Blue Monday for Butler and Duke

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Blue Monday for Butler and Duke

It comes down to this. Yahoo Sports probably had it best with this headline ?David vs. Duke. The lovable Butler Bulldogs have captured college basketball?s imagination with its improbable run to the national championship game with a coach and its best player looking younger than next year?s incoming recruiting class. Big bad Duke, sort of the New York Yankees of the hardwood, is loved by their fans hated by everyone else.

This is setting up as the sequel of ?Hoosiers?, just in modern day. A band of talented young men led a by a coach who looks like an AAU coach just out of college goes to the sports title game in the school?s home city and nearby Hinkle Fieldhouse (the team?s real home) is replaced by Lucas Oil Stadium. This is so ridiculous a movie producer would can the screen play as a joke.

There is no joking about the talent of Gordon Hayward, who had 19 points and nine rebounds in the first Final Four contest and was the calmest player you will ever see when introduced for a big game. Butler (33-4, 17-20 ATS) has won 25 contents in a row and knocked off Syracuse, Kansas State and Michigan State, after many had believed they could have lost to UTEP or Murray State in their first two encounters of this tournament.
Even losing coach Tom Izzo was impressed.

?If I was not playing, I'd be a Butler fan," Michigan State coach Tom Izzo said. "I like they way they play, I like their story. They play like a Big Ten team." The Bulldogs are now 26-14 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons.

Duke?s return to prominence has some people feeling blue. The Blue Devils (34-5, 23-14-1 ATS) are back, playing with that confidence that comes from wearing a uniform that many consider a four-letter word. Coach Mike Krzyzewski had his team so well prepared it looked like a scrimmage against West Virginia at various points of the game.

Duke regularly solved the Mountaineers switching defense, getting a number of shot attempts within four feet of the rim. Once West Virginia players became overly conscious of Blue Devils players on the inside, it was target practice, as the Big 3 (Kyle Singler, Nolan Smith and Jon Scheyer) shredded their defense on 12 for 23 shooting behind the three-point line.

The Blue Devils are 19-11 ATS after playing four consecutive games as favorite this season and know this isn?t about just three players shooting the ball well.

?We won this game as a team," Singler said. "It wasn't just put on my shoulders, or Jon's or Nolan's. We won this game from all sides contributing."

Part of the team is a man possessed, center Brian Zoubek who again pulled down 10 rebounds. His determination, which borders on serious anger, has him pulling down rebounds like mad man from a Rob Zombie movie. As Duke goes after its fourth national championship for Coach K, this is how Zoubek feels. ?This is the culmination of four years for me. To have a shot at the championship my senior year, after everything we've been through, is a dream come true."

Duke was near perfect against West Virginia and they are 9-1 ATS after a game committing eight or less turnovers which plays a part why Sportsbook.com has them as seven-point favorites, with total of 129. Coach Krzyzewski is making sure everyone knows that despite Butler not having the brand recognition of the team he coach?s, this opponent is no fairy tale.

?I think they're one of the best teams in the country," Krzyzewski said of Butler. "I think a Cinderella would be more if somebody had eight or nine losses and pulled some upsets." The Devils are 12-5 ATS versus defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points a game this season and are 8-1 UNDER after they?ve made 50 percent or more of their three-point shots the last three years.

Butler could start this game at a real disadvantage, considering Duke?s size and rebounding ability. Forward Matt Howard did not practice with his team Sunday and is a "game-time decision" according to his coach Brad Stevens. Howard is averaging 12.3 points and 5.4 rebounds per game and would be sorely missed. Butler guard Shelvin Mack said he suffered cramps and will be ready.

Butler?s help-defense has become the talk of the tournament, along with its incredible patience on offense, which is why they are 12-5 ATS after one or more Under?s this year. The Bulldogs are 11-2 OVER after scoring 60 points or less.

This matchup seems real simple, Butler cannot shoot 30.6 percent like they did against the Spartans and they cannot allow Duke to convert 52.7 percent as they did vs. West Virginia. If the Blue Devils are raining shots, Duke covers and wins convincingly. However, if the Bulldogs find three players to make shots consistently, box-out effectively to draw Duke fouls, where they can march to the charity stripe and convert 73.8 percent like they have all season, well, it is game on.

No matter what, one team will be blue and green with envy.

