Betting the NFL for Week 13

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

TENNESSEE (5-6) vs INDIANAPOLIS (11-0)

Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, December 6

Stadium: RCA Dome Surface: turf

RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
TENNESSEE HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 3 - 2 2 - 4 5 - 6 2 - 2 3 - 3 5 - 5 2 - 3 4 - 2 6 - 5
Last 5 games 3 - 0 2 - 0 5 - 0 2 - 0 2 - 0 4 - 0 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Div. 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
INDIANAPOLIS HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 5 - 0 6 - 0 11 - 0 1 - 4 6 - 0 7 - 4 2 - 3 3 - 3 5 - 6
Last 5 games 3 - 0 2 - 0 5 - 0 0 - 3 2 - 0 2 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Div. 2 - 0 2 - 0 4 - 0 0 - 2 2 - 0 2 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
TENNESSEE 0 - 1 3 - 2 3 - 3 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 2 0 - 0
INDIANAPOLIS 5 - 0 1 - 0 5 - 0 1 - 0 1 - 4 0 - 0 0 - 0 1 - 4

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

TENNESSEE
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/10/09 Thu @PIT 10 - 13 L +5.5 +6.5 W +3.5 37.0 36.0 U -13.0 G
09/20/09 Sun HOU 31 - 34 L -7 -7 L -10 40.0 41.0 O +24.0 G
09/27/09 Sun @NYJ 17 - 24 L +3 +1 L -6 36.5 36.0 O + 5.0 G
10/04/09 Sun @JAC 17 - 37 L +0 -3 L -23 40.5 41.5 O +12.5 G
10/11/09 Sun IND 9 - 31 L +4.5 +4 L -18 43.0 44.5 U -4.5 G
10/18/09 Sun @NE 0 - 59 L +9 +9.5 L -49.5 44.5 38.5 O +20.5 G
11/01/09 Sun JAC 30 - 13 W -0 -3 W +14 44.0 44.5 U -1.5 G
11/08/09 Sun @SF 34 - 27 W +6 +4.5 W +11.5 41.0 40.5 O +20.5 G
11/15/09 Sun BUF 41 - 17 W -5.5 -8 W +16 40.5 41.0 O +17.0 G
11/23/09 Mon @HOU 20 - 17 W +4.5 +4 W +7 46.5 48.0 U -11.0 G
11/29/09 Sun ARI 20 - 17 W +1 -3 L 0 48.0 44.5 U -7.5 G

INDIANAPOLIS
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/13/09 Sun JAC 14 - 12 W -7.5 -6.5 L -4.5 43.0 45.0 U -19.0 T
09/21/09 Mon @MIA 27 - 23 W -3 -3 W +1 40.5 41.0 O + 9.0 G
09/27/09 Sun @ARI 31 - 10 W +0 +3 W +24 49.5 49.5 U -8.5 G
10/04/09 Sun SEA 34 - 17 W -9.5 -10 W +7 43.0 44.0 O + 7.0 T
10/11/09 Sun @TEN 31 - 9 W -4.5 -4 W +18 43.0 44.5 U -4.5 G
10/25/09 Sun @STL 42 - 6 W -11.5 -14 W +22 43.0 45.5 O + 2.5 T
11/01/09 Sun SF 18 - 14 W -9.5 -13 L -9 45.0 45.0 U -13.0 T
11/08/09 Sun HOU 20 - 17 W -9.5 -7.5 L -4.5 49.0 50.5 U -13.5 T
11/15/09 Sun NE 35 - 34 W -3 -2.5 L -1.5 46.5 48.5 O +20.5 T
11/22/09 Sun @BAL 17 - 15 W +0 -1 W +1 44.5 44.5 U -12.5 G
11/29/09 Sun @HOU 35 - 27 W -3.5 -3 W +5 49.0 48.0 O +14.0 G

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/02/05 Sun IND 31 TEN 10 +7.5 +7 TEN --14 47.0 46.0 U -5 G
12/04/05 Sun TEN 3 IND 35 -16.0 -15.5 IND +16.5 51.0 50.0 U -12 T
10/08/06 Sun TEN 13 IND 14 -20.0 -17.5 IND --16.5 47.0 48.0 U -21 T
12/03/06 Sun IND 17 TEN 20 +8 +7.5 TEN +10.5 47.5 46.5 U -9.5 G
09/16/07 Sun IND 22 TEN 20 +6.5 +6.5 TEN +4.5 47.5 46.0 U -4 G
12/30/07 Sun TEN 16 IND 10 -3.0 +4 IND --2 42.0 40.0 U -14 T
10/27/08 Mon IND 21 TEN 31 -4.0 -4.0 TEN +6 41.0 41.0 O +-11 G
12/28/08 Sun TEN 0 IND 23 -1.5 +3 IND +26 40.0 38.5 U -15.5 T
10/11/09 Sun IND 31 TEN 9 +4.5 +4 TEN --18 43.0 44.5 U -4.5 G

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (off) 16.3 17 31 147 4.7 29 15 0.5 158 5.4 305 1.2 1.3 .33
IND (def) 18.8 19 23 94 4.1 38 25 0.7 238 6.3 332 0.8 1.0 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (def) 29.5 22 25 102 4.1 40 28 0.7 289 7.2 391 1.0 0.7 1.00
IND (off) 24.2 23 22 75 3.4 45 31 0.7 324 7.2 399 1.2 0.2 .00
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (off) 20.8 17 31 168 5.4 30 17 0.6 184 6.1 352 0.9 1.0 .33
IND (def) 16.7 20 26 109 4.2 38 24 0.6 223 5.9 332 1.2 0.8 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
TEN (def) 26.3 20 24 101 4.2 38 26 0.7 267 7.0 368 1.0 0.5 1.00
IND (off) 27.6 23 23 88 3.8 39 27 0.7 306 7.8 394 1.1 0.3 .00

SCORING AVERAGES:

TENNESSEE (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 0.5 6.8 7.3 3.8 5.2 0.0 9
POINTS ALLOWED 7.3 13.3 20.6 4.5 3.8 0.5 8.8

INDIANAPOLIS (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.4 7.4 12.8 3.4 8.0 0.0 11.4
POINTS ALLOWED 2.8 7.2 10 1.4 7.4 0.0 8.8

TENNESSEE (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.9 6.4 10.3 4.3 6.3 0.0 10.6
POINTS ALLOWED 5.9 11.6 17.5 5.2 3.3 0.3 8.8

INDIANAPOLIS (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.6 9.0 14.6 4.1 8.9 0.0 13
POINTS ALLOWED 4.8 5.2 10 1.5 5.2 0.0 6.7

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
TENNESSEE 56.5 4.0
INDIANAPOLIS 56 -3.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 39.5 7.5 under

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Preview:
Tennessee at Indianapolis
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 6, 2009
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Indianapolis Colts are ranked 3 on offense, averaging 393.4 yards per game. The Colts are averaging 87.6 yards rushing and 305.7 yards passing so far this season.

The Tennessee Titans are ranked 14 on offense, averaging 351.3 yards per game. The Titans are averaging 167.9 yards rushing and 183.4 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Indianapolis Colts are 5-0 at home this season, and against 4-0AFCS opponents.

At home the Colts are averaging 24.2 scoring, and holding teams to 18.8 points scored on defense.

The Tennessee Titans are 2-4 while on the road this season, and 2-3 against AFCS opponents.

On the road, the Titans are averaging 16.3 scoring, and holding teams to 29.5 points scored on defense.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Trends - Tennessee at Indianapolis

Trends - Tennessee at Indianapolis

Trends - Tennessee at Indianapolis

ATS Trends

Tennessee

Titans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Titans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Titans are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog.
Titans are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Titans are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Indianapolis

Colts are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Colts are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Colts are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Colts are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Colts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Colts are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Colts are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

OU Trends

Tennessee

Under is 6-0 in Titans last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Titans last 7 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Titans last 8 vs. AFC South.
Under is 13-5-1 in Titans last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 17-8-1 in Titans last 26 games in December.

