I just wanted to share a story of how I have gotten crushed in the past betting NFL totals based on weather. About two or three seasons ago, I thought I would get ahead of the curve with a weather total. The game was New England at Buffalo, I hit the under early in the week and I think I got the total at 45 and I unloaded because I knew a major snowstorm was coming that weekend. Sure enough, the bettors began to hammer the under and it dropped to around 35 points on gamesday. By kickoff, the snowstorm had hit and the field was a white out with snow coming down by the bucket, so I knew that I had a winner and was patting myself on the back. Come halftime, New England was up 38-7 and they ended up winning with a score around 50-7. Even with blizzard like conditions, the teams still soared over the under, as the ball seemed to squirt out of the Bills players arms every time they touched the ball. The moral to the story is that even though it seems obvious that a blizzard or snowstorm should cut down scoring it is not a given. I always have found that the best weather for a under lock is a heavy Florida downpour, as I can recall making a mint on a Steelers and Dolphins game that was played in a Florida downpour where I think the final was like 7-0 Steelers.