Power Line - Duke by 7
 

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Butler's Howard likely a game-time decision

Butler forward Matt Howard will likely be a game-time decision for Monday's NCAA Tournament championship game against Duke due to a mild concussion.

Butler head coach Brad Stevens said Howard, who hit his head in Saturday's national semifinal victory over Michigan State, was held out of Sunday's practice. Stevens said the team is keeping Howard under observation.

Howard finished with four points in 15 minutes against the Spartans, but has been in integral part of Butler's success this season, averaging 11.6 points and 5.2 rebounds per game.
 

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CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play UNDER BUTLER on the first half total in Road games after a non-conference game
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.80 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play UNDER BUTLER on the first half total in Road games after a non-conference game
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders this season (+8.90 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play OVER BUTLER on the total in All games after scoring 60 points or less
The record is 16 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.60 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play OVER BUTLER on the total in All games after scoring 60 points or less
The record is 11 Overs and 2 Unders for the last two seasons (+8.80 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play ON DUKE in the first half in All games after a non-conference game
The record is 34 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (+17.50 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play ON DUKE in the first half in All games in non-conference games
The record is 34 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (+17.50 units)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBB | (601) BUTLER @ (602) DUKE | 04/05/2010 9:15 PM
Play ON DUKE against the spread in All games after a non-conference game
The record is 14 Wins and 5 Losses this season (+8.50 units)
 

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Not everybody rooting against Duke in NCAA title game

Not everybody rooting against Duke in NCAA title game

Not everybody rooting against Duke in NCAA title game
It's easy to pull for Butler and its unassuming star, Gordon Hayward. And for many, it's easier to dislike Duke for its arrogance and elite pedigree.

But not everyone loves an underdog.

More specifically, it appears no one wants to bet on this underdog.

Hayward and the Bulldogs make a great story, an NCAA Tournament long-shot tale that even the most cynical columnists from across the country are eating up faster than free hot dogs in the press room.

Still, there's no place for sentimentality at the wagering windows.

The Blue Devils might be seen as the Evil Empire of college basketball, but today they are America's favorite team to bet.

Duke is a 7-point favorite over Butler in today's NCAA championship game in Indianapolis. The Blue Devils are about minus-350 on the money line to win straight up. All of the money is not on one side, but almost all of it is on Duke.

Mike Colbert, the sports book director at M Resort, was asked if anyone is betting on the Bulldogs.

"No," Colbert said. "Not yet."

I stopped by the Gold Coast sports book Sunday morning and inquired to a ticket writer about the action he was seeing on the game.

"I'm not sure I've hit 601 yet," he said.

The betting number for Butler is 601. He said he had punched in 602, the betting number for Duke, about 15 to 20 times.

Suffice to say, the Las Vegas sports books will need the underdog today. When the wagering is a one-sided onslaught, the books seem to win more than their share.

So the Bulldogs have that going for them, which is nice.

Colbert opened Duke as a 6-point favorite, and he has been slowly pushing that number north.

"In my opinion, it's a little inflated," he said. "Everybody is very hot on Duke. I don't expect anyone to bet Butler. But I've got to assume the wiseguys will take 7?. I think to get a bet on the 'dog we'll have to be at 7?, and maybe 8 by game time.

"I'm not sure if they can win it, but I do think Butler will cover. The line is a little too high. Butler won't get blown out."

The Blue Devils were far more impressive Saturday as they destroyed West Virginia, 78-57. Jon Scheyer, Kyle Singler and Nolan Smith combined to score 63 points and hit 12 of 23 3-pointers. Duke center Brian Zoubek grabbed 10 rebounds and sported a mean beard.

In the Final Four opener, the baby-faced Bulldogs had to grind out a 52-50 victory over Michigan State that was mostly unimpressive.

After those results, the public's reaction to ride the coattails of Mike Krzyzewski's crew was a foregone conclusion.

"We sense a bit of public overreaction to Duke's semifinal romp over West Virginia, a game that was closer than the final score, as well as a downgrade of Butler for its unsightly win over Michigan State," The Gold Sheet handicapper Bruce Marshall said.

"The Bulldogs have not advanced this far on a fluke. When a team plays defense like Butler, it always has a chance."

