kc is favored by 3. question for the panel... is that the line assuming mahomes plays? or does that line assume mahomes is out? or is that line going to move one way or the other whenever an announcement is made declaring him the starter or out of the game? any thoughts?
i'm playing kc either way. well, more specifically, i'm playing against buffalo.
i don't think kc loses much with henne. i know, i know, i'm insane. but that is just my cross to bear. also, i have a long history of winning money by betting the backup qb in his first start.
so if this line assumes mahomes is playing, then i should wait to bet it, because it will drop if he's out and it won't move much off of 3 if he's playing.
for perspective, kc was laying 5.5 at buffalo the first matchup. obviously home field wasn't worth much this year. but it's ridiculous/suspicious that kc is laying less at home than they were on the road. the more i think about that, the more i think kc -3 is the line assuming henne is playing.
a couple quick thoughts on why i'm betting kc:
the way to beat kc is by grinding out long drives with the running game. buffalo didn't even TRY to run the ball against a baltimore team that wasn't very good against the run this year. throwing the ball plays to the strength of the kc defense.
tied to that point... even if buffalo has the lead in the 4th quarter, the lack of a running game means they will struggle to put the game away.
i know his numbers are a lot better this year, but i simply don't trust josh allen in a big game.
soooo... how's everybody been?
i'm playing kc either way. well, more specifically, i'm playing against buffalo.
i don't think kc loses much with henne. i know, i know, i'm insane. but that is just my cross to bear. also, i have a long history of winning money by betting the backup qb in his first start.
so if this line assumes mahomes is playing, then i should wait to bet it, because it will drop if he's out and it won't move much off of 3 if he's playing.
for perspective, kc was laying 5.5 at buffalo the first matchup. obviously home field wasn't worth much this year. but it's ridiculous/suspicious that kc is laying less at home than they were on the road. the more i think about that, the more i think kc -3 is the line assuming henne is playing.
a couple quick thoughts on why i'm betting kc:
the way to beat kc is by grinding out long drives with the running game. buffalo didn't even TRY to run the ball against a baltimore team that wasn't very good against the run this year. throwing the ball plays to the strength of the kc defense.
tied to that point... even if buffalo has the lead in the 4th quarter, the lack of a running game means they will struggle to put the game away.
i know his numbers are a lot better this year, but i simply don't trust josh allen in a big game.
soooo... how's everybody been?