Indianapolis

Over is 5-1 in Colts last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 vs. AFC South.
Under is 9-4 in Colts last 13 vs. AFC.

Head to Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Indianapolis.
Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Key Performance Information

INDIANAPOLIS

AS A FAVORITE OF 3.5 TO 9.5 PTS
This season
SU: 3-0 | ATS: 1-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 19-2 | ATS: 9-11 Since 1993
SU: 75-27 | ATS: 44-55
IN ALL GAMES
This season
SU: 11-0 | ATS: 7-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 36-9 | ATS: 23-21 Since 1993
SU: 178-124 | ATS: 145-149
IN WEEKS 10 THROUGH 13
This season
SU: 3-0 | ATS: 2-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 10-1 | ATS: 5-5 Since 1993
SU: 38-32 | ATS: 31-36
IN ALL LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 11-0 | ATS: 7-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 36-9 | ATS: 23-21 Since 1993
SU: 178-124 | ATS: 145-149
AS A FAVORITE
This season
SU: 10-0 | ATS: 6-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 31-6 | ATS: 17-19 Since 1993
SU: 130-49 | ATS: 83-90
AS A HOME FAVORITE OF 3.5 TO 7 PTS
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 0-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 6-1 | ATS: 3-4 Since 1993
SU: 26-14 | ATS: 15-24
IN HOME GAMES
This season
SU: 5-0 | ATS: 1-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 17-5 | ATS: 9-13 Since 1993
SU: 95-53 | ATS: 65-81
IN HOME LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 5-0 | ATS: 1-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 17-5 | ATS: 9-13 Since 1993
SU: 95-53 | ATS: 65-81
IN A HOME GAME WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 45.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 0-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-1 | ATS: 1-2 Since 1993
SU: 23-9 | ATS: 16-16
IN ALL GAMES WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 42.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 9-0 | ATS: 6-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 25-4 | ATS: 14-14 Since 1993
SU: 90-42 | ATS: 64-63
AGAINST CONFERENCE OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 7-0 | ATS: 4-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 26-7 | ATS: 15-17 Since 1993
SU: 138-95 | ATS: 108-118
WHEN PLAYING WITH 6 OR LESS DAYS REST
This season
SU: 8-0 | ATS: 5-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 27-6 | ATS: 18-14 Since 1993
SU: 133-100 | ATS: 109-119
VERSUS DIVISION OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 4-0 | ATS: 2-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 13-3 | ATS: 6-10 Since 1993
SU: 73-54 | ATS: 54-69
OFF A DIVISION GAME
This season
SU: 3-0 | ATS: 2-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-3 | ATS: 8-7 Since 1993
SU: 72-50 | ATS: 59-60
IN DOME GAMES
This season
SU: 7-0 | ATS: 3-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 21-5 | ATS: 13-13 Since 1993
SU: 103-60 | ATS: 75-86
IN GAMES PLAYED ON TURF
This season
SU: 7-0 | ATS: 3-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 21-5 | ATS: 13-13 Since 1993
SU: 123-77 | ATS: 96-100
IN DECEMBER GAMES
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 8-1 | ATS: 5-4 Since 1993
SU: 46-28 | ATS: 34-39
OFF A WIN AGAINST A DIVISION RIVAL
This season
SU: 3-0 | ATS: 2-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 10-2 | ATS: 8-4 Since 1993
SU: 46-24 | ATS: 39-30
AFTER 2 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE WINS
This season
SU: 9-0 | ATS: 6-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 25-4 | ATS: 17-11 Since 1993
SU: 78-30 | ATS: 58-47
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD
This season
SU: 3-0 | ATS: 3-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 14-0 | ATS: 8-5 Since 1993
SU: 63-33 | ATS: 38-54
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 10-0 | ATS: 5-4 Since 1993
SU: 40-19 | ATS: 22-34

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

NFL Preview - Houston (5-6) at Jacksonville (6-5)

NFL Preview - Houston (5-6) at Jacksonville (6-5)

NFL Preview - Houston (5-6) at Jacksonville (6-5)

Apparently, neither of them wants to be a second banana.

With top-banana status in the AFC South already sealed up for the Indianapolis Colts, the next two perceived contenders - the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars - have been in a death struggle in which both have been trying to pass the No. 2 spot to the other as if it were a red-hot potato.

The Texans had won three straight, moved their record to 5-3 and seemed poised to distance themselves from the gaggle before a 20-17 loss at Indy on Nov. 8, triggering a skid that reached three last week when they gave up 28 second-half points and lost to the Colts at home, 35-27.

Jacksonville has ridden a contrary road, but finds itself in a similar place.

The Jaguars searched vainly for consistency in the early going and were just 3-4 on Nov. 2 after less-than-awe-inspiring defeats of Houston, Tennessee and St. Louis were mixed with losses at Indianapolis (14-12), home to Arizona (31-17), at Seattle (41-0) and at Tennessee (30-13).

They then reeled off three straight wins to get to 6-4 and grab a spot in the muddled conference playoff chase, before taking a giant, coma-inducing step backward last week in the form of a 20-3 loss at San Francisco - in which a 73- yard advantage from scrimmage was trumped by two costly fumbles.

Jacksonville quarterback David Garrard called an offense-only meeting after the loss to the Niners.

"I just felt like it was something that needed to be done," Garrard said. "I talked with (tight end) Marcedes (Lewis) and a few of the other guys, and they thought it was a good idea, too.

"Marcedes was trying to make a big push for it. I've been watching (Marcedes), and he's been taking more of a leadership role. It's got to be from the guys that have been here and have done things, so it's good to see him stepping up."

So, entering their battle for middling status in Week 13, the teams find themselves treading water in the South, drifting aimlessly in the conference and suddenly the limping quarry in the eyes of the resurgent Titans, who've won five straight with Vince Young after being left for dead at 0-6.

The Jags maintain a tenuous grip on the second AFC wild card position heading into the weekend, at least temporarily beating out Baltimore by virtue of six conference wins to the Ravens' five and Pittsburgh's four.

Denver holds position No. 1 with a 7-4 mark, ahead of that six-win trio and a quartet of teams - Houston, Miami, the New York Jets and the Titans - with five wins apiece.

The Texans are 10-5 in December under coach Gary Kubiak.

"It's a must-win game," Houston strong safety Bernard Pollard said. "We have to win out. In the last three games, we've found a way to lose. We don't want to make losing contagious. I'd take swine flu all day over losing. The only antidote for losing is to play your butt off. It's self-check time, and everybody understands it."

SERIES HISTORY

Houston leads the all-time series with the Jaguars, 8-7, but was a 31-24 home loser when the teams met in Week 3. The clubs embarked on a conventional split of last year's home-and-home, with the Texans coming up 30-27 overtime losers in Jacksonville in Week 4, and exacting revenge with a 30-17 home win over the Jags in Week 13. The Jaguars, who will be going for their first home-and-home sweep of the Texans since 2005, are 2-0 in home games against Houston since falling to the team within friendly confines in 2006.

Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio is 6-7 versus the Texans all-time, including 4-2 in Jacksonville. The Texans' Kubiak is 4-3 against both Del Rio and the Jaguars as a head coach.

WHEN THE TEXANS HAVE THE BALL

Quarterback Matt Schaub, who's third in the league in yardage and second in the conference in touchdowns, has a pair of four-TD road games on his slate this season. He's been particularly efficient against the Jaguars in his career, completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 866 yards, six touchdowns and a 105.3 passer rating. He's thrown three TDs in his last two starts against Jacksonville, and, with 290 passing yards, will surpass David Carr's single- season franchise record. Also faring well against this week's foe has been running back Steve Slaton, who's averaged 5.6 yards per carry in 43 attempts against Jacksonville. Fellow ground-gainer Chris Brown is nine yards short of 3,000 for his career. On the outside, receiver Andre Johnson is 55 yards from reaching 1,000 for the fourth time and has averaged 92.5 yards per game against South Division foes since 2008. Also, Kevin Walter has racked up 118 yards per game on the Jags' home turf in his last two visits.

