thanks guys....
3*oregon+4(120)...
i was a little late grabbing oregon...wish that i got them at +6 when they first came out.
here are the reasons why i like the ducks tonight...
a site that i use for info rates oregon's sos as 38...& byu's as 31.1...imo that's a big difference in the quality of teams that each team faced.
eventhough oregon has faced tougher competition, they are 107 yds. defensively better per game than byu.
oregon ranks #10 in the nation against the pass....which should somewhat slow down the byu offense (oregon allows an average completion % of 54% & 157 passing yards per game)....byu ranks #73 nationally in defending the pass.
the oregon offensive line outweighs the byu defensive line by an average of 60 lbs. per man...oregon ranks #11 nationally in rushing the ball.
another reason why i like oregon is that gary crowton, former byu coach is now the offensive coach of oregon....he recruited a lot of byu's players & also should know the tendencies of his former def. coach, now head coach of byu.
oregon also has under-rated wide-recivers who are very tall...they will be going against a banged up byu defensive 2ndary....
here is an article pertaining to this.....
Darnell Dickson
DAILY HERALD
Mind over matter: If you don?t mind, it doesn?t matter.
That?s the approach BYU secondary coach Jamie Hill is taking in preparation for the Las Vegas Bowl. Injuries? Suspensions? Facing Oregon?s talented, very tall wide receivers?
?There are no adversities,? Hill said. ?There are no excuses. There?s nothing, we just play. We don?t concern ourselves with that. Whoever is out there is gonna play and play well.?
Starting cornerback Ben Criddle and his backup, Kayle Buchanan, are doubtful for the bowl game. The other starting cornerback, senior Justin Robinson, is coming off a shoulder injury. Backup safety Corby Hodgkiss is hobbled and backup cornerback Tico Pringle was suspended early this week.
On top of that, Oregon?s wide receivers may be the best BYU will face in 2006.
?Oregon has big, strong receivers who run great routes,? Hill admitted, ?and the offense has scored a lot of points. We have to maintain our leverages, stay on top of them and do what we do.?
What has BYU?s secondary done? After suffering through a horrific 2005, BYU improved dramatically under Hill. In 2005, BYU gave up 269.3 yards per game passing and 25 touchdowns; in 2006, the Cougars allowed just 208.3 yards per game and 11 touchdowns. The pass efficiency defense rose from 105th (144.75) in 2005 to 19th (107.84) in 2006.
That said, BYU?s secondary will get a big test from Oregon?s receivers.
?I?m not sure I can compare them to anyone we?ve played,? BYU head coach Bronco Mendenhall said. ?They?re a fast, athletic bunch. In watching film, each time a guy made a play it seemed like it was a different number. They?re probably the best we?ve faced this year.?
Jaison Williams (6-5 240 So.) leads Oregon with 68 catches for 984 yards and six touchdowns. Oregon can also throw to 6-foot-5 tight end Dante Rosario (41 catches, 414 yards, 1 TD), 6-5 Jordan Kent (39-458-4) and 6-2 Brian Paysinger (33-404-2).
?They?re big boys,? BYU junior safety Dustin Gabriel said. ?We?ve got to make sure we do our assignments. The last couple of games we weren?t focused on what we?re supposed to do. We need to trust our coaches and trust the players next to us that they?re going to do what they?re supposed to do.?
BYU will counter with Robinson (5-9) and has moved senior safety Cole Miyahira (6-0) to cornerback. Gabriel (6-1) and Quinn Gooch (6-0) will go at safety.
?What we?re gonna try to do is to understand what they do, understand what we do well, then go out and execute our responsibilities,? Hill said. ?Size has no factor.?
in their final game of the season, byu won a very tight game against one of their biggest rivals....utah. since 1994 byu is 0-4 ats off a su win over utah...that includes 1 regular season game, 2 conference championship games, & a bowl game....a system that pertains to this....play against a bowl team (not a favorite of more than 8 points or a dog of more than 14 points) off a favorite su win of less than 3 points vs an opponent not off a su loss of 31 + points....since 1994 these teams are 0-13 su/ats.
byu has won 9 straight games, while oregon has loss 3 straight games.
since 1980...neutral/road site conference championship & bowl dogs off 3 su losses are 11-0 ats.....last year fla. st. & colorado were 2 teams who covered their bowl games off a few regular season losses.
byu is going back to the same bow game they played in last year....favorites returning to the same bowl that are neither home nor undefeated are 12-22 ats since 1981.
since 2003, oregon is 6-0 su vs. non-bcs schools & 26-1 su since 1995. meanwhile byu is 0-7 su vs. bcs schools since 2003.
i think the byu qb is a great qb & will be the best player on the field tonight......but i think oregon has too much speed & matches up very well against the byu attack....however i'm not a fan of rotating qb's, which oregon does....which is the only reason why this is not a bigger bet.this game should be decided either way by a field goal.
good luck.
