tigers big
tor -1.5 runs ***************************************
redsoxs
mil
lad
tor -1.5 runs ***************************************
redsoxs
mil
lad
big monday
- Thread starter RAYMOND
- Start date
San Francisco at Pittsburgh (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The 57-57 Giants are nine games back in the NL West and they appear to be throwing in the towel. They’ll have to contend with a hot Pittsburgh team that has won 7 of its last 10 (+$440, 5.4 runs per game on offense). Andrew Heaney has a 3.25 ERA in his 10 starts here at PNC Park (+$305). He should get the best of a San Francisco club that is only 11-19 against left-handers (-$1280), averaging just 3.6 runs per game at the plate. BEST BET: Heaney.
Milwaukee at Atlanta (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Brewers have opened up a two game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central (7-3, +$200 last 10 days) as their pitching continues to excel (3.66 team ERA, 2nd best in the National League). The Braves are now 16 games below .500, having racked up staggering losses over the first four months of the season (-$4115). Quinn Priester (+$390, 2.68 ERA), Freddy Peralta (+$350, 3.08) and Jose Quintana (+$755, 3.50) should have no difficulty taking at least 2 out of 3 from Atlanta. BEST BET: Priester/F. Peralta/Quintana.
Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Reds are 58-54 and still in the post-season mix, but they need to take advantage of situations like this. The Cubs have lost money vs. left-handers in 2025 (-$620) and they’ll face a pair of quality southpaws in this series. Nick Lodolo (3.09 ERA in 22 starts) and Andrew Abbott (+$605, 2.15) will each take a turn at Wrigley Field. They’ll face a pair of unappealing right-handers when they go (Reds +$850 vs. righties so far). BEST BET: Lodolo/Abbott.
San Diego at Arizona (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Diamondbacks are now six games under .500 and they won’t be much of a factor the rest of the way (-$1780 overall). The Padres have the best team ERA in the National League (3.56), they’ve won 7 of their last 10 (+$385), and are just three games behind LA in the NL West. Nick Pivetta has been San Diego’s best pitcher in 2025 (+$375, 2.72 ERA in 22 appearances) and looks like a solid value when he takes his turn at Chase Field. BEST BET: Pivetta.
St. Louis at L.A. Dodgers (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Cardinals are back below .500, having fallen 12 games behind in the NL Central. They’ve been dreadful vs. right-handers when playing outside of Busch Stadium (only 13-27, -$1530) and they’ll be squaring off against a trio of them at Chavez Ravine. However, the prices on LA continue to be wildly inflated, leading to substantial losses (-$1120), so we’ll back off for now. BEST BET: None.
Minnesota at Detroit (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Tigers are 4-2 against the Twins in head to head competition (+$225) and they sit comfortably atop the AL Central with an eight game lead. The Twins are only 22-35 away from Target Field (-$1435) and they come into Comerica with a 5.73 ERA among starters in the last 10 days. Casey Mize has led Detroit to victories in 12 of his 18 starts (+$505, 3.44 ERA). He looks like a good choice in Monday night’s series opener. BEST BET: Mize.
Kansas City at Boston (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Red Sox are smoking hot (8-2, +$640 last 10 days) as they come off a three game sweep of the Astros here at Fenway Park. But they could be due for a letdown, so the Royals could very well steal some wins. KC has won 7 of its last 10 (+$445) and they still have the 2nd best team ERA in MLB (3.55). Michael Wacha checks in with a 1.35 ERA in his last two outings. He’ll catch a nice underdog price in Wednesday night’s series finale. BEST BET: Wacha.
N.Y. Yankees at Texas (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Rangers were swept in the Bronx earlier in the year (-$300), but the Yankees sure don’t look very appealing after getting swept at Miami (-$1895 so far in 2025). Texas has a 27-13 record vs. right-handers here at Arlington (+$1160) so take a shot vs. Will Warren, who comes in with a disastrous 7.20 ERA in his 11 starts on the road. BEST BET: Rangers vs. right-handers.
Tampa Bay at L.A. Angels (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Angels won’t be heading into the playoffs, but they’ve been better than expected (+$1200) and they should get the best of the collapsing Rays. Tampa Bay has dropped 8 of its last 10 (-$565), while averaging just 3.6 runs per game in those contests. They are now 10 games back in the competitive AL East. Yusei Kikuchi has a 2.48 ERA in 12 starts at Anaheim (+$385) and Tyler Anderson has also excelled at home (3.47). The Rays average just 4.0 runs per game vs. left-handers. BEST BET: Kikuchi/T. Anderson.
Houston at Miami (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Astros limp into Miami having dropped 8 of their last 10 (-$1050), opening the door for Seattle and Texas in the AL West chase. The Marlins have climbed to .500 after sweeping the Yankees this past weekend, and they are now the most profitable team in the majors (+$2235). We’d be careful, however, since Houston has been dominant in inter-league competition (+$995) and Miami could be due for a letdown. BEST BET: None.