Primary among the information for the Jaguars is the absence of cornerback Rashean Mathis, who'll miss the game with a groin injury. The seventh-year man from Bethune-Cookman had two interceptions in his last three games against Houston and led the team with three this season. The rest of the defense has combined for just six in 11 games. Getting a consistent pass rush has also been an issue. Mammoth defensive tackle John Henderson leads the unit with just three sacks, 1.5 more than second-place linebacker Daryl Smith. Smith leads the team in tackles through 11 games with 70, including 57 solos. Collectively, the Jaguars have been outscored in three of four quarters overall, and opponents are averaging 349.5 yards per game, including 106.6 via the run and 242.9 through the air. The team's turnover ratio is minus-2.

WHEN THE JAGUARS HAVE THE BALL

Whether the offense's meeting will have an impact is unclear, but it's not as if the Jaguars don't have some quality personnel. Garrard has won four of six career starts against Houston with an 82.5 passer rating, while spending much of his time reveling in a ground game that includes mighty mite Maurice Jones- Drew, who's second in the conference in yardage and first in the league in touchdowns. He needs two scores to top Fred Taylor's franchise record for single-season rushing TDs and went for 119 yards and three TDs on 19 carries in the teams' last matchup. Also, three more touchdowns get him to 50 in his career. Elsewhere, youngster Mike Sims-Walker has emerged as the No. 1 target and needs 60 yards to become the first Jaguar with at least 800 in a season since Jimmy Smith in 2005. Alongside, veteran Torry Holt passed Andre Reed to reach 10th in league history in yardage last week. Lastly, tight end Lewis averages a healthy 15.2 yards per catch against Houston.

Rookies have been nothing if not pleasant additions to the Houston unit in 2009. First-round pick Brian Cushing (15th overall, USC), recently named AFC Defensive Rookie of the Month, leads both the team and all NFL rookies with 99 tackles. He also grabbed his third interception last week against the Colts. That total also leads the team. Meanwhile, rookie cornerback Brice McCain (sixth round, Utah) picked off his first pass as a pro last week as well. Crunching the numbers, Houston has been outscored in two of four quarters overall on the season and has posted a plus-1 turnover ratio. Recent No. 1 overall pick Mario Williams has a team-high five sacks and has chipped in with 31 tackles from his spot at defensive end. The Texans surrender a weekly clip of 334.2 yards per game, with 120 on the ground and 214.2 in the air. Largely unsung linebacker DeMeco Ryans is second on the team with 81 tackles and has forced a fumble and deflected a pass.

FANTASY FOCUS

With a generous pass defense on the other side, especially without Mathis, it ought to be a good numbers day for Schaub, Johnson and perhaps even Walter, who's fared well habitually against the Jaguars. The split of Slaton and Brown in the backfield makes either of them more iffy. For Jacksonville, Jones-Drew is a no-brainer against a team struggling to stop the run. Sims-Walker has also moved to must-use status.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

Matchups, matchups, matchups. What will happen first, the Jags stopping a prolific Schaub or the Texans limiting a prodigious Jones-Drew? The guess here is the former, just enough to please the home crowd. Look for MJD to gobble clock and keep the ball away from Houston in a close one.

predicted outcome: Jaguars 28, Texans 24

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

NFL Matchup - Houston at Jacksonville

NFL Matchup - Houston at Jacksonville

NFL Matchup - Houston at Jacksonville

Houston Texans (5-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars (6-5)
Date: Sunday, December 6th
Kickoff: 1 p.m. (et)
Site: Jacksonville Municipal Stadium (67,164) -- Jacksonville, Florida
Surface: Grass
Home Record: Houston 2-4; Jacksonville 4-1
Away Record: Houston 3-2; Jacksonville 2-4
Versus A-F-C South: Houston 1-4; Jacksonville 2-2
Versus A-F-C: Houston 4-5; Jacksonville 5-2
Current Win/Loss Streak: Houston 3L; Jacksonville 1L
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Houston 1L
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: Jacksonville 4W
Television: CBS
Announcers: Gus Johnson and Steve Tasker
All-Time Series: Houston (8-7)
Last Meeting: September 27, 2009 (Jacksonville, 31-24 at Houston)
Series Streak: Jacksonville has won two of the last three meetings.

Season Schedule/Results
Houston Texans
Sep 13 - L vs. NY Jets, 7-24
Sep 20 - W at Tennessee, 34-31
Sep 27 - L vs. Jacksonville, 24-31
Oct 4 - W vs. Oakland, 29-6
Oct 11 - L at Arizona, 21-28
Oct 18 - W at Cincinnati, 28-17
Oct 25 - W vs. San Francisco, 24-21
Nov 1 - W at Buffalo, 31-10
Nov 8 - L at Indianapolis, 17-20
Nov 15 - Open
Nov 23 - L vs. Tennessee, 17-20
Nov 29 - L vs. Indianapolis, 27-35
Dec 6 - at Jacksonville, 1:00 PM
Dec 13 - vs. Seattle, 1:00 PM
Dec 20 - at St. Louis, 1:00 PM
Dec 27 - at Miami, 1:00 PM
Jan 3 - vs. New England, 1:00 PM
Jacksonville Jaguars
Sep 13 - L at Indianapolis, 12-14
Sep 20 - L vs. Arizona, 17-31
Sep 27 - W at Houston, 31-24
Oct 4 - W vs. Tennessee, 37-17
Oct 11 - L at Seattle, 0-41
Oct 18 - W vs. St. Louis, 23-20 (OT)
Oct 25 - Open
Nov 1 - L at Tennessee, 13-30
Nov 8 - W vs. Kansas City, 24-21
Nov 15 - W at NY Jets, 24-22
Nov 22 - W vs. Buffalo, 18-15
Nov 29 - L at San Francisco, 3-20
Dec 6 - vs. Houston, 1:00 PM
Dec 13 - vs. Miami, 1:00 PM
Dec 17 - vs. Indianapolis, 8:20 PM
Dec 27 - at New England, 1:00 PM
Jan 3 - at Cleveland, 1:00 PM

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Preview: Texans (5-6) at Jaguars (6-5)

Preview: Texans (5-6) at Jaguars (6-5)

Preview: Texans (5-6) at Jaguars (6-5)

Date: December 06, 2009 1:00 PM EDT

The Jacksonville Jaguars prevailed in a scramble for a fumble to beat the Houston Texans earlier this season. That could be the difference in which team has the better chance of emerging from a logjam in the AFC wild-card race.

Following another poor effort on the road, the Jaguars look to win their fifth straight at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium and sweep their season series with the Texans on Sunday.

Though Jacksonville (6-5) lost 20-3 at San Francisco last Sunday, it remains in playoff position. The Jaguars wouldn't have a hold on the second wild-card spot if not for a 31-24 win over the Texans (5-6) on Sept. 27.

Jacksonville recovered Houston running back Chris Brown's fumble in its own end zone with 2 minutes left, ending one of several chances the Texans had to tie the game.

Houston is in a tie with three other 5-6 teams and trails two 6-5 clubs besides Jacksonville.

Neither team has much room for error. While the Texans likely have to win their final five, the Jaguars have games remaining against unbeaten Indianapolis and AFC East-leading New England.

Three straight home games should help the Jaguars' cause. They've won four in a row in Jacksonville since a 31-17 loss to Arizona on Sept. 20.

"Everybody plays better at home," defensive tackle Atiyyah Ellison said. "You're just more comfortable. You're not in a strange locker room. You stay right close to the facility the night before and all that. We just have to play better."

