props
Total pass receptions for BenJarvus Green-Ellis?
959. Over 0.5 Reception -134

Thad's rough take: Almost feel like something is fluky here because this one also looks like a fairly easy winner. I'm going to go back and look at game logs, but again, I definitely agree with you. Tentative verdict: :0074

Selecci?n5:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Brandon Jacobs Props
Will Brandon Jacobs score a TD?
851. Yes +190

Thad's rough take: Actually agree with your reasoning, but I don't think these odds are good enough. I'm sure he'll get a carry within the 5, but that doesn't mean he gets every look from within the 5. The Pats D-line has actually looked decent in the playoffs... I finally disagree here. Tentative verdict: :nono: (Pass.)

Selecci?n6:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Eli Manning Props
Total rushing attempts for Eli Manning?
215. Over 2 Rushing Attempts -111

Thad's rough take: Think this falls on the number as well. Sooo much variance and in Super Bowl match-ups, I don't trust a bet like this for any real money. Tentative verdict: :shrug:

Selecci?n7:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Eli Manning Props
Will Eli Manning throw a 4th qtr TD pass?
244. Yes -116

Thad's rough take: Definitely have a feeling you are right here, but again I don't think the odds are quite enough. I just don't see anyone betting "No" on this given the amount of props on the board... have to think Vegas has inflated this line a bit. Tentative verdict: :0003

Selecci?n8:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
First Half Fireworks Props
Manning vs Brady - 1st half most passing yds
3202. Tom Brady -5.5 Passing Yards +110

Thad's rough take: Not a whole lot to say... I tend to agree, but don't have a great grasp on this one. I'll personally pass, but again if I had to pick, I'm with you. (Also, just a reminder--and it might not mean anything--but the Giants are expected to get the ball first, which could mean one extra possession for Eli.) Tentative verdict: :shrug:

Selecci?n9:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Mario Manningham Props
Total pass receptions for Mario Manningham?
403. Over 3 Receptions -130

Thad's rough take: Don't love it. I could definitely see him getting 4 or 5, but I could just as easily envision 2 (or 3, which you're paying -130 for). Tentative verdict: :nono:

Selecci?n10:
NFL Propositions
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Quarterback Comparison Props
Manning vs Brady most gross passing yards?
1302. Tom Brady -11.5 Passing Yards +121

Thad's rough take: Same as before in that I don't have a whole lot to say... I lean a bit toward the Pats to win this game, which could skew the late-game stats, but I'm not particularly confident in that either. Tentative verdict: :shrug:

Selecci?n11:
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
Wes Welker Props
Wes Welker longest pass reception will be?
609. Over 20 Yards -114

Thad's rough take: Like this, mostly for the same reasons as the Bradshaw prop. I think Welker breaks away on a little slant or screen. Tentative verdict: :0074

So, looks like I agree with you more often than not. I won't be picking against you on any of these, but it's pick-and-choose amongst the ones I like. I do think you found a couple gems here though. :0074 :toast:

 

[JIMMYBOY]

Thanks a lot for taking the time to review my proposition bets, I agree with you that some of the bets because of the line , they might be not as attractive as you would like, but hey this is for fun, and hopefully we would make some money.

good luck with your plays

 

[JIMMYBOY]

Almost all of my propositions have moved my way, I hope this is a good sign

Good luck and enjoy the superbowl