Billy Blastoffs Picks 12/20
- Thread starter Billy Blastoff
- Start date
Billy -- Great work as usual.
I'm extremely unqualified to ask this question, but I was wondering if you re-visited your picks (post-game) to analyze the line movements that occurred prior to the games? I noticed a couple line movements in your favor (didn't need the help) on Mich St on Sunday (-23 to -22) and Arkansas St on Monday (+7.5 to +10 -- this was the one that got me thinking about this). I know your system is based entirely on the opening line vs. your projected Vegas line, but I'm wondering if you've done any post-game analysis on whether line movement in either direction indicated a stronger or weaker play.
For example, maybe a BB opening line pick at +3 that moves to +5 wins a higher percentage of the time than a line that opens at +3 and stays at +3 or one that opens at +3 and moves to +2, or vice versa....etc., etc.
I've been paying more attention to line movements lately and wanted to see if there was any relevance there that we might be able to apply to an already impressive system.
GLTA
I'm extremely unqualified to ask this question, but I was wondering if you re-visited your picks (post-game) to analyze the line movements that occurred prior to the games? I noticed a couple line movements in your favor (didn't need the help) on Mich St on Sunday (-23 to -22) and Arkansas St on Monday (+7.5 to +10 -- this was the one that got me thinking about this). I know your system is based entirely on the opening line vs. your projected Vegas line, but I'm wondering if you've done any post-game analysis on whether line movement in either direction indicated a stronger or weaker play.
For example, maybe a BB opening line pick at +3 that moves to +5 wins a higher percentage of the time than a line that opens at +3 and stays at +3 or one that opens at +3 and moves to +2, or vice versa....etc., etc.
I've been paying more attention to line movements lately and wanted to see if there was any relevance there that we might be able to apply to an already impressive system.
GLTA
TheCubeBeatMe said:
Havent paid much attention, but usually if you wait till closer to game time my dog picks usually go higher.Favorite picks usually stay the same. I try not to complicate the process and play them as early as possible.
Billy: I just wanted to take a moment to thank you for posting, I appreciate your efforts and time. GL tonight and always. Cash :toast:
Looks like an 0-2 night. That sucks. dont mind my streak of 8 days without a loss ending but hate to lose 2 games . 2 hours to get into work thanks to transit strike and to end the great day a loss of $440 :cursin:
Don't worry about it Billy, I got hit hard tonight too, but you'll get it back starting tomorrow!