The Jaguars fumbled twice, missed two field goals and allowed six sacks against the 49ers. Jacksonville abandoned the run for the most part after trailing 17-3 at the half, and Maurice Jones-Drew was held without a touchdown after scoring eight times in his previous five games.

The NFL leader with 13 rushing TDs, Jones-Drew had 119 yards and three scores in this season's first matchup with the Texans.

David Garrard was efficient in that game, completing 60.0 percent (18 for 30) of his passes without a touchdown or an interception. He threw for 307 yards against San Francisco, but Jacksonville managed three points in four trips inside the red zone.

"We've got to do better execution in critical situations," guard Uche Nwaneri said. "That's the bottom line. ... Everybody's out there playing hard. David's out there trying to make plays and you can never get mad at somebody trying to make plays."

Houston was held to seven points in the second half of a 35-27 loss to the Colts last Sunday, blowing a 17-point lead. It was the third straight defeat for the Texans, who lost both of their previous games by three points.

"A lot of people in this building are working very hard, coaches, people in this building that deserve some success and those players are a big part of that," coach Gary Kubiak said.

Houston faces three straight teams with losing records following this game, but it closes the season against the Patriots.

The Texans have shown they can play tough against good teams. Still, their inability to finish off those games will likely keep them out of the playoffs.

"It's like we are at this hill and we keep getting to the top and we just keep rolling back down," wide receiver Andre Johnson said. "Somehow we've just got to find a way to get over it and that's the biggest thing right now."

Johnson has been held to 20 catches for 242 yards and one touchdown in five games at Jacksonville.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Week 13

HOUSTON (5-6) vs JACKSONVILLE (6-5)

Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, December 6

Stadium: AllTell Stadium Surface: grass

RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
HOUSTON HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 4 3 - 2 5 - 6 1 - 4 4 - 1 5 - 5 3 - 3 1 - 4 4 - 7
Last 5 games 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3 0 - 2 2 - 0 2 - 2 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3
YTD vs. Div. 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4 0 - 3 2 - 0 2 - 3 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
JACKSONVILLE HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 4 - 1 2 - 4 6 - 5 1 - 4 3 - 3 4 - 7 4 - 1 2 - 4 6 - 5
Last 5 games 2 - 0 1 - 2 3 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3
YTD vs. Div. 1 - 0 1 - 2 2 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 0 1 - 2 2 - 2
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
HOUSTON 1 - 0 3 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 3 0 - 1 1 - 4 0 - 0
JACKSONVILLE 0 - 0 3 - 3 2 - 2 1 - 1 0 - 4 1 - 0 1 - 4 0 - 0

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

HOUSTON
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/13/09 Sun NYJ 7 - 24 L -4.5 -4.5 L -21.5 45.0 44.0 U -13.0 G
09/20/09 Sun @TEN 34 - 31 W +7 +7 W +10 40.0 41.0 O +24.0 G
09/27/09 Sun JAC 24 - 31 L -4 -4 L -11 45.5 47.0 O + 8.0 G
10/04/09 Sun OAK 29 - 6 W -9.5 -8.5 W +14.5 44.0 42.0 U -7.0 G
10/11/09 Sun @ARI 21 - 28 L +4 +6 L -1 52.0 50.5 U -1.5 G
10/18/09 Sun @CIN 28 - 17 W +4.5 +4 W +15 45.0 46.0 U -1.0 G
10/25/09 Sun SF 24 - 21 W -3 -3 L 0 45.0 44.0 O + 1.0 G
11/01/09 Sun @BUF 31 - 10 W -3 -3.5 W +17.5 42.0 41.5 U -0.5 T
11/08/09 Sun @IND 17 - 20 L +9.5 +7.5 W +4.5 49.0 50.5 U -13.5 T
11/23/09 Mon TEN 17 - 20 L -4.5 -4 L -7 46.5 48.0 U -11.0 G
11/29/09 Sun IND 27 - 35 L +3.5 +3 L -5 49.0 48.0 O +14.0 G

JACKSONVILLE
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/13/09 Sun @IND 12 - 14 L +7.5 +6.5 W +4.5 43.0 45.0 U -19.0 T
09/20/09 Sun ARI 17 - 31 L -4 -3 L -17 45.5 44.0 O + 4.0 G
09/27/09 Sun @HOU 31 - 24 W +4 +4 W +11 45.5 47.0 O + 8.0 G
10/04/09 Sun TEN 37 - 17 W -0 +3 W +23 40.5 41.5 O +12.5 G
10/11/09 Sun @SEA 0 - 41 L +2.5 +1 L -40 42.5 44.0 U -3.0 T
10/18/09 Sun STL 23 - 20 W -13 -9.5 L -6.5 42.0 42.5 O + 0.5 G
11/01/09 Sun @TEN 13 - 30 L +0 +3 L -14 44.0 44.5 U -1.5 G
11/08/09 Sun KC 24 - 21 W -6.5 -7 L -4 43.5 41.5 O + 3.5 G
11/15/09 Sun @NYJ 24 - 22 W +6 +6.5 W +8.5 42.5 41.0 O + 5.0 G
11/22/09 Sun BUF 18 - 15 W -10 -8.5 L -5.5 44.0 41.0 U -8.0 G
11/29/09 Sun @SF 3 - 20 L +4.5 +3 L -14 43.0 41.5 U -18.5 G

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/06/05 Sun HOU 14 JAC 21 -10.5 -13.5 JAC --6.5 38.0 36.0 U -1 G
12/24/05 Sat JAC 38 HOU 20 +6 +6 HOU --12 37.5 37.5 O +-20.5 G
10/22/06 Sun JAC 7 HOU 27 +8.5 +8 HOU +28 40.0 39.5 U -5.5 G
11/12/06 Sun HOU 13 JAC 10 -11.5 -10.0 JAC --13 37.5 37.5 U -14.5 G
10/14/07 Sun HOU 17 JAC 37 -6.5 -6.5 JAC +13.5 38.5 37.0 O +-17 G
12/30/07 Sun JAC 28 HOU 42 0.0 -7.0 HOU +7 42.0 42.0 O +-28 G
09/28/08 Sun HOU 27 JAC 30 -8.5 -7.0 JAC --4 41.0 43.0 O +-14 G
12/01/08 Mon JAC 17 HOU 30 -3.5 -3.0 HOU +10 49.0 48.5 U -1.5 G
09/27/09 Sun JAC 31 HOU 24 -4.0 -4.0 HOU --11 45.5 47.0 O +-8 G

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
HOU (off) 26.2 23 29 92 3.2 41 29 0.7 333 8.1 425 1.2 0.6 .00
JAC (def) 20.8 16 20 76 3.8 37 24 0.6 257 6.9 333 1.0 0.8 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
HOU (def) 21.2 18 19 100 5.3 36 24 0.7 235 6.5 335 1.2 0.8 .00
JAC (off) 23.8 24 33 134 4.1 36 24 0.7 275 7.6 409 0.8 1.4 .00
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
HOU (off) 23.5 21 26 91 3.5 37 25 0.7 283 7.6 374 1.0 0.7 .00
JAC (def) 23.2 19 26 107 4.1 34 23 0.7 243 7.1 350 0.8 0.6 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
HOU (def) 22.1 19 25 120 4.8 33 21 0.6 215 6.5 335 0.9 0.9 .00
JAC (off) 18.4 19 27 133 4.9 33 20 0.6 222 6.7 355 0.5 1.2 .00

SCORING AVERAGES:

HOUSTON (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.8 6.6 9.4 7.6 9.2 0.0 16.8
POINTS ALLOWED 7.6 9.4 17 1.4 2.8 0.0 4.2

JACKSONVILLE (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.8 6.2 12 2.6 8.6 0.6 11.8
POINTS ALLOWED 5.2 5.2 10.4 3.8 6.6 0.0 10.4

HOUSTON (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.7 8.3 13 4.8 5.7 0.0 10.5
POINTS ALLOWED 4.3 8.4 12.7 3.5 6.0 0.0 9.5

JACKSONVILLE (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.5 6.8 10.3 2.4 5.4 0.3 8.1
POINTS ALLOWED 4.7 8.3 13 5.1 5.1 0.0 10.2

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
HOUSTON 51
JACKSONVILLE 48.5 -1.0 1.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 44.5 2 under

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Preview:
Houston at Jacksonville
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 6, 2009
Where: Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Jacksonville Jaguars are ranked 12 on offense, averaging 354.6 yards per game. The Jaguars are averaging 132.5 yards rushing and 222.1 yards passing so far this season.

