Canada-Russia final...

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All Betting is for regulation Time Only (60 minutes). World Junior Championship
Canada -500 5? o-167 -? -222
Russia +300 +125 +145

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A Canada-Russia final is a sexy prospect for any Canadian hockey fan, given the storied hockey history between the two countries dating back to the Summit Series of 1972.

Canada and Russia are becoming almost regular combatants for gold at the world junior hockey championship as they will meet in the final for the third time in four years Tuesday and for the fourth time in the last seven.

Russia beat Canada for gold in 1999, 2002 and 2003. While Canada has won the most recent Olympic men's and women's gold medals and men's and women's world championships, the world junior title has become an elusive jewel in the international hockey crown.

Canada has finished second the last three years and last won gold in 1997, which capped a run of five straight gold.




''We've been on the podium the last number of years, but we've not been able to win the gold medal,'' Hockey Canada president Bob Nicholson said. ''It would certainly be the one prize that we're looking for here tomorrow.''

There are a dozen players on this Canadian team that were 20 minutes from winning gold in Helsinki last year before U.S. scored three goals to win 4-3.

The veterans have steadfastly refused to draw comparisons between this year and last year, but there was a lesson to be learned there.

''No one is really thinking about what happened last year, but at the same time, we know what we've got to do now,'' captain Michael Richards said.

The final will come down to Russia's offence against Canada's defence, special teams and goaltending.

Canada's mantra at this tournament has been defence first and that will be especially important with Russia, against whom you play a run-and-gun game at your peril.

''Everything is really important tomorrow from a defensive standpoint,'' Richards said. ''We've got to try and limit their time and space like we've done the past couple games and really not letting them gain the blue-line and giving them too much room to make some plays because they can do some things with the puck that are pretty amazing.

''We've got to try and shut that down.''

Russian winger Alexander Ovechkin and centre Evgeni Malkin, the top two picks in last year's NHL draft, play on two different forward lines and will give Canada's defence a run for its money. Watch for iron-shouldered Canadian defenceman Dion Phaneuf to be on the ice whenever Ovechkin is.

Canada must stay out of the penalty box as the Russians lead all countries with 10 power-play goals. If the Canadians are going to play a low-risk game offensively, they must take advantage any time a Russian is in the penalty box.

That is where 17-year-old Sidney Crosby comes in as the Rimouski Oceanic forward has been at his most dangerous when Canada is up a man. He leads Canada in power-play goals with five.

Whenever it comes down to a one-game-takes-all, goaltending is pivotal. While Jeff Glass hasn't seen a lot of shots so far in this tournament, the Kootenay Ice netminder has faced even fewer quality scoring chances from opposing teams because of the smothering defence in front of him.

Ovechkin more or less challenged Glass when he said: ''They (Canada) have good forwards and good defence. Nobody knows about their goalie so we have to prove our forwards are better.''

Responded Glass: ''I'm not going to get wound up about what he says. He's proven himself. He's the first overall pick. He's a great hockey player. I'm not going to get caught up in all that stuff.''

Russian goaltender Anton Khudobin was the key player in his team's two wins over the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League all-stars in November. Both games went to a shootout and he didn't give up a goal in either one before he was recalled to his Russian club team.

''He played unbelievable,'' said Crosby, who didn't play in those games because of injury. ''He was the reason they won those two games. He kept them in the game the whole time. We're going to be tested there as well. We're going to have to make sure we're driving the net.''

This Canadian team is the most mature and talented junior squad the country has had in a long time because of the NHL lockout and a spike in talent of players born in 1985.

Canadian head coach Brent Sutter has preached being ''mentally strong'' throughout the tournament.

''It's important for us to stay controlled,'' he said. ''The kids have been great about that right from the get-go. That's the mental toughness part of it.''

Expectations have been high for this team and Sutter doesn't expect that pressure will prevent his team from performing.

''Pressure, whatever you want to call it, it's a great challenge and with great challenges come great opportunities,'' he said.

Tuesday's game will be close to a home game for Canada. Hundreds of fans are expected to commandeer the 11,700-seat Ralph Engelstad Arena because the U.S. isn't in the final.

