boxing- upcoming fights- futures

[punchmaster]

Buzzkill- looks like Barrios has pulled out of his fight with JMM- he would have taken a beating anyways and he's been making 130 since his first fight many moons ago.

Bautista's defense (lack of) has me picking the power of Ponce. Ponce can take punishment- he's bound to get some and I can see Bautista eventually getting "Mayoled". Bautista needs some more polish before this type of fight. The crude Argentinian had Boom-Boom in trouble the last fight.

I love Jhonny Gonzalez- one of my favorite fighters who goes for it, but -1700, +800- that's a joke. Penalosa is a tough, polished southpaw hombre who had 122 pound Ponce backtracking huge saying no way I'm trading with this Phillipino. Jhonny showed great boxing skills in building a huge lead against Izzy before going for the kill and maybe the boxing skills plus Penalosa's age will be enough, but I don't think he should be more than a 4 to 1 favorite. Making 118 is no picnic for him either, that's why he took a shot at 122. 50 bucks for 400 in a throway bet.

Love Pavlik, nevermind the power, reach, chin, much smarter fighter than JT- ring intelligence to adjust/adapt

Floyd down to -260 on dimes.

Cotto/Mosley -120/-120

 

[Romi]

Agree with you on Bautista. As I mentioned in an earlier post, I wagered a hefty amount in his last go and I almost had a cardiac when he was nearly stopped. Ponce is very raw and amateurish but he can punch. I'm thinking Bautista can be winning the entire fight but if he gets clipped, it's over. I don't like either enough to wager. I think the odds are right on....tough call IMO.

My futures are Holt -140
Floyd - 280...going to jump on -260
Pac -320...I think MAB gets KTFO and retired in this one. At his very best, he'd have a rough go w/Pac and he's near the end.
Mosley is even? I was hoiping to get him @+200 or so. Another tough call but I like his chances better than Zabs. Mosley wins the early rds. Can he hold on in the late going???

 

[BOXLOCKS]

I put this parlay togethor...

Mayweather -260 / Cintron -1200 / Ibragimov -555...(-130 odds)...lay .65 to win .50


Btw, Gonzalez opened -1200 and has been bet up, I have him in a parlay with Cintron and Ibragimov

gl bl

 

[punchmaster]

Agree with you on

Floyd - 280...going to jump on -260
Pac -320...I think MAB gets KTFO and retired in this one. At his very best, he'd have a rough go w/Pac and he's near the end.
Mosley is even? I was hoiping to get him @+200 or so. Another tough call but I like his chances better than Zabs. Mosley wins the early rds. Can he hold on in the late going???

I've got some on Holt also, but I threw in those Diaz plus points parlays to bring in better than dollar for dollar.

I was tempted to grab some under 10.5 at a plus # on Paq fight, but why not wait for Paq inside the distance, might even be a better number

 

[MayorgaFan]

What's wrong with Barrios? I actually thought JMM had a good chance of stopping him.

 

[frank s.]

I see Cotto beating Mosley. Some lines today from Caesars Palace: Vargas-180-Mayorga+150; Pac-man-330-MAB+250; Peter-650-Maskaev+450; Calzaghe-160-Kessler+130; Taylor-110-Pavlik-110; PBF-280-Hatton+240.

 

[punchmaster]

I put this parlay togethor...

Mayweather -260 / Cintron -1200 / Ibragimov -555...(-130 odds)...lay .65 to win .50


Btw, Gonzalez opened -1200 and has been bet up, I have him in a parlay with Cintron and Ibragimov

gl bl

Gonzalez/Penalosa -750/+450 and dropping fast. Patience , BL, Patience. Damn, I should have piled more at +800

 

[BOXLOCKS]

Interesting line movement on this one, when I said it got bet up from -1200 I should've noted it was bet up to -1700...

I knew it opened -1200 so when I saw it move to -1300 I decided to get the parlay in before it got any higher. Sure enough, it moved to -1700 and I was happy to get down when I did. Now its down to -600...lol

Oh well, I can see why you think there's value in Penalosa at +800, but Gonzalez is no DeLeon. Gonzalez has a 4" height and reach advantage, he'll use his length combined with his boxing abilitly to dominate from the outside.


gl bl

 

[punchmaster]

Interesting line movement on this one, when I said it got bet up from -1200 I should've noted it was bet up to -1700...