The Houston Texans are ranked 8 on offense, averaging 373.6 yards per game. The Texans are averaging 90.9 yards rushing and 282.7 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-1 at home this season, and against 2-2AFCS opponents.

At home the Jaguars are averaging 23.8 scoring, and holding teams to 20.8 points scored on defense.

The Houston Texans are 3-2 while on the road this season, and 1-4 against AFCS opponents.

On the road, the Texans are averaging 26.2 scoring, and holding teams to 21.2 points scored on defense.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Trends - Houston at Jacksonville

Trends - Houston at Jacksonville

Trends - Houston at Jacksonville

ATS Trends

Houston

Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Texans are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Texans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Jacksonville

Jaguars are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 13.
Jaguars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Jaguars are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
Jaguars are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.
Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Jaguars are 7-19 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Jaguars are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Jaguars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Jaguars are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games.
Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends

Houston

Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 vs. AFC.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games in December.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 6-2 in Texans last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-2-1 in Texans last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 20-7 in Texans last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 17-6 in Texans last 23 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 19-7 in Texans last 26 vs. AFC South.
Under is 8-3 in Texans last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 18-7-1 in Texans last 26 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 18-7-1 in Texans last 26 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games in Week 13.

Jacksonville

Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games in December.
Under is 7-2-1 in Jaguars last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Jaguars last 11 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 10-4 in Jaguars last 14 games as an underdog.
Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 games in Week 13.
Over is 16-7-2 in Jaguars last 25 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Jacksonville.
Texans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

NFL Capsules: Houston at Jacksonville

NFL Capsules: Houston at Jacksonville

NFL Capsules: Houston at Jacksonville

HOUSTON (5-6) at JACKSONVILLE (6-5)1 p.m. ET, CBS
OPENING LINE - Pick-em

RECORD VS. SPREAD - Houston 5-5-1; Jacksonville 4-7

SERIES RECORD - Texans lead 8-7

LAST MEETING - Jaguars beat Texans 31-24, Sept. 29, 2009

LAST WEEK - Texans lost to Colts 37-25; Jaguars lost to 49ers 20-3

TEXANS OFFENSE - OVERALL (8), RUSH (29), PASS (3)

TEXANS DEFENSE - OVERALL (17), RUSH (22), PASS (14T)

JAGUARS OFFENSE - OVERALL (12), RUSH (8), PASS (16)

JAGUARS DEFENSE - OVERALL (21), RUSH (10), PASS (26)

STREAKS, STATS AND NOTES - Texans have lost three in row, all by less than eight points. ... Houston blew 17-point lead at home against unbeaten Indianapolis last week. ... Texans appeared poised to beat Jacksonville in first meeting, but RB Chris Brown fumbled at 1-yard line with 2 minutes to play. Houston looked like it would get ball back, but horse-collar penalty on DE Mario Williams on third down allowed Jacksonville to run out clock. ... In three starts against Jaguars, Matt Schaub has completed 69.8 percent of passes for 866 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. He could be in for another big day against Jacksonville's banged-up secondary, which will be without CB Rashean Mathis for third consecutive week. ... Schaub needs 290 yards passing to break David Carr's franchise record (3,531 yards in 2004). ... Jaguars have won four in row at home, last three by three points each. ... Maurice Jones-Drew, who ran for 119 yards and three TDs in first meeting, needs two TDs to break Fred Taylor's team record (14) for most in season. ... Mike Sims-Walker needs 60 yards receiving to become first Jacksonville player with more than 800 yards since Jimmy Smith in 2005. ... Game will be blacked out on local television

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Key Performance Information

JACKSONVILLE

IN GAMES WHERE THE LINE IS +3 TO -3
This season
SU: 1-4 | ATS: 1-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 7-9 | ATS: 6-10 Since 1993
SU: 43-44 | ATS: 41-43
IN ALL GAMES
This season
SU: 6-5 | ATS: 4-7 Last 3 seaons
SU: 23-22 | ATS: 20-25 Since 1993
SU: 129-117 | ATS: 122-117
IN WEEKS 10 THROUGH 13
This season
SU: 2-1 | ATS: 1-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 6-5 | ATS: 6-5 Since 1993
SU: 32-24 | ATS: 31-23
IN ALL LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 6-5 | ATS: 4-7 Last 3 seaons
SU: 23-22 | ATS: 20-25 Since 1993
SU: 129-117 | ATS: 122-117
AS AN UNDERDOG
This season
SU: 3-4 | ATS: 4-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 10-14 | ATS: 13-11 Since 1993
SU: 43-75 | ATS: 62-51
AS A HOME UNDERDOG OF 3 PTS OR LESS
This season
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 2-2 | ATS: 2-2 Since 1993
SU: 11-10 | ATS: 13-7
IN HOME GAMES
This season
SU: 4-1 | ATS: 1-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-9 | ATS: 7-14 Since 1993
SU: 75-45 | ATS: 62-55
IN HOME LINED GAMES
This season
SU: 4-1 | ATS: 1-4 Last 3 seaons
SU: 12-9 | ATS: 7-14 Since 1993
SU: 75-45 | ATS: 62-55
IN A HOME GAME WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 45.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 1-0 | ATS: 1-0 Since 1993
SU: 6-0 | ATS: 4-2
IN ALL GAMES WHERE THE TOTAL IS BETWEEN 42.5 AND 49 PTS
This season
SU: 1-4 | ATS: 2-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-8 | ATS: 6-7 Since 1993
SU: 33-35 | ATS: 35-32
AGAINST CONFERENCE OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 5-2 | ATS: 4-3 Last 3 seaons
SU: 17-16 | ATS: 16-17 Since 1993
SU: 96-91 | ATS: 92-89
WHEN PLAYING WITH 6 OR LESS DAYS REST
This season
SU: 6-3 | ATS: 3-6 Last 3 seaons
SU: 22-14 | ATS: 18-18 Since 1993
SU: 105-94 | ATS: 98-94
VERSUS DIVISION OPPONENTS
This season
SU: 2-2 | ATS: 3-1 Last 3 seaons
SU: 6-10 | ATS: 7-9 Since 1993
SU: 56-53 | ATS: 52-53
IN GAMES PLAYED ON A GRASS FIELD
This season
SU: 6-4 | ATS: 3-7 Last 3 seaons
SU: 21-17 | ATS: 15-23 Since 1993
SU: 113-87 | ATS: 100-94
IN DECEMBER GAMES
This season
SU: 0-0 | ATS: 0-0 Last 3 seaons
SU: 4-6 | ATS: 5-5 Since 1993
SU: 32-30 | ATS: 33-28
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD
This season
SU: 4-3 | ATS: 1-6 Last 3 seaons
SU: 8-8 | ATS: 5-11 Since 1993
SU: 61-40 | ATS: 46-54
WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TEAM WITH A LOSING RECORD IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE SEASON
This season
SU: 1-1 | ATS: 0-2 Last 3 seaons
SU: 5-3 | ATS: 4-4 Since 1993
SU: 44-17 | ATS: 33-27

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

NFL Preview - Denver (7-4) at Kansas City (3-8)

NFL Preview - Denver (7-4) at Kansas City (3-8)

NFL Preview - Denver (7-4) at Kansas City (3-8)

- If Josh McDaniels had gotten his way some nine months ago, Matt Cassel would be the quarterback for the Denver Broncos today. Instead, the once-prized pupil will play the role of nemesis when the Kansas City Chiefs host their longtime rivals this Sunday in an AFC West clash from Arrowhead Stadium.