Baltimore at Philadelphia (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The 1st place Phillies will be prohibitive favorites at Citizens Bank when they square off against the last place Orioles, but don’t count out the visitor. Despite a successful campaign the Phillies are only 12-19 vs. left-handers (-$1380), and they’ll be facing a pair of them here. Trevor Rogers has been un-hittable since joining the Baltimore rotation (+$310, 1.44 ERA in nine appearances). Hard to pass up when he take on Ranger Suarez in Wednesday’s finale (O’s +$315 vs. lefties on the road). BEST BET: T. Rogers vs. R. Suarez.
Cleveland at N.Y. Mets (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Guardians are only 14-22 when taking on NL teams (-$915) and they come into CitiField with a 13-20 record vs. left-handers (-$560, averaging a mere 3.5 runs per game at the plate). The Mets have been dominating the competition in this ballpark (38-18, +$1040) and they still own the 3rd best team ERA in the National League. Sean Manaea has looked good in three starts since returning to the rotation (1.93 ERA) while David Peterson has been effective for New York all year (2.98 ERA in 21 outings). Easy call on the home team here. BEST BET: Manaea/Peterson.
Toronto at Colorado (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Blue Jays are three games up in the AL East, but they’ve been slumping lately (4-6, -$235 last 10 days) so they’ll welcome this soft opponent. The Rockies remain the worst team in MLB by far, now 51 games below .500. They are only 4-26 vs. left-handed pitching in 2025 (-$1885, 3.7 runs per game), and they will be facing Eric Lauer in this three game set at Coors Field. Lauer has led Toronto to victories in 8 of his 11 outings (+$530, 3.25 ERA) so we’ll use him in Monday’s series opener. BEST BET: Lauer.
BEGINNING TUESDAY, AUGUST 5
Chicago W. Sox at Seattle (3) 5th, 6th, 7th
The Mariners are closing in on the slumping Astros in the AL West as they get set to face the AL’s weakest team. The White Sox are only 12-31 vs. right-handers on the road (-$1015) and they’ll be facing three capable ones at T-Mobile Park. Bryan Woo has emerged as ace of the staff (2.98 ERA in 21 starts), Logan Gilbert has looked sharp in his 15 appearances (3.56) and George Kirby checks in with a 1.50 ERA in his last two outings. Chicago will be lucky to avoid the sweep. BEST BET: Mariners in all games.
Oakland at Washington (3) 5th, 6th, 7th
The Athletics have won 7 of their last 10 (+$575) but we’re not optimistic about their chances here. They are only 13-23 in inter-league competition (-$825) while the Nationals have turned a profit vs. AL teams (+$635). In addition, the A’s have the worst team ERA in the American League (5.01). Washington has been a consistent money-maker in night games (+$985) so we’ll play this series accordingly. BEST BET: Nationals in night games.
The 57-57 Giants are nine games back in the NL West and they appear to be throwing in the towel. They’ll have to contend with a hot Pittsburgh team that has won 7 of its last 10 (+$440, 5.4 runs per game on offense). Andrew Heaney has a 3.25 ERA in his 10 starts here at PNC Park (+$305). He should get the best of a San Francisco club that is only 11-19 against left-handers (-$1280), averaging just 3.6 runs per game at the plate. BEST BET: Heaney.
Milwaukee at Atlanta (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Brewers have opened up a two game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central (7-3, +$200 last 10 days) as their pitching continues to excel (3.66 team ERA, 2nd best in the National League). The Braves are now 16 games below .500, having racked up staggering losses over the first four months of the season (-$4115). Quinn Priester (+$390, 2.68 ERA), Freddy Peralta (+$350, 3.08) and Jose Quintana (+$755, 3.50) should have no difficulty taking at least 2 out of 3 from Atlanta. BEST BET: Priester/F. Peralta/Quintana.
Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Reds are 58-54 and still in the post-season mix, but they need to take advantage of situations like this. The Cubs have lost money vs. left-handers in 2025 (-$620) and they’ll face a pair of quality southpaws in this series. Nick Lodolo (3.09 ERA in 22 starts) and Andrew Abbott (+$605, 2.15) will each take a turn at Wrigley Field. They’ll face a pair of unappealing right-handers when they go (Reds +$850 vs. righties so far). BEST BET: Lodolo/Abbott.
San Diego at Arizona (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Diamondbacks are now six games under .500 and they won’t be much of a factor the rest of the way (-$1780 overall). The Padres have the best team ERA in the National League (3.56), they’ve won 7 of their last 10 (+$385), and are just three games behind LA in the NL West. Nick Pivetta has been San Diego’s best pitcher in 2025 (+$375, 2.72 ERA in 22 appearances) and looks like a solid value when he takes his turn at Chase Field. BEST BET: Pivetta.
St. Louis at L.A. Dodgers (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Cardinals are back below .500, having fallen 12 games behind in the NL Central. They’ve been dreadful vs. right-handers when playing outside of Busch Stadium (only 13-27, -$1530) and they’ll be squaring off against a trio of them at Chavez Ravine. However, the prices on LA continue to be wildly inflated, leading to substantial losses (-$1120), so we’ll back off for now. BEST BET: None.
