Bowls 12/31 - 1/4

Blackman

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Aug 31, 2003
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Bowl Season 9-7 +1.5 units


Took a real hit last night on the Texas/WSU over - teaches me for counting on Mack Brown for anything.


Anyway - time for the real bowls to kick in - lets see if we can make some loot.




Wisconsin (+3) 1 unit Wisconsin +130 1/2 unit --- There are three teams that I always give a hard look and usually bet on in bowls - Michigan, Penn St, and Wisconsin. Obviously PSU isn't an option this year, and I'm not sure what to think about the Rose Bowl, but Wisconsin is a team I will ride with again this season. Alvarez's 7-1 Bowl record speaks for itself, and the fact that he's run 19 practices to Auburn's 9 prior to this game tells me that he will have this team ready. Having Davis healthy is a huge plus for the Badgers, he can be a bigtime back when he's in there and at 100%. Also like how Sorgi runs this offense, they will keep this game close and I feel pull it out in the fourth quarter in what could be a real dogfight. Don't see Auburn having the capability of pulling away in this one, so the 3 points hold real value.

Oregon (+4.5) 1 unit------Initially my lean was to Minnesota, but I think this line has gotten a bit high and after watching Michigan St falter I could see Minnesota doing the same. I hate to use other teams from the same conference to gauge what a team will do, but I will here. Also, I hated Oregon when they were juggling QB's in and out but now that they have stuck to one I think their offense has settled in. Could and probably will be a shootout, since that Minnesota O line is rock solid, but I think the Ducks have the firepower to win this one.

Utah (-2) 2 units------Utah is a very good team that finds a way to win. It's plain and simple. I look at two games late this season that exemplify this: BYU and Air Force. In the BYU game their offense stuggled, but the Utah D found a way to step up in a huge way and shut out a BYU team that is no stranger to the end zone, while when the D was hurting vs Air Force the offense kept pace with Air Force and beat them in a shootout. I love the Utah speed option, and think that they have two wins vs the PAC 10 this year shows they are a quality team. The line is low because of So Miss's win on national tv vs TCU in my opinion, and think that Utah should win this game by a TD.

Boston College (+1) 1.5 units----------Bradlee VanPelt is the heart and soul of this Colorado St team, and from what I hear that hand is still giving him a lot of trouble with swelling. Could effect his grip and accuracy on the ball, and if he gets hit forget it. Without him this team will be in a lot of trouble on offense, and if he does leave the game there is no one behind him to pick up the pieces. BC ended the year with two solid road wins @ Rutgers and @ Virginia Tech (I know that people will say that Rutgers is Rutgers and that Virginia Tech always folds in November but back to back road wins in the Big East are always an achievement unless you are Miami). Have to add that initially I did grab this line thinking that I could get a middle situation but the more I have researched the more I do like the play.


Will add my plays for Jan 1 on in this thread once I make them.
 

Blackman

Winghead
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Aug 31, 2003
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Updated record Bowl record ***11-8 +4.5 units***

Florida (-4) 1 unit ------ Think that the Gators have too much team speed and that Iowa may have trouble running up and down the field with them. Big Ten has not looked impressive thus far, with NW, Wisky, and MSU losing (and Minnesota getting a win that was pretty much given to them by Oregon in my opinion). Iowa is not the team to stop the losing trend.

Working on my thoughts for the West Virginia game will have them in a few....


GL today
 

Blackman

Winghead
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West Virginia/Maryland over 51 1 unit-------More of a gut play than anything else, but when you take two teams that average 30 ppg and put them down in Florida for the Gator Bowl you will see some points on the board. Also, I think that it is a factor that they have played once already so will be familiar with the defense they will be facing. I'm not much of a totals player but this one I do like a lot.
 

Blackman

Winghead
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West Virginia +4.5 1 unit------All about momentum in this one. Kinda late for a write up - just like the team coming in hot and can run the ball.
 

Blackman

Winghead
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Aug 31, 2003
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Tough day 0-3 thus far, looking to get back on the rebound.


Bowls 11-11 +1.5 units


USC/MICH over 13.5 first quarter 1 unit--------Two touchdowns in the first quarter is very likely in my opinion. USC will look to get out and set a fast pace and see if Michigan can run with them. Can't make a clear decision on either side so will wait and see if a 2H play presents itself.
 
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