Cassel took over for injured superstar Tom Brady and capably kept McDaniels' offense among the NFL's most potent units when both were members of the New England Patriots last season, with McDaniels -- then the team's offensive coordinator -- parlaying that success into a head coaching gig with the Broncos over the winter. Soon after landing the job, word spread that the brash Bill Belichick disciple had discussions with his one-time employers about bringing Cassel to Denver to run the offense, an idea that clearly didn't sit well with incumbent signal-caller Jay Cutler.

Those negotiations ultimately fell through, and the Patriots in turn shipped Cassel and veteran outside linebacker Mike Vrabel to Kansas City, whose just- hired general manager Scott Pioli had formerly served as New England's player personnel director prior to joining the Chiefs. Cutler, incensed at the new coaching regime for their intentions, demanded a trade and got his wish when the Broncos dealt the strong-armed gunslinger to Chicago just days before the 2009 draft in exchange for quarterback Kyle Orton and a slew of picks.

Despite all the soap-opera theatrics and potential public-relations nightmare, the move has actually worked out quite well for the Broncos. Orton is putting together the best season of his five-year career in McDaniels' wide-open system, and Denver enters the stretch run right in the thick of the AFC playoff picture under their 33-year-old head coach. The 7-4 Broncos currently stand atop the conference Wild Card standings and are just a game back of San Diego for first place in the division.

Cassel hasn't been able to achieve the same measure of success in his first season with his new team. The still-rebuilding Chiefs fell to 3-8 after last Sunday's 43-14 blasting at the hands of powerhouse San Diego and enter this week's slate of games ranked 30th out of 32 NFL clubs in total offense.

Kansas City had won two in a row prior to that fiasco, however, and handed the defending world champion Pittsburgh Steelers a 27-24 overtime defeat at Arrowhead Stadium just two weeks back.

Denver has come down some after a soaring 6-0 start to the McDaniels era, but seemingly got itself back on track with a convincing 26-6 victory over the reeling New York Giants on Thanksgiving Day. A defense that had struggled over the four-game losing streak the Broncos brought into the game returned to its early season form, forcing three turnovers and yielding a paltry 38 total yards in helping Denver to a comfortable 16-0 halftime lead.

SERIES HISTORY

Kansas City holds a 53-44 lead in its all-time series with Denver, including a conventional split of last year's home-and-home. The Chiefs reached half their 2008 win total with a 33-19 home victory in Week 4, but were 24-17 losers when they visited Denver in Week 14. The latter game ranked as the 146th and (presumably) final win the Broncos career of head coach Mike Shanahan. The Broncos last won in Kansas City in 2007.

The two storied franchises have met just once in the postseason, with the Broncos claiming a 14-10 road victory in a 1997 AFC Divisional Playoff. McDaniels and the Chiefs' Todd Haley will be meeting each other, as well as their counterpart's respective teams, for the first time as a head coaches.

WHEN THE BRONCOS HAVE THE BALL

While Denver has hardly been a juggernaut on offense in McDaniels' debut campaign, the team has gotten efficient play out of Orton (2447 passing yards, 12 TD, 6 INT) and been effective running the football with the backfield tandem of rookie Knowshon Moreno (688 rushing yards, 16 receptions, 4 total TD) and third-down specialist Correll Buckhalter (450 rushing yards, 1 TD, 24 receptions). Moreno, the Broncos' first selection in this past April's draft, has especially been a factor in recent weeks, with the former University of Georgia star averaging a healthy 5.6 per rush as the lead back over the past three games. Physical wide receiver Brandon Marshall (58 receptions, 714 yards, 6 TD), one of the few holdovers from the Shanahan days, continues to be the No. 1 target in the passing game, with fellow wideouts Jabar Gaffney (29 receptions) and Eddie Royal (31 receptions) and tight end Tony Scheffler (27 receptions, 2 TD) used as complementary parts to an offense that stresses spreading the ball around. Orton had been bothered by an ankle injury that forced him to exit a Week 10 loss at Washington, but showed he's in good health by producing a solid 18-for-28, 245-yard showing versus the Giants.

Orton and the Broncos receivers shouldn't have too much trouble exploiting a Kansas City defense that's surrendered the third-most passing yards in the league (258.4 ypg) and has generated only 14 sacks in 11 games. The Chiefs were torched for 332 yards through the air by the Chargers last weekend, with standout tight end Antonio Gates abusing the suspect safety combo of Mike Brown (62 tackles, 2 sacks, 2 INT) and Jon McGraw (28 tackles, 1 sack) for 117 yards and two scores on seven catches. The Chiefs have given up 14 passing plays of 40 yards or more, the most in the NFL this year. The group hasn't been much better in containing the run, having permitted an average of 134.5 rushing yards per game (27th overall), but did hold San Diego's LaDainian Tomlinson to a modest 39 yards on 13 carries a week ago. Inside linebacker Demorrio Williams (75 tackles) recorded nine tackles in the loss and leads the team in stops. Vrabel (33 tackles, 1 sack), a stabilizing presence on a transitioning defense, could return from a knee sprain that's kept him out of the past two games, although youngster Andy Studebaker (20 tackles, 2 INT) has shown promise while filling in. The 24-year-old had a pair of long interception returns in the Chiefs' upset win over Pittsburgh in Week 11.

WHEN THE CHIEFS HAVE THE BALL

Cassel (1898 passing yards, 13 TD, 7 INT) has found the going to be considerably tougher after leaving the talent-laden Patriots. Playing behind a suspect front line that's allowed 38 sacks so far this year, the young quarterback is completing just 55.6 percent of his passes and averaging a subpar 5.9 yards per attempt. It hasn't helped matters that wide receiver Dwayne Bowe (33 receptions, 4 TD), the team's best downfield threat, is just halfway through a four-game suspension for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancers. Chargers castoff Chris Chambers (26 receptions, 4 TD) has been a pleasant surprise since being claimed off waivers in early November, however, with the ninth-year receiver having scored three touchdowns and averaged nearly 19 yards per catch in four games as a Chief. The offense has also benefited from the insertion of second-year speedster Jamaal Charles (406 rushing yards, 26 receptions, 4 total TD) as the primary running back, as evidenced by the 147 yards from scrimmage (93 rushing, 54 receiving) he put up on the Chargers last weekend. The 22-year-old is averaging an impressive 5.2 yards per carry on the season, although he's had some issues with ball security. Kansas City ranks dead last in the league in third-down conversions, having made just 22.7 percent of its tries in such situations.

The Chiefs could have a problem keeping Cassel upright against an aggressive Denver defense that's adept at bringing the heat. The Broncos are tied for fourth in the NFL with 32 sacks, with havoc-wreaking outside linebacker Elvis Dumervil (37 tackles, 3 forced fumbles) having generated a league-best 14 after taking down the Giants' Eli Manning twice on Thanksgiving. Denver's knack for getting pressure further aids a seasoned secondary that features three players who have been to multiple Pro Bowls in safety Brian Dawkins (79 tackles, 9 PD), cornerback Champ Bailey (59 tackles, 1 INT, 10 PD) and nickel back Ty Law (8 tackles). The Broncos, who stand fifth overall in both total yards (295.0 ypg) and points allowed (17.2 ypg), can also hold their own against the run. The Giants mustered a mere 57 yards in last week's loss and had trouble moving the pile on a stout interior corps led by the playmaking Dawkins, who registered eight solo tackles and a forced fumble, and inside linebackers D.J. Williams (81 tackles, 3.5 sacks) and Andra Davis (69 tackles, 3.5 sacks). Denver is 7-0 when it gives up 23 points or less this season.