3*oregon+4(120)...
i was a little late grabbing oregon...wish that i got them at +6 when they first came out.
here are the reasons why i like the ducks tonight...
a site that i use for info rates oregon's sos as 38...& byu's as 31.1...imo that's a big difference in the quality of teams that each team faced.
eventhough oregon has faced tougher competition, they are 107 yds. defensively better per game than byu.
oregon ranks #10 in the nation against the pass....which should somewhat slow down the byu offense (oregon allows an average completion % of 54% & 157 passing yards per game)....byu ranks #73 nationally in defending the pass.
the oregon offensive line outweighs the byu defensive line by an average of 60 lbs. per man...oregon ranks #11 nationally in rushing the ball.
another reason why i like oregon is that gary crowton, former byu coach is now the offensive coach of oregon....he recruited a lot of byu's players & also should know the tendencies of his former def. coach, now head coach of byu.
oregon also has under-rated wide-recivers who are very tall...they will be going against a banged up byu defensive 2ndary....
here is an article pertaining to this.....
Darnell Dickson
DAILY HERALD
Mind over matter: If you don?t mind, it doesn?t matter.
That?s the approach BYU secondary coach Jamie Hill is taking in preparation for the Las Vegas Bowl. Injuries? Suspensions? Facing Oregon?s talented, very tall wide receivers?
?There are no adversities,? Hill said. ?There are no excuses. There?s nothing, we just play. We don?t concern ourselves with that. Whoever is out there is gonna play and play well.?
Starting cornerback Ben Criddle and his backup, Kayle Buchanan, are doubtful for the bowl game. The other starting cornerback, senior Justin Robinson, is coming off a shoulder injury. Backup safety Corby Hodgkiss is hobbled and backup cornerback Tico Pringle was suspended early this week.
On top of that, Oregon?s wide receivers may be the best BYU will face in 2006.
?Oregon has big, strong receivers who run great routes,? Hill admitted, ?and the offense has scored a lot of points. We have to maintain our leverages, stay on top of them and do what we do.?
What has BYU?s secondary done? After suffering through a horrific 2005, BYU improved dramatically under Hill. In 2005, BYU gave up 269.3 yards per game passing and 25 touchdowns; in 2006, the Cougars allowed just 208.3 yards per game and 11 touchdowns. The pass efficiency defense rose from 105th (144.75) in 2005 to 19th (107.84) in 2006.
That said, BYU?s secondary will get a big test from Oregon?s receivers.
?I?m not sure I can compare them to anyone we?ve played,? BYU head coach Bronco Mendenhall said. ?They?re a fast, athletic bunch. In watching film, each time a guy made a play it seemed like it was a different number. They?re probably the best we?ve faced this year.?
Jaison Williams (6-5 240 So.) leads Oregon with 68 catches for 984 yards and six touchdowns. Oregon can also throw to 6-foot-5 tight end Dante Rosario (41 catches, 414 yards, 1 TD), 6-5 Jordan Kent (39-458-4) and 6-2 Brian Paysinger (33-404-2).
?They?re big boys,? BYU junior safety Dustin Gabriel said. ?We?ve got to make sure we do our assignments. The last couple of games we weren?t focused on what we?re supposed to do. We need to trust our coaches and trust the players next to us that they?re going to do what they?re supposed to do.?
BYU will counter with Robinson (5-9) and has moved senior safety Cole Miyahira (6-0) to cornerback. Gabriel (6-1) and Quinn Gooch (6-0) will go at safety.
?What we?re gonna try to do is to understand what they do, understand what we do well, then go out and execute our responsibilities,? Hill said. ?Size has no factor.?
in their final game of the season, byu won a very tight game against one of their biggest rivals....utah. since 1994 byu is 0-4 ats off a su win over utah...that includes 1 regular season game, 2 conference championship games, & a bowl game....a system that pertains to this....play against a bowl team (not a favorite of more than 8 points or a dog of more than 14 points) off a favorite su win of less than 3 points vs an opponent not off a su loss of 31 + points....since 1994 these teams are 0-13 su/ats.
byu has won 9 straight games, while oregon has loss 3 straight games.
since 1980...neutral/road site conference championship & bowl dogs off 3 su losses are 11-0 ats.....last year fla. st. & colorado were 2 teams who covered their bowl games off a few regular season losses.
byu is going back to the same bow game they played in last year....favorites returning to the same bowl that are neither home nor undefeated are 12-22 ats since 1981.
since 2003, oregon is 6-0 su vs. non-bcs schools & 26-1 su since 1995. meanwhile byu is 0-7 su vs. bcs schools since 2003.
i think the byu qb is a great qb & will be the best player on the field tonight......but i think oregon has too much speed & matches up very well against the byu attack....however i'm not a fan of rotating qb's, which oregon does....which is the only reason why this is not a bigger bet.this game should be decided either way by a field goal.
good luck.