The underdog is a contrarian bet in this case. But Marshall (goldsheet.com) said there are solid reasons to back the Bulldogs, who might be capable of exploiting matchup advantages because of their smaller, quicker lineup surrounding the 6-foot-9-inch Hayward.

"Duke owns a definite size advantage ? providing a different, more physical look than most of Coach K's previous championship teams and contenders," Marshall said. "But the matchups might not be as bad for Butler as they seem at first glance."

Marshall said the Bulldogs' "tenacious on-ball defenders" -- Shelvin Mack, Ronald Nored, and Willie Veasley -- can cover and disrupt the Blue Devils' perimeter shooters.

On the boards, Butler will need Hayward and center Matt Howard to hold their ground.

Howard can hack his way into foul trouble in pregame warm-ups, but he has a bigger problem. Howard is a game-time decision because of a mild concussion from Saturday. He is expected to play.

"Hayward might be the best NBA prospect on the court," Marshall said. "Hayward and Howard might be Duke's biggest possible nightmare."

There is an argument to be made for the underdog. But if you're not buying it, follow the crowd and dance with the Blue Devils.
 

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Opposites are attraction of Duke-Butler title game

Opposites are attraction of Duke-Butler title game

Opposites are attraction of Duke-Butler title game

INDIANAPOLIS
Brad Stevens is familiar with the story. He knows the future king of Israel struck the Philistine with a stone and cut off the warrior's head. He understands the tale's motivational significance in moments like this.

"You know," the Butler basketball coach said, "it makes me feel good.

"David won."

The game in many ways is secondary tonight, incredible when you think Butler plays Duke for the national championship at Lucas Oil Stadium. Both teams can win. Both have good enough players. The difference in skill isn't substantial, if at all.

But what this final creates is a David vs. Goliath matchup in the arms race of collegiate athletics, that in a time when university presidents are adamant there must be more oversight into the excessive spending on salaries and facilities and trying desperately to discover more ways to win, college basketball's biggest evening offers such an incredible contrast in the haves and have-nots.

UNLV beat Duke for the national championship 20 years ago this week, when the labels of good and evil were assigned the Blue Devils and Rebels.

How ironic. Two decades ago, Duke was the lovable team America cheered. Tonight, that role belongs to Butler, and it is Duke for which most watching will feel contempt.

"You know, we don't play because somebody might not like you," Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said. "I know a lot of people who like us."

On the surface, those who root against Duke hold fairly straightforward opinions. Krzyzewski is preachy. His team gets all the calls. The entire Duke Nation drips of arrogance and favoritism.

But at a deeper level, Duke against Butler symbolizes the inequities that have been constructed within a Bowl Championship Series climate.

Consider: Duke's basketball budget is $13.8 million. The next closest nationally is Marquette at $10 million.

Butler's basketball budget: $1.7 million, which ranks 142nd nationally and places the Bulldogs between Santa Clara and Marshall.

Consider: Butler will spend $2.3 million less on basketball this year than Krzyzewski will collect in salary.

Prior to this NCAA Tournament, Butler's team chartered to three road games this season. Duke might charter to pregame meals.

Duke has a $15.2 million practice facility spread over 56,000 square feet that is named the Michael W. Krzyzewski Center Dedicated to Academic and Athletic Excellence. Butler has an auxiliary gym spread over two courts that the team's booster club serves chicken fingers on before games and is named well, Auxiliary Gym.

"If we can be an inspiration, then we are really honored to carry that flag," Stevens said. "But if not, I think there are a lot of teams like us capable of doing this. I really do ... I understand why teams build practice facilities and want to compete (financially) with who you're recruiting against.

"Butler is a great school in a great city. We have a good tradition in basketball and play in a fieldhouse that embraces the history of the game. We need to remember who we are. I really think that's why we are here.''

There are many reasons to love this final, one between two private schools whose players go to class and act responsibly, teams that don't pay for talent or embarrass their universities, coaches who do things the right way.

There is also this: Myles Brand like no NCAA president before him pushed for academic reform, and seven months after losing his battle with pancreatic cancer, two institutions of such high academic standing as Duke and Butler will meet for the championship not three blocks from where Brand had his office.

All of that means something tonight.

But more than anything, it is a chance for a small school with a limited budget to match itself against one of the game's most storied and successful programs, the one which spends the most on basketball, with everything at stake.