FANTASY FOCUS

A matchup against Kansas City's soft stop unit often results in a fantasy bonanza for opposing players, and Moreno and Marshall owners should have those two in starting lineups during this critical point of the season. Orton's usually regarded as more of a secondary option at quarterback, but one could certainly do worse at the position. Denver's share-the-wealth philosophy when passing makes all receivers other than Marshall risky plays, although Scheffler has potential at the tight end spot and Royal gains value in leagues that reward return yardage. The Chiefs have made it clear that Charles will be dominating backfield touches down the stretch, so he's one of the few safe bets on the team's roster. Chambers has shown to be a reliable source of points as well in his new surroundings, but Cassel and any other Kansas City skill players are better-suited to the bench. The Denver defense gets a go- ahead for this week, as the Chiefs don't score much and surrender a lot of sacks.

OVERALL ANALYSIS

The Chiefs had been a tough out for the opposition before running into a buzzsaw in San Diego last weekend, and it wouldn't be a total shock if they were able to knock off a Denver squad that was playing pretty lousy prior to its bounce-back performance against the Giants. The Broncos generally win when they play good defense, however, and Kansas City doesn't seem to present enough of a threat on the other side to prevent that from happening again this week. McDaniels' familiarity with Cassel's strengths and weaknesses provides another advantage for Denver in a game it needs to have in order to enhance its playoff credentials.

Predicted Outcome: Broncos 20, Chiefs 10

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

NFL Matchup - Denver at Kansas City

NFL Matchup - Denver at Kansas City

NFL Matchup - Denver at Kansas City

Denver Broncos (7-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-8)
Date: Sunday, December 6th
Kickoff: 1 p.m. (et)
Site: Arrowhead Stadium (79,451) -- Kansas City, Missouri
Surface: Grass
Home Record: Denver 4-2; Kansas City 1-4
Away Record: Denver 3-2; Kansas City 2-4
Versus A-F-C West: Denver 2-1; Kansas City 1-3
Versus A-F-C: Denver 5-3; Kansas City 2-5
Current Win/Loss Streak: Denver 1W; Kansas City 1L
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Denver 2L
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: Kansas City 1W
Television: CBS
Announcers: Dick Enberg and Dan Fouts
All-Time Series: Kansas City (53-45 -- Denver, 1-0 in playoffs)
Last Meeting: December 7, 2008 (Denver, 24-17 at Denver)
Series Streak: Denver has won three of the last four meetings.

Season Schedule/Results
Denver Broncos
Sep 13 - W at Cincinnati, 12-7
Sep 20 - W vs. Cleveland, 27-6
Sep 27 - W at Oakland, 23-3
Oct 4 - W vs. Dallas, 17-10
Oct 11 - W vs. New England, 20-17 (OT)
Oct 19 - W at San Diego, 34-23
Oct 25 - Open
Nov 1 - L at Baltimore, 7-30
Nov 9 - L vs. Pittsburgh, 10-28
Nov 15 - L at Washington, 17-27
Nov 22 - L vs. San Diego, 3-32
Nov 26 - W vs. NY Giants, 26-6
Dec 6 - at Kansas City, 1:00 PM
Dec 13 - at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM
Dec 20 - vs. Oakland, 4:05 PM
Dec 27 - at Philadelphia, 1:00 PM
Jan 3 - vs. Kansas City, 4:15 PM
Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 13 - L at Baltimore, 24-38
Sep 20 - L vs. Oakland, 10-13
Sep 27 - L at Philadelphia, 14-34
Oct 4 - L vs. NY Giants, 16-27
Oct 11 - L vs. Dallas, 20-26 (OT)
Oct 18 - W at Washington, 14-6
Oct 25 - L vs. San Diego, 7-37
Nov 1 - Open
Nov 8 - L at Jacksonville, 21-24
Nov 15 - W at Oakland, 16-10
Nov 22 - W vs. Pittsburgh, 27-24 (OT)
Nov 29 - L at San Diego, 14-43
Dec 6 - vs. Denver, 1:00 PM
Dec 13 - vs. Buffalo, 1:00 PM
Dec 20 - vs. Cleveland, 1:00 PM
Dec 27 - at Cincinnati, 1:00 PM
Jan 3 - at Denver, 4:15 PM

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Preview: Broncos (7-4) at Chiefs (3-8)

Date: December 06, 2009 1:00 PM EDT

With his team in the middle of the playoff race, quarterback Kyle Orton wants the Denver Broncos to be playing their best football from here on out.

The Broncos hope to fix some mental errors and get their offense in sync Sunday when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs in the first meeting of the season between these AFC West rivals.

Denver (7-4) appeared to be well on its way to the West title after opening with six consecutive wins, but four straight losses dropped the Broncos one game back of San Diego for the division lead.

Denver finally returned to the physical style of play it displayed earlier this season in a 26-6 win over the New York Giants on Thanksgiving. It was the Broncos' first victory since beating the Chargers 34-23 on Oct. 19 and came four days after a 32-3 home loss to San Diego.

The defense stepped up against the Giants, forcing three fumbles and holding them to 267 yards. The same unit allowed an average of 29.3 points and 350.8 yards with two total turnovers during the skid.

Denver, which forced an average of 2.0 turnovers during its winning streak, faces a Kansas City team that turned the ball over a season-worst four times in last Sunday's 43-14 loss to San Diego.

In addition to creating turnovers, the Broncos also took away the Giants' ground game, limiting them to 57 yards. The run defense has been instrumental to the team's success, allowing an average of 76.4 yards in its wins compared to 168.8 in the losses.

"We talked about the whole year about playing our best football from Thanksgiving on," Orton said. "We got to win a lot of games past Thanksgiving. This is our first step and we're 1-0. We hope to get to 2-0 next week."

Now that Denver's defense regained its swagger, the offense hopes it can also get back on track.

The Broncos outgained New York 213-38 in the first half but settled for field goals on three drives, including their first two trips inside the Giants' 10-yard line. At one point, Denver had three false starts and a dropped pass in a five-play sequence after reaching the 7-yard line.

"It was frustrating to get down for the second time and to have some mishaps," Orton said. "We had some pretty dumb penalties. That's been our Achilles' heel, penalties and the red zone offense. We still have a lot of work to do."

Denver is tied for 29th in the league with Cleveland in red zone touchdown efficiency at 40.0 percent. The Broncos have made 30 trips inside their opponents' 20-yard line and have come away with 12 touchdowns and 12 field goals.

They hope to get some of their offensive problems corrected against a Kansas City team that ranks 30th in total defense (392.9 yards per game) and 28th in scoring defense (25.6 points per game).

After a stunning 27-24 overtime victory over Pittsburgh on Nov. 22, the Chiefs (3-8) came out flat against the Chargers.

Kansas City allowed 426 yards - the eighth time this season it yielded at least 400 - and the offense's four turnovers led to 28 points.

Rookie coach Todd Haley said they were looking to take "another baby step."

"But if you turn the ball over it's going to get out of hand quick, which is exactly what happened," he said.

One bright spot for the Chiefs was another strong performance from Jamaal Charles, who ran for 93 yards. He has 254 rushing yards in the last three games.

