You know when u like a game than u read somebodys thread and it gives u butterflies? This game can't start soon enough! Thanks for the post! Gl to us!
Bowling
- Thread starter lostinamerica
- Start date
You know when u like a game than u read somebodys thread and it gives u butterflies? This game can't start soon enough! Thanks for the post! Gl to us!
In-running:
Pittsburgh/Kentucky(Un44')
- - I was out running errands and wanted to get in at 52 or 54 or whatever the number was, now I'll probably get what I deserve.
GL
Pittsburgh/Kentucky(Un44')
- - I was out running errands and wanted to get in at 52 or 54 or whatever the number was, now I'll probably get what I deserve.
GL
Pittsburgh/Kentucky(Ov24)(-115)(2h)
- - A late touchdown, I've got 44', I need to hedge this . . . And FWIW, I saw this game as being glacial and fought in the clinches, but some momentum has actually broken out. :facepalm:
GL
- - A late touchdown, I've got 44', I need to hedge this . . . And FWIW, I saw this game as being glacial and fought in the clinches, but some momentum has actually broken out. :facepalm:
GL
NCAA YTD: 49-45 (-3.40*)
2010-2011 Bowls: 14-10 (+4.15*)
Oregon(+3)(-142) over Auburn (2.5*)
Auburn(-3)(+100) over Oregon (1.5*)
I paid a steep impost to switch my play to a regular play on the live dog, but that?s where the culmination of my Bowl capping for this season has taken me.
ODDS and ENDS from a month of buildup - Yes, No, Maybe . . .
Some of the INFORMATION has me flipping on how I play a few of my ANGLES :scared . . .
A month ago . . .
What I initially liked about Oregon was the collective disappointment and experience of losing last year in the Granddaddy of Them All, and I believe the dog has won 6 of the last 8 National Championship games . . . What I initially liked about Auburn was I thought they were the better team without undertaking any fine-tuned analysis; some cursory analysis suggested to my thinking the Auburn defense would be fresh and rested to go for 60 minutes after a long break; some further analysis in which I saw Auburn converting the 3rd and shorts as they have all season to frustrate Oregon, while Auburn would do a much better job of getting stops in those situations; and a suspicion the Heisman victory tour must have been a little subdued given the circumstances dogging the recipient.
At least three games stood out in my "initial impressions" and "subsequent capping" of the matchup. First was Oregon over Stanford. Stanford has great players and great coaches, but their depth is thin on defense. I had made hay with Stanford the week before when they travelled to Notre Dame for a game Coach Harbaugh and the players were talking up all week as really significant, notwithstanding that a trip to Oregon was on deck. Stanford got to Oregon and busted out to a 21-3 lead, but their tank was on fumes before halftime, and Oregon won going away . . . The second game was Oregon over Cal. How could Cal slow down the Ducks without any help from their anemic offense? I believe a big part of the answer was supplied in a post by BBC today: "Ducks head coach Chip Kelly's fast-paced attack barely allows the opposing defense to line up and communicate the play call before the snap, and once the play is underway misdirection, play-action and crossing routes can contribute to assignment breakdowns for the defense. California was able to hold the Ducks to a season-low 15 points back in mid-November, and Roof will likely borrow two aspects of the Golden Bears' game plan in particular. Look for Roof to play a lot of man coverage :scared because Oregon's wide receivers are not especially fast and won't win foot races against Auburn defenders. The Tigers' defensive backs have struggled to play the ball this season but are capable of running step-for-step with Jeff Maehl, Lavasier Tuinei, D.J. Davis and David Paulson. Playing man coverage rather than zone will eliminate the communication breakdowns that result from trying to locate and pass off receivers running a wide variety of routes against zone coverage. Secondly, expect Auburn S Zac Etheridge to serve as a deep spy (about 10 yards off the ball) on Thomas. He will attempt to diagnose runs quickly then fly to the ball carrier to try to wrap up Thomas, James, RB Kenjon Barner or Oregon's wide receivers in space. Etheridge will have to play sideline-to-sideline and make one-on-one stops to prevent runners from breaking into the second level of the defense." . . . The third game was Auburn over Alabama. Auburn was on a roll, and I thought a break before clashing with Alabama in their Super Bowl could prove fatal with the distractions swirling around about their QB. Well Indeed Auburn got out of the gate slow, but when their suspended players joined in for the second half, they quickly found their stride, and absolutely gained momentum for the SEC title game.
That's about where I was a month ago . . . Fast forward a month . . .
