BIG PLAY- COLTS

the addict

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Have had some up and downs in NFL this year


good as of late...bad early on....


who knows what will happen but playing this very large







COLTS +7.5







gl everyone


I think Colts make it to the superbowl
 

the addict

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Afc is up for grabs

Somthin wrong w/peyton I think but still a tough out

Balt 2ndary vulnerable but front 7 best in game

Pats favorite IMO. W/browner and revis at corner their defense can do so many other things....plus brady


But luck is 3 years wiser....and a star comin off huge year...i like the odds


Gl everyone
 

yanno

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Just something lifted from another site that supports your original post. Different views like yours are always good food for thought. :0008

Recent NFL history says Panthers are most dangerous team this postseason

The Carolina Panthers are the biggest underdogs on the board, set at +10.5 heading to Seattle for their NFL Divisional Round matchup this Saturday. The Panthers could also be the most dangerous team in football ? if recent history has any say.

Carolina, at 7-8-1 in the regular season, joins the recent list of single-digit-win teams to tear it up in the playoffs. The Panthers? 27-16 wild card victory over the Arizona Cardinals as 5.5-point favorites Saturday improved teams with single-digit wins in the regular season to 20-7 ATS in playoff games since 2008.

Carolina squeezed into the postseason with a one-sided win at Atlanta in Week 17, finishing atop the NFC South and earning an automatic postseason berth ? just the second team in NFL history to make the playoffs with a sub-.500 finish to the regular season.

?The market has had a lot to do with it in the past, as lines have been overinflated going against these single-win teams,? says C***** Expert Matt Fargo, who cashed in on Carolina Saturday.

Last year, single-digit win teams were a perfect 3-0 ATS in the playoff. The Green Bay Packers (8-7-1 SU) just covered as 3.5-point underdogs in a 23-20 Wild Card loss to the San Francisco 49ers, and the San Diego Chargers (9-7 SU) knocked off the Cincinnati Bengals 27-10 as 6.5-point pups in the Wild Card Round and covered in a 24-17 loss to the Denver Broncos as 8-point underdogs in the AFC Divisional Round.

The two most prominent single-win postseason teams in that seven-year span have been the New York Giants, who finished 9-7 in 2011 and rolled to a Super Bowl XLVI title on perfect 4-0 SU and ATS postseason record, and Arizona Cardinals, who went 9-7 in 2008 and finished 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS eventually losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-23 as 6.5-point underdogs in Super Bowl XLIII.

?I don't think there's any question it?s a result of the overreaction to regular season results,? says C***** Expert Sean Murphy, who also won big on the Panthers this past weekend. ?Outside of that, I'm not sure there's any particular reason why single-digit win teams cover at such a high rate. When the playoffs kick off the slate is always wiped clean and that gives a lot of confidence to underdogs with an 'us against the world' mentality.?

As for the Panthers? chances against the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks, the opening odds had Carolina as high as +11.5 and have since been bet down as low as +10.5. Seattle has won four in a row in this series, covering the spread in three of those games. The lone blemish came this season, with the Panthers covering as 6-point home underdogs in a 13-9 loss to the Seahawks in Week 8.

?The Panthers defense came into the postseason playing awesome and they had outgained six straight opponents, make that seven now,? says Fargo. ?This week, though, we are seeing the typical single-win team getting a lot of points and the market is driving this number based on the poor Carolina record going up against the defending Super Bowl Champions.?

For those not wanting to deal with so many points, there could be value on the Panthers to win outright at CenturyLink Field Saturday. Teams with single-digit wins in the regular season are an impressive 17-10 SU since 2008.

Carolina is currently a +475 outright underdog. Just sayin?.




Have had some up and downs in NFL this year


good as of late...bad early on....


who knows what will happen but playing this very large







COLTS +7.5







gl everyone


I think Colts make it to the superbowl
 

the addict

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Good read yanno and yea just shows how anything is possible when teams are playing well. That is crazy they are 17-10 SU :scared:
 

Pound4Pound#1

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Have had some up and downs in NFL this year


good as of late...bad early on....


who knows what will happen but playing this very large







COLTS +7.5







gl everyone


I think Colts make it to the superbowl


GL buddy..are you playing the colts to win afc at plus 8 something?
 

spits

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Have had some up and downs in NFL this year


good as of late...bad early on....


who knows what will happen but playing this very large







COLTS +7.5



W



gl everyone


I think Colts make it to the superbowl

Addict....just curious what your thoughts were following the line moving to 9 this morning. I'm thinking of going Colts +10 -120
 

the addict

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Addict....just curious what your thoughts were following the line moving to 9 this morning. I'm thinking of going Colts +10 -120

yea not sure.


I told myself I was done trying to outthink Vegas....I always end up wrong


I just think colts have enough talent and Luck is ready


mile high and peyton are hard to beat....but I don't think they should be layin 9 at this stage....but who knows they may win by 30


for me I love the colts still
 

spits

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yea not sure.


I told myself I was done trying to outthink Vegas....I always end up wrong


I just think colts have enough talent and Luck is ready


mile high and peyton are hard to beat....but I don't think they should be layin 9 at this stage....but who knows they may win by 30


for me I love the colts still

Thx addict....kinda agree with you....feel Luck and the Colts offense is capable of keeping it within the number.
 

Pound4Pound#1

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Addict....just curious what your thoughts were following the line moving to 9 this morning. I'm thinking of going Colts +10 -120

Wasn't this the same line they hung on balty @ Denver a couple years ago? I thought it opened at 7-7.5 and rose throughout the week...
 

Bisket23

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Also same kind of line movement when chargers upset manning and colts @ Indy awhile back
 
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