The Chiefs, 9-34 since 2007, have lost three of their last four against the Broncos. These teams conclude the regular season in Denver on Jan. 3.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

DENVER (7-4) vs KANSAS CITY (3-8)

Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, December 6

Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium Surface: grass

RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
DENVER HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 4 - 2 3 - 2 7 - 4 4 - 2 3 - 2 7 - 4 0 - 6 2 - 3 2 - 9
Last 5 games 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4
YTD vs. Div. 0 - 1 2 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
KANSAS CITY HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 1 - 4 2 - 4 3 - 8 2 - 3 3 - 3 5 - 6 3 - 1 4 - 2 7 - 3
Last 5 games 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 1 3 - 1
YTD vs. Div. 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
DENVER 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 0 3 - 2 4 - 2 0 - 0
KANSAS CITY 0 - 0 3 - 3 3 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 2 2 - 3 0 - 0

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

DENVER
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/13/09 Sun @CIN 12 - 7 W +1 +4.5 W +9.5 43.5 41.5 U -22.5 G
09/20/09 Sun CLE 27 - 6 W -3.5 -3 W +18 41.5 38.5 U -5.5 G
09/27/09 Sun @OAK 23 - 3 W +1.5 -2 W +18 38.5 38.0 U -12.0 G
10/04/09 Sun DAL 17 - 10 W +4 +2.5 W +9.5 43.5 43.0 U -16.0 G
10/11/09 Sun NE 20 - 17 W +4 +3 W +6 42.5 42.0 U -5.0 G
10/19/09 Mon @SD 34 - 23 W +6 +3.5 W +14.5 41.0 44.5 O +12.5 G
11/01/09 Sun @BAL 7 - 30 L +3.5 +4.5 L -18.5 38.5 42.0 U -5.0 G
11/09/09 Mon PIT 10 - 28 L -0 +3 L -15 38.5 41.5 U -3.5 G
11/15/09 Sun @WAS 17 - 27 L -6.5 -3.5 L -13.5 35.0 37.0 O + 7.0 G
11/22/09 Sun SD 3 - 32 L +2.5 +6.5 L -22.5 44.5 41.5 U -6.5 G
11/26/09 Thu NYG 26 - 6 W +2.5 +5 W +25 41.0 43.0 U -11.0 G

KANSAS CITY
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/13/09 Sun @BAL 24 - 38 L +8.5 +13 L -1 37.5 36.5 O +25.5 G
09/20/09 Sun OAK 10 - 13 L -3.5 -2 L -5 39.5 40.0 U -17.0 G
09/27/09 Sun @PHI 14 - 34 L +9 +7.5 L -12.5 40.0 38.5 O + 9.5 T
10/04/09 Sun NYG 16 - 27 L +10 +9 L -2 41.5 42.5 O + 0.5 G
10/11/09 Sun DAL 20 - 26 L +7 +7 W +1 43.0 43.0 O + 3.0 G
10/18/09 Sun @WAS 14 - 6 W +6.5 +6.5 W +14.5 37.5 36.5 U -16.5 G
10/25/09 Sun SD 7 - 37 L +6 +5.5 L -24.5 43.5 44.0 U 0.0 G
11/08/09 Sun @JAC 21 - 24 L +6.5 +7 W +4 43.5 41.5 O + 3.5 G
11/15/09 Sun @OAK 16 - 10 W +1 +2 W +8 37.5 36.5 U -10.5 G
11/22/09 Sun PIT 27 - 24 W +9.5 +11 W +14 39.5 40.0 O +11.0 G
11/29/09 Sun @SD 14 - 43 L +12.5 +13.5 L -15.5 44.5 45.0 O +12.0 G

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/26/05 Mon KC 10 DEN 30 -2.5 -3.0 DEN +17 49.0 48.0 U -8 G
12/04/05 Sun DEN 27 KC 31 +1.5 +1 KC +5 48.0 46.5 O +-11.5 G
09/17/06 Sun KC 6 DEN 9 -8.5 -10.5 DEN --7.5 41.0 38.0 U -23 G
11/23/06 Thu DEN 10 KC 19 +1 -2.0 KC +7 38.0 38.5 U -9.5 G
11/11/07 Sun DEN 27 KC 11 -3.0 -3.0 KC --19 38.0 37.5 O +-0.5 G
12/09/07 Sun KC 7 DEN 41 -7.0 -7.0 DEN +27 38.5 37.5 O +-10.5 G
09/28/08 Sun DEN 19 KC 33 +9.5 +9 KC +23 43.5 46.5 O +-5.5 G
12/07/08 Sun KC 17 DEN 24 -9.5 -9.0 DEN --2 48.5 49.0 U -8 G

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
DEN (off) 18.6 16 28 115 4.1 30 17 0.6 186 6.2 301 0.2 0.6 .00
KC (def) 25.4 19 30 124 4.1 34 20 0.6 278 8.2 402 0.6 0.8 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
DEN (def) 18.0 17 29 111 3.8 28 18 0.6 176 6.3 287 0.8 0.4 .00
KC (off) 16.0 17 29 108 3.7 34 18 0.5 170 5.0 278 1.0 0.4 .00
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
DEN (off) 17.8 18 27 115 4.3 33 20 0.6 213 6.5 328 0.6 0.7 .00
KC (def) 25.6 19 31 135 4.4 33 20 0.6 258 7.8 393 0.6 0.8 .00
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM FGP
DEN (def) 17.2 17 28 110 3.9 31 20 0.6 185 6.0 295 0.7 0.8 .00
KC (off) 16.6 15 27 97 3.6 32 18 0.6 171 5.3 268 0.6 0.7 .00

SCORING AVERAGES:

DENVER (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 3.8 10 4.8 3.8 0.0 8.6
POINTS ALLOWED 4.0 4.6 8.6 2.6 6.8 0.0 9.4

KANSAS CITY (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.6 2.0 4.6 4.0 6.8 0.6 11.4
POINTS ALLOWED 4.2 7.8 12 4.0 8.2 1.2 13.4

DENVER (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.0 4.5 8.5 3.6 5.5 0.3 9.4
POINTS ALLOWED 4.8 3.9 8.7 3.0 5.5 0.0 8.5

KANSAS CITY (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 1.7 4.3 6 3.4 7.0 0.3 10.7
POINTS ALLOWED 6.3 7.0 13.3 4.5 7.4 0.5 12.4

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
DENVER 48
KANSAS CITY 47.5 -3.0 7.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 45 7 over

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Preview:

Preview:

Preview:
Denver at Kansas City
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 6, 2009
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Kansas City Chiefs are ranked 30 on offense, averaging 267.5 yards per game. The Chiefs are averaging 96.4 yards rushing and 171.2 yards passing so far this season.

The Denver Broncos are ranked 18 on offense, averaging 327.5 yards per game. The Broncos are averaging 114.7 yards rushing and 212.8 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Kansas City Chiefs are 1-4 at home this season, and against 1-3AFCW opponents.

At home the Chiefs are averaging 16.0 scoring, and holding teams to 25.4 points scored on defense.

The Denver Broncos are 3-2 while on the road this season, and 2-1 against AFCW opponents.

On the road, the Broncos are averaging 18.6 scoring, and holding teams to 18.0 points scored on defense.

Lumi · Dec 6, 2009

Trends - Denver at Kansas City

Trends - Denver at Kansas City

Trends - Denver at Kansas City

ATS Trends

Denver

Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Broncos are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 13.
Broncos are 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Broncos are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC West.
Broncos are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Broncos are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.

Kansas City

Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Chiefs are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends

Denver

Under is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games in Week 13.
Under is 11-1 in Broncos last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 9-1 in Broncos last 10 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 vs. AFC.
Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Broncos last 11 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 7-2 in Broncos last 9 games as a favorite.
Over is 20-8 in Broncos last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 9-4-1 in Broncos last 14 games in December.
Over is 11-5 in Broncos last 16 vs. AFC West.
Over is 13-6 in Broncos last 19 vs. a team with a losing record.

Kansas City

Over is 3-0-1 in Chiefs last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-2 in Chiefs last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 2-0-2 in Chiefs last 4 home games.
Over is 3-0-1 in Chiefs last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0-1 in Chiefs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 3-0-1 in Chiefs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1-2 in Chiefs last 8 games on grass.
Over is 5-1-2 in Chiefs last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 13-3-2 in Chiefs last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 vs. AFC.
Over is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 games in Week 13.
Over is 6-2-2 in Chiefs last 10 games as an underdog.
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Over is 18-7-2 in Chiefs last 27 games as a home underdog.
Under is 5-2-1 in Chiefs last 8 vs. AFC West.

Head to Head

Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
Home team is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City.

Betting the NFL for Week 13

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