All indications are that Chip Kelly has been pushing the right buttons and will have his squad loose and focused. "Oregon has arrived with focus. One task, one moment, an approach that's impressive because of its simplicity . . "We stand for three things," Kelly said. "Playing fast, playing hard and finishing. We've done it with 12 opportunities." . . . "Everybody wants to make it out to be an SEC-Pac-10 matchup, but it's really not that way," Oregon's (LaMichael) James said. "We want to go out and compete for Oregon. We want to win for us." (Arizona Republic)
"They catch most teams who aren't lined up (properly), and that leads to busted plays," says cornerback T'Sharvan Bell. "To limit all that starts with the line up. You definitely have to be more aware. The urgency has to be there. You have to want to play fast because Oregon's going to play fast . . . "They hit you with the run, run, run and bam, they go over the top. Their passing game is just as deadly as their running game." . . . Oregon's passing attack has caught the attention of Tigers coach Gene Chizik: "Their passing doesn't get near enough credit. But if you really watch the games closely, take a look at their play-action game. They've got guys running down the field open by 10 yards. It happens all the time
http://www.montgomeryadvertiser.com...2/101100306/Auburn-secondary-braces-for-Ducks
On the other side, today Skip Bayless related a conversation he had with Gene Chizik in which Chizik had told him that his team had played about as well as they could when they played South Carolina in the SEC Championship, but when they got togetrher two weeks later he was appalled at a team he no longer recognized.
So a few weeks later, how does Auburn arrive for the game? . . . Bigger than all Texas, to borrow a phrase . . .actually reminding me of a Miami squad arriving in the desert a long time ago
"According to a few officials, it's the biggest traveling party and biggest welcoming party and biggest airplane the Fiesta Bowl folks have seen . . . In fact, the Tigers were still streaming down the stairs after Chizik wrapped up his media session. Then they filed into nine awaiting buses for the trip to the hotel. (The Ducks had four buses.)"
http://blog.oregonlive.com/behindducksbeat/2011/01/bcs_national_championship_aubu_2.html
A month ago I was definitely seeing as many or more advantages in the matchup of Cam Newton and his offense against an undersized Oregon defense as I was seeing with the Oregon offense going wild on the edges of a fast and fully rested SEC defense with a QB that wouldn?t be proficient in regularly going over the top of that defense . . . But I'm now hearing current and recent NCAA players saying the long layoff won't help Auburn with their conditioning, even if they have fresh legs.
September 2, 2010: :scared
OK, there you have it. Time contraints mean I've left out a lot, like . . . and . . . and . . . And FWIW, I'm hearing the Oregon scheme on defense will involve a lot of attacking :scared (at least that will disrupt too much comfortable and methodical marches down the field).
In any event, the sharp money has been winning more than its share when it's moved these small lines lately, so I'm guessing what I'm seeing and sensing is in line with what some sharps think they know. :mj07:
74 points is a huge number for a championship game . . .
GL
2010-2011 Bowls: 14-10 (+4.15*)
Oregon(+3)(-142) over Auburn (2.5*)
Auburn(-3)(+100) over Oregon (1.5*)
I paid a steep impost to switch my play to a regular play on the live dog, but that?s where the culmination of my Bowl capping for this season has taken me.
ODDS and ENDS from a month of buildup - Yes, No, Maybe . . .
Some of the INFORMATION has me flipping on how I play a few of my ANGLES :scared . . .
A month ago . . .
What I initially liked about Oregon was the collective disappointment and experience of losing last year in the Granddaddy of Them All, and I believe the dog has won 6 of the last 8 National Championship games . . . What I initially liked about Auburn was I thought they were the better team without undertaking any fine-tuned analysis; some cursory analysis suggested to my thinking the Auburn defense would be fresh and rested to go for 60 minutes after a long break; some further analysis in which I saw Auburn converting the 3rd and shorts as they have all season to frustrate Oregon, while Auburn would do a much better job of getting stops in those situations; and a suspicion the Heisman victory tour must have been a little subdued given the circumstances dogging the recipient.
