MILWAUKEE BREWERS +155 - This play is all about one thing, and that is VALUE. Yes, the Pirates are off to a 5-1 start while Milwaukee stands at 0-6, but has Pittsburgh done enough to warrant being this big of a favorite over anyone? Kip Wells exceeded expectations last season, but his first start this year was nothing special, as he allowed 4 earned runs and 9 Men on Base in 6 innings vs. the Reds. Also, the last time Wells faced the Brewers, he was touched up for 9 hits and 1 walk in 6 innings in a wild 17-10 Pirates win last August. Sure, Rusch was also lit up in his first start this year. However, he has had some success vs. the Pirates recently, recording 6 Quality Starts in his last 8 starts against them. I feel that if these teams play this game 100 times, Pittsburgh would emerge on top a MAXIMUM of 55% of the time. Therefore, I will gladly take the +155 in this spot.