Minnesota at Detroit (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Tigers are 4-2 against the Twins in head to head competition (+$225) and they sit comfortably atop the AL Central with an eight game lead. The Twins are only 22-35 away from Target Field (-$1435) and they come into Comerica with a 5.73 ERA among starters in the last 10 days. Casey Mize has led Detroit to victories in 12 of his 18 starts (+$505, 3.44 ERA). He looks like a good choice in Monday night’s series opener. BEST BET: Mize.
Kansas City at Boston (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Red Sox are smoking hot (8-2, +$640 last 10 days) as they come off a three game sweep of the Astros here at Fenway Park. But they could be due for a letdown, so the Royals could very well steal some wins. KC has won 7 of its last 10 (+$445) and they still have the 2nd best team ERA in MLB (3.55). Michael Wacha checks in with a 1.35 ERA in his last two outings. He’ll catch a nice underdog price in Wednesday night’s series finale. BEST BET: Wacha.
N.Y. Yankees at Texas (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Rangers were swept in the Bronx earlier in the year (-$300), but the Yankees sure don’t look very appealing after getting swept at Miami (-$1895 so far in 2025). Texas has a 27-13 record vs. right-handers here at Arlington (+$1160) so take a shot vs. Will Warren, who comes in with a disastrous 7.20 ERA in his 11 starts on the road. BEST BET: Rangers vs. right-handers.
Tampa Bay at L.A. Angels (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Angels won’t be heading into the playoffs, but they’ve been better than expected (+$1200) and they should get the best of the collapsing Rays. Tampa Bay has dropped 8 of its last 10 (-$565), while averaging just 3.6 runs per game in those contests. They are now 10 games back in the competitive AL East. Yusei Kikuchi has a 2.48 ERA in 12 starts at Anaheim (+$385) and Tyler Anderson has also excelled at home (3.47). The Rays average just 4.0 runs per game vs. left-handers. BEST BET: Kikuchi/T. Anderson.
Houston at Miami (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Astros limp into Miami having dropped 8 of their last 10 (-$1050), opening the door for Seattle and Texas in the AL West chase. The Marlins have climbed to .500 after sweeping the Yankees this past weekend, and they are now the most profitable team in the majors (+$2235). We’d be careful, however, since Houston has been dominant in inter-league competition (+$995) and Miami could be due for a letdown. BEST BET: None.
Baltimore at Philadelphia (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The 1st place Phillies will be prohibitive favorites at Citizens Bank when they square off against the last place Orioles, but don’t count out the visitor. Despite a successful campaign the Phillies are only 12-19 vs. left-handers (-$1380), and they’ll be facing a pair of them here. Trevor Rogers has been un-hittable since joining the Baltimore rotation (+$310, 1.44 ERA in nine appearances). Hard to pass up when he take on Ranger Suarez in Wednesday’s finale (O’s +$315 vs. lefties on the road). BEST BET: T. Rogers vs. R. Suarez.
Cleveland at N.Y. Mets (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Guardians are only 14-22 when taking on NL teams (-$915) and they come into CitiField with a 13-20 record vs. left-handers (-$560, averaging a mere 3.5 runs per game at the plate). The Mets have been dominating the competition in this ballpark (38-18, +$1040) and they still own the 3rd best team ERA in the National League. Sean Manaea has looked good in three starts since returning to the rotation (1.93 ERA) while David Peterson has been effective for New York all year (2.98 ERA in 21 outings). Easy call on the home team here. BEST BET: Manaea/Peterson.
Toronto at Colorado (3) 4th, 5th, 6th
The Blue Jays are three games up in the AL East, but they’ve been slumping lately (4-6, -$235 last 10 days) so they’ll welcome this soft opponent. The Rockies remain the worst team in MLB by far, now 51 games below .500. They are only 4-26 vs. left-handed pitching in 2025 (-$1885, 3.7 runs per game), and they will be facing Eric Lauer in this three game set at Coors Field. Lauer has led Toronto to victories in 8 of his 11 outings (+$530, 3.25 ERA) so we’ll use him in Monday’s series opener. BEST BET: Lauer.
BEGINNING TUESDAY, AUGUST 5
Chicago W. Sox at Seattle (3) 5th, 6th, 7th
The Mariners are closing in on the slumping Astros in the AL West as they get set to face the AL’s weakest team. The White Sox are only 12-31 vs. right-handers on the road (-$1015) and they’ll be facing three capable ones at T-Mobile Park. Bryan Woo has emerged as ace of the staff (2.98 ERA in 21 starts), Logan Gilbert has looked sharp in his 15 appearances (3.56) and George Kirby checks in with a 1.50 ERA in his last two outings. Chicago will be lucky to avoid the sweep. BEST BET: Mariners in all games.
Oakland at Washington (3) 5th, 6th, 7th
The Athletics have won 7 of their last 10 (+$575) but we’re not optimistic about their chances here. They are only 13-23 in inter-league competition (-$825) while the Nationals have turned a profit vs. AL teams (+$635). In addition, the A’s have the worst team ERA in the American League (5.01). Washington has been a consistent money-maker in night games (+$985) so we’ll play this series accordingly. BEST BET: Nationals in night games.