The arms race won't change if Butler wins. Duke won't suddenly spend only $8 million annually on basketball. Kansas and Michigan State and Kentucky and Syracuse won't start slashing budgets. They won't tear down the Michael W. Krzyzewski Center Dedicated to Academic and Athletic Excellence.

But for one evening, life will seem a little fairer and college sports a little purer.

"If that's what the story is going to be, we'll accept it," Butler sophomore Gordon Hayward said. "We're up for the challenge."

Think about it. Wouldn't it be wonderful if the star of One Shining Moment was named David?
 

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Madness, Masters keeping U.S. bettors, books busy

Madness, Masters keeping U.S. bettors, books busy

Madness, Masters keeping U.S. bettors, books busy

Butler's magical march to Monday's NCAA championship game and Tiger Woods' comeback at the Masters this week have American bettors getting in on more action than ever, according to a report on CNN.com.

Legal and illegal gambling in America already account for an estimated $300 billion per year, almost as much as the U.S. Department of Defense's annual budget and more than the gross domestic product of Switzerland.

Although far from a new phenomenon, it appears the excitement of this year's NCAA Tournament combined with the steamy details of Woods' off-the-course life are adding interest in sports gambling, the report said.

Bookmakers say March Madness is already rivaling the Super Bowl with an estimated $80 to $90 billion in legal wagers in the U.S., and interest in the Masters is on the rise now that Woods is returning from his shameful hiatus at Augusta.

Woods is a 9-2 favorite to win the Masters, leading second-best Ernie Els at 12-1, but the prop bets have drawn in tabloid readers to sports books, such as whether Woods gets into it with a fan or whether his wife makes an appearance.

In the NCAA Finals, it's a storyline reminiscient of "Hoosiers" that is attracting new bettors. Butler, the "mid-major" Cinderella that's still dancing well after midnight, faces Duke, the perenniel power that everyone loves to hate.
 

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Butler vs. Duke

National Championship at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

Butler Bulldogs vs. Duke Blue Devils (-6.5, 129.5)

?The Butler Way?

Barry Collier adopted ?the Butler Way? when he coached the Bulldogs from 1989-2000. Ten years later, ?the Butler Way? has this group of Bulldogs in the National Championship.

But just what is it?

?It?s just the way we carry ourselves on and off the court,? explained senior forward Willie Veasley. ?It?s something when you come here, you live it. It?s a core value, something you take pride in, something you hold yourself accountable for.?

Whatever it is, it has led to an amazing 25 straight victories. Butler (33-4, 17-20 ATS) has not lost since a 67-57 setback at UAB on December 22.

The way these Bulldogs have been winning is with defense and toughness, not jaw-dropping talent or high-powered offense. Michigan State coach Tom Izzo knows that all too well after his team?s 52-50 loss on Saturday night.

?It was one of the more physical game we've been involved in, and playing in the Big Ten, that's saying something,? Izzo remarked. ?They play as hard as anybody we've played. They are physical.?

Said Butler forward Gordon Hayward, who came up with a critical blocked shot to preserve a 1-point advantage in the final seconds: ?I thought it was fitting that we had to get a defensive stop on that last possession of the game because that's how we've won all season. We had to win the Butler way.?

Three-headed monster

Duke?s ?S? trio of Kyle Singler, Jon Scheyer, and Nolan Smith has been leading the way for the Blue Devils all season, and more of the same is continuing in this NCAA Tournament.

Singler, Scheyer and Smith combined for 57 of 78 points against Purdue, 54 of 78 against Baylor and 63 of 78 in Saturday night?s blowout win over West Virginia. They combined to shoot a devastating 12-for-23 from beyond the arc at the expense of the Mountaineers.

?We were not going to beat West Virginia without a great performance,? coach Mike Krzyzewski said in a post-game interview with CBS.

While that is almost certainly untrue given the 21-point margin of victory, he certainly got a great performance from his players, including from the star trio?s supporting cast.

Offensive rebounding has been a key to Duke?s success all year long, and Brian Zoubek pulled down five of his 10 boards at the offensive end. Both of Lance Thomas? rebounds were of the offensive variety and no team does a better job of getting second-chance looks from 3-point range than Duke.

Butler big man hurting

Butler forward Matt Howard's status is in question for Monday night's national championship game against Duke.