At least three games stood out in my "initial impressions" and "subsequent capping" of the matchup. First was Oregon over Stanford. Stanford has great players and great coaches, but their depth is thin on defense. I had made hay with Stanford the week before when they travelled to Notre Dame for a game Coach Harbaugh and the players were talking up all week as really significant, notwithstanding that a trip to Oregon was on deck. Stanford got to Oregon and busted out to a 21-3 lead, but their tank was on fumes before halftime, and Oregon won going away . . . The second game was Oregon over Cal. How could Cal slow down the Ducks without any help from their anemic offense? I believe a big part of the answer was supplied in a post by BBC today: "Ducks head coach Chip Kelly's fast-paced attack barely allows the opposing defense to line up and communicate the play call before the snap, and once the play is underway misdirection, play-action and crossing routes can contribute to assignment breakdowns for the defense. California was able to hold the Ducks to a season-low 15 points back in mid-November, and Roof will likely borrow two aspects of the Golden Bears' game plan in particular. Look for Roof to play a lot of man coverage :scared because Oregon's wide receivers are not especially fast and won't win foot races against Auburn defenders. The Tigers' defensive backs have struggled to play the ball this season but are capable of running step-for-step with Jeff Maehl, Lavasier Tuinei, D.J. Davis and David Paulson. Playing man coverage rather than zone will eliminate the communication breakdowns that result from trying to locate and pass off receivers running a wide variety of routes against zone coverage. Secondly, expect Auburn S Zac Etheridge to serve as a deep spy (about 10 yards off the ball) on Thomas. He will attempt to diagnose runs quickly then fly to the ball carrier to try to wrap up Thomas, James, RB Kenjon Barner or Oregon's wide receivers in space. Etheridge will have to play sideline-to-sideline and make one-on-one stops to prevent runners from breaking into the second level of the defense." . . . The third game was Auburn over Alabama. Auburn was on a roll, and I thought a break before clashing with Alabama in their Super Bowl could prove fatal with the distractions swirling around about their QB. Well Indeed Auburn got out of the gate slow, but when their suspended players joined in for the second half, they quickly found their stride, and absolutely gained momentum for the SEC title game.
That's about where I was a month ago . . . Fast forward a month . . .
All indications are that Chip Kelly has been pushing the right buttons and will have his squad loose and focused. "Oregon has arrived with focus. One task, one moment, an approach that's impressive because of its simplicity . . "We stand for three things," Kelly said. "Playing fast, playing hard and finishing. We've done it with 12 opportunities." . . . "Everybody wants to make it out to be an SEC-Pac-10 matchup, but it's really not that way," Oregon's (LaMichael) James said. "We want to go out and compete for Oregon. We want to win for us." (Arizona Republic)
"They catch most teams who aren't lined up (properly), and that leads to busted plays," says cornerback T'Sharvan Bell. "To limit all that starts with the line up. You definitely have to be more aware. The urgency has to be there. You have to want to play fast because Oregon's going to play fast . . . "They hit you with the run, run, run and bam, they go over the top. Their passing game is just as deadly as their running game." . . . Oregon's passing attack has caught the attention of Tigers coach Gene Chizik: "Their passing doesn't get near enough credit. But if you really watch the games closely, take a look at their play-action game. They've got guys running down the field open by 10 yards. It happens all the time
http://www.montgomeryadvertiser.com...2/101100306/Auburn-secondary-braces-for-Ducks
On the other side, today Skip Bayless related a conversation he had with Gene Chizik in which Chizik had told him that his team had played about as well as they could when they played South Carolina in the SEC Championship, but when they got togetrher two weeks later he was appalled at a team he no longer recognized.
So a few weeks later, how does Auburn arrive for the game? . . . Bigger than all Texas, to borrow a phrase . . .actually reminding me of a Miami squad arriving in the desert a long time ago
"According to a few officials, it's the biggest traveling party and biggest welcoming party and biggest airplane the Fiesta Bowl folks have seen . . . In fact, the Tigers were still streaming down the stairs after Chizik wrapped up his media session. Then they filed into nine awaiting buses for the trip to the hotel. (The Ducks had four buses.)"
http://blog.oregonlive.com/behindducksbeat/2011/01/bcs_national_championship_aubu_2.html
A month ago I was definitely seeing as many or more advantages in the matchup of Cam Newton and his offense against an undersized Oregon defense as I was seeing with the Oregon offense going wild on the edges of a fast and fully rested SEC defense with a QB that wouldn?t be proficient in regularly going over the top of that defense . . . But I'm now hearing current and recent NCAA players saying the long layoff won't help Auburn with their conditioning, even if they have fresh legs.
September 2, 2010: :scared
OK, there you have it. Time contraints mean I've left out a lot, like . . . and . . . and . . . And FWIW, I'm hearing the Oregon scheme on defense will involve a lot of attacking :scared (at least that will disrupt too much comfortable and methodical marches down the field).
In any event, the sharp money has been winning more than its share when it's moved these small lines lately, so I'm guessing what I'm seeing and sensing is in line with what some sharps think they know. :mj07:
74 points is a huge number for a championship game . . .
GL
Last edited:
PUSH and PUSH
The streak lives on.
NCAA YTD: 49-45 (-3.40*)
2010-2011 Bowls: 14-10 (+4.15*)
GL