I knew it opened -1200 so when I saw it move to -1300 I decided to get the parlay in before it got any higher. Sure enough, it moved to -1700 and I was happy to get down when I did. Now its down to -600...lol

Oh well, I can see why you think there's value in Penalosa at +800, but Gonzalez is no DeLeon. Gonzalez has a 4" height and reach advantage, he'll use his length combined with his boxing abilitly to dominate from the outside.
gl bl

Yes that is likely and that is why with +800 GP, and -600 JG, I'll just lock in a nice profit , but it might be a closer bout than you think. Penalosa is tough as nails so sounds like Jhonny by decision is a play to consider.

 

[Romi]

I like Jhonny in this one. I thought Penalosa put up a good scrap v Ponce but Jhonny is taller here and much stronger than Penalosa. Penalosa hit Ponce w/good shots but they didn't budge him. I think the same will happen here. I like the -600 for a good parlay strter.


I added Peter/Mascaev under -145 8 1/2 rds. Does anybody think the 38 yr old Mascaev will make it to rd 9? I'm kind of banking on Peter to be in good shape. If he is in the same shape as his last go then I don't give Mascaev a prayer. I think he's tailor made for Peter.

I also added Floyd @ -250!

My thinking for the good odds on Floyd could be a lingering result of Zags/Lacy. I honestly think the Brits are betting w/their hearts believing history will repeat. I'm not completely discounting Hatton pulling off the upset but I really think it's a -400 fight, if not wider.

 

[tonymontana]

I like Jhonny in this one. I thought Penalosa put up a good scrap v Ponce but Jhonny is taller here and much stronger than Penalosa. Penalosa hit Ponce w/good shots but they didn't budge him. I think the same will happen here. I like the -600 for a good parlay strter.


I added Peter/Mascaev under -145 8 1/2 rds. Does anybody think the 38 yr old Mascaev will make it to rd 9? I'm kind of banking on Peter to be in good shape. If he is in the same shape as his last go then I don't give Mascaev a prayer. I think he's tailor made for Peter.

I also added Floyd @ -250!

My thinking for the good odds on Floyd could be a lingering result of Zags/Lacy. I honestly think the Brits are betting w/their hearts believing history will repeat. I'm not completely discounting Hatton pulling off the upset but I really think it's a -400 fight, if not wider.

At these prices i like Penalosa and Maskaev. Gonzales coming down in weight and maybe hew gets tired in the later round and Penalosa will be there.
Maskaev has fought his way back into buisness with improved defense and boxing skills.
Additional he has fire power, you dont knock out Rahman twice by accident.
Also i am sure that he is well prepared and good conditioned comes fight night. Can you say the same about Peter ? Good for you.
I would play Maskaev at plus 300 no problem but plus 500 is just way to high.
Peter is crude and can be outboxed and Maskaev has the style and movement to do it. He moved allnight long against Sam and hit him with nice one two combos going backwards.
Maybe peters via Ko as a prop bet but if this goes the distance i like my chances.

 

[Zerwas]

At these prices i Maskaev has fought his way back into buisness with improved defense and boxing skills.
Additional he has fire power, you dont knock out Rahman twice by accident.
Also i am sure that he is well prepared and good conditioned comes fight night. Can you say the same about Peter ? Good for you.
I would play Maskaev at plus 300 no problem but plus 500 is just way to high.
Peter is crude and can be outboxed and Maskaev has the style and movement to do it. He moved allnight long against Sam and hit him with nice one two combos going backwards.
Maybe peters via Ko as a prop bet but if this goes the distance i like my chances.

I agree with you.

Peter has been saying that he will stop Maskaev early. He failed to pull the trigger against Wlad and he isnt always in shape...

Maskaev is a good boxer and his chin and defence looks a lot better than a few years before.

If Peter fails to get an earyl ko he might get outboxed.

I put some money on Maskaev by decision at +900, probably his only chance anyway and over 9 at 160% (bwin)....

 

[Zerwas]

5 dimes has some nice new bets online:

Taylor by deicsion +364

Barrera by decision +629

I'm anything but sure about the outcome of both fights, but I cannot see Pavlik or Pacman being koed easily and these lines are pretty good.

 

[Zerwas]

Juan will most probably beat his namesake...I dont like the odds though, only 35%.