Bulldogs coach Brad Stevens said Howard would not practice Sunday after suffering a head injury in the second half of Saturday night's 52-50 victory over Michigan State in the Final Four.

He is listed as a game-time decision for Monday. Howard was the Horizon Player of the Year last season.

Howard collided with a teammate and a Michigan State player in the second half. He played for a couple of minutes before asking out.

"We actually thought he was OK," Stevens said. "Then he came over and said he wasn't feeling good."

The Houston Chronicle reported that Butler's coaching staff said Howard was suffering from concussion-like symptoms.

Howard entered Saturday's game averaging 11.6 points and 5.2 rebounds, but he scored just four points on 1-of-7 shooting in 15 minutes against Michigan State.

David vs. Goliath?literally

This is not just a mismatch in terms of a ?mid-major? team from the Horizon League going up against the ACC Champions.

Duke sports a front line of Zoubek (7-foot-1), Thomas (6-foot-8, 240 pounds) and the 6-foot-10 Plumlee twins (Miles and Mason). Butler?s corps group of players features nobody taller than 6-foot-9 (Hayward).

The Blue Devils have won the rebounding battle in all five of their NCAA Tournament contests and they have reached double-figures on the offensive glass in all five outings. Against Baylor, Duke hauled in a shocking 22 offensive boards. Against Baylor, Duke out-rebounded the Boilermakers 45-22.

Needless to say, the pressure will be on Hayward and 6-foot-8 forwards Avery Jukes and Matt Howard to keep Zoubek and Thomas off the glass.

Something?s gotta give

Butler?s stingy defense against Duke?s clicking offense will be the story of Monday night?s National Championship.

The Bulldogs have not allowed any of their five NCAA Tournament opponents to score 60 points in a game. In fact, Butler has limited 12 of its last 13 opponents to fewer than 60 points.

So good was their defense on Saturday against Michigan State that the Bulldogs still won despite shooting an unimaginably bad 30.6 percent at the other end of the floor.

Duke, on the other hand, has failed to reach the 60-point mark just once this entire season - once in 38 games. The Blue Devils poured in 78 in each of their past two contests, which resulted in wins over Baylor in the South Region final and over West Virginia. Duke drained 13-of-25 3-pointers against the Mountaineers.

Common opponents

The Bulldogs and Blue Devils have faced two common opponents this season, Clemson and Georgetown. Butler fell to the Tigers 70-69 on a neutral court while Duke hammered Clemson on two different occasions (74-53 at home and 60-47 on the road).

Both the Bulldogs and the Blue Devils lost to Georgetown. Butler went down 72-65 in Madison Square Garden and Duke got manhandled by the Hoyas 89-77 at the Verizon Center in Washington, D.C.

Trending topics

The Bulldogs are 8-3 in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games and 5-1 ATS in their last six overall

The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament.

Both Butler (15-20 O/U) and Duke (16-22 O/U) have been solid under plays this season. The under is 9-1 in Butler?s last 10 overall and 2-4 in Duke?s last six overall.

Butler's defense has made a mockery of over/under lines during the tourney. Butler's games have finished below the closing total by an average of 15 points in the team's last four games.
 

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Line moves: Hearts are on Butler, but money is on Duke

Line moves: Hearts are on Butler, but money is on Duke

Line moves: Hearts are on Butler, but money is on Duke

Butler may have captured the hearts of Americans, but Duke continues to have a stranglehold on their wallets.

At least that's the case for tonight's NCAA final between the two teams at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Shortly after the horn sounded on Duke's beat-down of West Virginia on Saturday night, the Blue Devils opened as 6.5-point favorites over the Bulldogs, who edged Michigan State earlier in the evening.

The line already has climbed to as high as 7.5 at most books as heavy action comes in on Duke, which is seeking its fourth NCAA title while Butler has never gotten this far before. The total also has undergone a slight adjustment, dropping from 130 to 128 at some books.

The numbers add up for a Cinderella vs. Godzilla matchup, but run contrary to national sentiment. Most Americans are either rooting for the underdog Bulldogs or against the powerhouse Blue Devils, who have become the team people love to hate.

But they love them on the betting board, especially since Duke has covered the spread against every team it has faced in the Tournament. The Blue Devils were near flawless on Saturday, shooting better than 50 percent (13 for 25) from 3-point range.

