I'm making plays on two games earlier in the week than I generally do because I fear some line movement.
Marshall +10 (@KSU), -105, 105/100
--- Kansas State is a poor football team. I can't wait until they start playing some real competition so I can really start betting against them.
I see some upset possibility in this matchup. I think everyone remembers when Marshall shocked KSU a few years back... And this KSU product is MUCH different from that one.
I like Marshall's offense. I think they will be able to pick up yards through the air and open up the run game against a subpar defense.
I am not sold on Marshall's D, but KSU's offense is nothing special, either. I think Marshall can keep this one within striking distance and possibly pull it out at the end.
Kansas +4 (@Tol.), +100, 100/100
--- I was WAY off on KU last week... and if I am this week as well, I will stay away from them probably for the rest of the season. I generally get very, very good reads on the teams I watch consistantly... my ATS record on KU's bball team last year was almost perfect... which is why it was very disapointing last week to entirely misread that game.
Which brings me here. KU's offense has not played well at all in the first two games... and their defense was torched last week. I think they have patched up their problems on special teams... the big reason why I think they upset Toledo on Friday is the defense. Mangino said that they will be re-instituting Aqib Talib, who, for the uninformed, is by far KU's best defender... he is a cover corner who will probably play in the NFL. Without him the last two weeks they have played a sophomore who had no business in the regular lineup and was torched repeatedly last week. I think he helps solve 75% of the problems I have seen, because he essentially takes away half the field... this will also improve depth in the secondary, which is key.
Toledo is nothing special this year... they surprised ISU and ultimately fell in OT, and then were blasted by a poor Western Michigan team. I like their running back, McDoogle... but I think KU's D has shown they can be OK against the run... their problems have come while defending the pass. I think Mangino will load up and force Toledo to throw into a secondary that is gaining back their best player... I think KU's game film from their first two games will be very deceptive, especially on D where they werent playing with a full deck, and I think they will be able to confuse Toledo.
I also think Mangino tries to establish the run early, and I see Cornish breaking out in this game... I think he goes well over 100 yards. Hopefully, then, the play-action pass starts to work and Meier gets his speedy receivers downfield for a big play or two.
This is the way I see this one going. I could be wrong. Despite the 2-0 start, the campus has started to give up on these guys... already looking forward to basketball season.
Anyhow, I will be back on later this week to add... just wanted to get these out there.
Marshall +10 (@KSU), -105, 105/100
--- Kansas State is a poor football team. I can't wait until they start playing some real competition so I can really start betting against them.
I see some upset possibility in this matchup. I think everyone remembers when Marshall shocked KSU a few years back... And this KSU product is MUCH different from that one.
I like Marshall's offense. I think they will be able to pick up yards through the air and open up the run game against a subpar defense.
I am not sold on Marshall's D, but KSU's offense is nothing special, either. I think Marshall can keep this one within striking distance and possibly pull it out at the end.
Kansas +4 (@Tol.), +100, 100/100
--- I was WAY off on KU last week... and if I am this week as well, I will stay away from them probably for the rest of the season. I generally get very, very good reads on the teams I watch consistantly... my ATS record on KU's bball team last year was almost perfect... which is why it was very disapointing last week to entirely misread that game.
Which brings me here. KU's offense has not played well at all in the first two games... and their defense was torched last week. I think they have patched up their problems on special teams... the big reason why I think they upset Toledo on Friday is the defense. Mangino said that they will be re-instituting Aqib Talib, who, for the uninformed, is by far KU's best defender... he is a cover corner who will probably play in the NFL. Without him the last two weeks they have played a sophomore who had no business in the regular lineup and was torched repeatedly last week. I think he helps solve 75% of the problems I have seen, because he essentially takes away half the field... this will also improve depth in the secondary, which is key.
Toledo is nothing special this year... they surprised ISU and ultimately fell in OT, and then were blasted by a poor Western Michigan team. I like their running back, McDoogle... but I think KU's D has shown they can be OK against the run... their problems have come while defending the pass. I think Mangino will load up and force Toledo to throw into a secondary that is gaining back their best player... I think KU's game film from their first two games will be very deceptive, especially on D where they werent playing with a full deck, and I think they will be able to confuse Toledo.
I also think Mangino tries to establish the run early, and I see Cornish breaking out in this game... I think he goes well over 100 yards. Hopefully, then, the play-action pass starts to work and Meier gets his speedy receivers downfield for a big play or two.
This is the way I see this one going. I could be wrong. Despite the 2-0 start, the campus has started to give up on these guys... already looking forward to basketball season.
Anyhow, I will be back on later this week to add... just wanted to get these out there.
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