Butler won its 25th straight and held yet another tournament opponent to fewer than 60 points. But the little team that could is having a hard time convincing
 

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Preview:
Butler vs Duke
When: 9:15 PM ET, Monday, April 5, 2010
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Duke Blue Devils are ranked 120 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 44.2% while attempting 59.5 shots per game. The Blue Devils shooting percentages include 76.1% for free throw percentage and 38.7% for three point percentage so far this season.

The Butler Bulldogs are ranked 104 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 44.5% while attempting 50.1 shots per game. The Bulldogs shooting percentages include 73.8% for free throw percentage and 34.2% for three point percentage so far this season.

Home and Away

The Duke Blue Devils are 17-0 at home this season, and 16-3 against 18-2 opponents.

At home the Blue Devils are averaging 85.9 scoring, and holding teams to 59.5 points scored on defense.

The Butler Bulldogs are 12-1 while on the road this season, 20-0 against conference opponents, and 13-4 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Bulldogs are averaging 67.7 scoring, and holding teams to 58.2 points scored on defense.
 

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Trends - No. 5 Butler vs No. 1 Duke

Trends - No. 5 Butler vs No. 1 Duke

Trends - No. 5 Butler vs No. 1 Duke


ATS Trends

Butler

Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.


Duke

Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Blue Devils are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.


OU Trends

Butler

Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 overall.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 non-conference games.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 neutral site games.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
Under is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 Monday games.
Under is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
Under is 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.


Duke

Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Under is 19-7 in Blue Devils last 26 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Under is 12-5 in Blue Devils last 17 overall.
Under is 12-5 in Blue Devils last 17 games as a favorite.
Under is 19-8 in Blue Devils last 27 neutral site games as a favorite.
Under is 19-8 in Blue Devils last 27 neutral site games.
Under is 7-3 in Blue Devils last 10 Monday games.
Under is 11-5 in Blue Devils last 16 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 13-6 in Blue Devils last 19 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.


Head to Head

No trends available.
 

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Butler (33-4) vs. Duke (34-5)



Monday, April 5th, 9:21 p.m. (et)
FACTS & STATS: Site: Lucas Oil Stadium (71,300) -- Indianapolis, Indiana. Television: CBS. NCAA Tournament Record: Butler 13-9, Duke 93-30. Series Record: Duke leads, 1-0.

GAME NOTES: It all comes down to this. One game to decide the NCAA Division I men's basketball championship, as the nation's darlings, the Butler Bulldogs, take on the mighty Duke Blue Devils tonight in Indianapolis.

Butler, the No. 5 seed out of the West Region, is riding a 25-game win streak dating back to a December 22nd loss at UAB, and the Bulldogs have knocked off UTEP, Murray State, Syracuse, Kansas State and Michigan State to reach their first-ever NCAA Championship Game.

Butler is led by 33-year-old coach Brad Stevens, who has amassed an eye- popping 89-14 record in his three years at the helm, setting a new Division I standard for the most wins in his first three years. The Bulldogs went 18-0 in the Horizon League this season, and won the conference tournament as well. Their 33 wins on the year is both a school and league record.

Butler, one of only four teams to hold their first five NCAA Tournament opponents below 60 points, has won 118 games over the past four seasons to set a school and Horizon League mark for most wins in a four-year period. The Bulldogs are playing in their fourth consecutive NCAA Tournament and their seventh in the past decade, and they own an all-time tourney record of 13-9 (6-2 under Stevens).

Duke, which is playing in its 34th NCAA Tournament and has won three national titles (1991, 1992, 2001), is making its 10th Championship Game appearance. The Blue Devils, who are an impressive 34-5 on the year, won both the ACC regular-season (shared with Maryland) and tournament titles, thus earning their 11th No. 1 seed all-time in this event.

The Blue Devils, who have won an NCAA-best 64 games over the past two seasons, are coached by Mike Krzyzewski, who is the winningest coach in NCAA Tournament history (76-22). Coach K's club took care of Arkansas-Pine Bluff, California, Purdue, Baylor and West Virginia to get to this point. Duke is 13-4 this season against teams that made the NCAA Tournament, and it has won 12 straight neutral-site affairs. The Blue Devils are 20-1 on a neutral court over the past two seasons.

Duke and Butler have met just one time previously, with the Blue Devils prevailing in an 80-60 verdict in Durham, North Carolina on January 30, 2003.

Butler's strength during its record-setting season, and in particular during this tournament, has been its play at the defensive end of the court. Foes have found it difficult to score easy baskets, as the Bulldogs swarm to the ball better than most. Case in point, BU logged 12 steals in the Final Four victory over Michigan State (52-50) -- just one shy of its season high. It was the second time in this tourney that the Bulldogs came up with a dozen steals, doing so against Syracuse as well.

Butler had a rough shooting night on Saturday against Michigan State, hitting a mere 30.6 percent of its field goal attempts, which included a dismal 5- of-21 effort from three-point range. But what the Bulldogs lacked in [offensive] bite, they more than made up for with defensive tenacity, limiting the Spartans to 22 points in the second half. BU outscored MSU off turnovers, 20-2, and Gordon Hayward led the Bulldogs with 19 points, nine rebounds and a pair of blocked shots. Shelvin Mack added 14 points for Butler, which claimed a 17-10 edge in points from the foul line.

Coach Stevens, while obviously pleased with the outcome, knows his team can't shoot the ball the way it did on Saturday and hope to win tonight's game.

"Well, obviously I didn't think 15 for 49 was a great way to approach the game, and I never would have dreamed we would have won if we shot 15 for 49. But our guys did a great job defending in the last 30 minutes of the game. Really locked on, made it difficult," Stevens stated. "We had a lot of guys that had to dig in and did a great job. You know, this team and this program has been built on guys ready to come in and contribute to the good of the team. It makes me proud to be their coach."

Starting forward Matt Howard suffered a head injury on Saturday, and he will be a game-time decision. Otherwise, the Bulldogs are poised to play their brand of basketball in hopes of earning the school's first national title.

Stevens is well aware of the press his team, and the university, are receiving, and he has embraced it.

"You know, this is all about promoting Butler. That's my job. That's our players. Came to be part of a special program," Stevens continued. "You know, we've talked about this a little bit last week. We might not have believed it when we said it, you know, in our first team meeting in the fall, but, you know, if we focus and do our jobs, then why can't we play for a national championship? That's been our focus all along."

Save for a seven-point win over Baylor, Duke's road to the title tilt has been a relatively easy one. The Blue Devils hammered West Virginia on Saturday night, 78-57, getting 23 points from Jon Scheyer, 21 from Kyle Singler and 19 from Nolan Smith. Brian Zoubek grabbed 10 rebounds, and Singler another nine for Duke, which shot 52.7 percent from the field, nailing 13 three-pointers along the way. The Blue Devils held the Mountaineers to 41.3 percent field goal accuracy, and dished out 20 assists while committing only six turnovers.

Like its counterpart tonight, Duke's play at the defensive end has been exemplary in the tournament, yielding a mere 56.4 ppg and allowing foes to shoot just 27.6 percent from three-point range.

Coach Krzyzewski touted his team's effort after the win over West Virginia.

"Our team played really well tonight. Thought our defense was outstanding. Our care for the ball was excellent, to get 20 assists and only six turnovers," Krzyzewski remarked. "All three of our perimeter guys had outstanding shooting games. So I thought we were difficult to guard as a result of that. And we guarded well. Zoubek really asserted himself on the board. Some of his offensive rebounds really turned into, you know, big plays for us when he kicked it out. So, you know, we beat a really good team. And I thought we played an outstanding game."

Smith knows that he and his teammates will have a dogfight on their hands tonight.

"People are calling Butler the Cinderella and, of course, Duke the big-time program. But it's going to be a fight," Smith said. "You know, both teams are very good. I just can't wait to play."

Coach K added that it will be his job to make sure his team knows the Bulldogs aren't just some little-known program that has caught lightning in a bottle.

"They'll [his player] find it very intriguing after we give them the scouting report and tell them they've won 25 in a row," Krzyzewski stated.

Are these the two best teams in the country? Maybe, maybe not. The bottom line is these are the two that have navigated the treacherous waters of NCAA Tournament play successfully to this point. That said, both play stingy defense, but whether the Bulldogs have what it takes to keep up with the Blue Devils out on the perimeter remains to be seen.

Predicted Outcome: Duke 65, Butler 59
 
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