''I think the first couple of minutes we're going to feed off their emotion, the adrenaline from the crowd,'' Richards said.
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Walling: Canada's turn for the gold

TSN.ca Staff


Well, we're here again, same place as last year and the year before that and the year before that one.

Yes. It's gold medal time at the world juniors and look who is in the big game again. It's Canada.

Seems that we are always in the big game and that by itself is, in this columnist's opinion, is a gargantuan accomplishment.

But, I may be in the minority or certainly there is a vocal faction of hockey fans or more (hockey diehards, hockey fantatiscs, etc) who don't believe that this country being in the gold medal game is a big deal.




"We should be there," says one or "not only should Canada be there but we are expected to win", says another.

These quotes and many, many more from the world juniors of the past two years including one that I covered here in Halifax seem to be common.

In the Halifax final (2003) the ratings indicated that over 3.4 million fans watched the game. Those are the highest ratings ever recorded by TSN. In other words this WJHC is a big deal, a very big deal for Canadians.

Our opponents once again are the Russians. Other than last season, they seem to be the team we play in the gold medal game.

So, what will decide the outcome of this game? The answer, unless we get a rare gold medal blowout, is goaltending.

In the past three gold medal encounters we have not received it. And in a way that is a shame because we did get it prior to the final.

In 2002 Pascal Leclaire did have a very good series, winning all his starts, until the final game.

In that contest both starting goalies were shaky and it is the Russians who made the switch to the back-up and that moved proved to be the biggest factor as they came back and took the final.

Two years ago the story of the tourney heading into the final was the young kid, someone who came very close to NOT making this team as he was hidden in the depths of Cape Breton, goaling for the Screaming Eagles. This guy didn't get an invite to the summer camp and if it wasn't a great performance in one of those inter league games (Q vs OHL) very few would have known of Marc-Andre Fleury.

From his first foray into the Halifax Metro Centre when training camp started until the third period of that Gold Medal final he was the star.

Canada went from a 2-1 lead to a 3-2 loss and in hindsight the Russian team with a young Alexander Ovechkin was strong and solid and very hard to move from the puck, both in the corners and around the net.

It is Fleury who kept the game close but that is as far as it got and we know ?close, is not good enough'. Canadians wanted Fleury to ?steal the game'. He came close but not close enough.

Last year proved what often happens in sports and that is one person cannot magically carry the skills, talent or impetus from one year to the other.

Reason says that last year Fleury, now a vet with team Canada would be older, wiser, more experienced and therefore better than the kid he was in Halifax.

In fact he was on loan from Pittsburgh, where he was the rookie of the month in the NHL for October. He was also the NHL's first overall draft choice.

But logic doesn't always apply.

Marc-Andre did not have a good camp and was nowhere as sharp as he was the year before. In fact it was a rare case where he was almost guaranteed the starting goalie's job. What coach is going to start the star of the last world junior's and the NHL rookie of the month (October) on the bench?

Maybe Brent Sutter might have?

Fleury simply didn't have a good tourney, was nowhere near as sharp and while this country ended up in the gold medal game and, as in Halifax the year before, had the lead after 40 minutes. Again Canada lost.

In fact Canada's dominance in the round robin is great but it does have one major effect and that is the goalies don't get tested.

Fleury in Halifax was and nearly stole the gold medal but last year he wasn't as our country simply wiped everyone in the round robin.

So from Pascal Leclaire, to Marc-Andre Fleury we now have Jeff Glass.

He has impressive credentials with his team the Kootenay Ice (WHL) including a sudden death fourth overtime win in last years playoffs.

He impressed the scouts and the head coach Brent Sutter in training camp but he has yet to impress a nation.

And that is not his fault.

He has not been tested.

In fact many fans I am sure and the team in particular couldn't care less if he impressed anyone. That would mean the Russians couldn't get through Canada's nearly impregnable defense.

How good is this defense?

Ask the Czechs, who with their NHL draft laden line-up got all of 11 shots on Glass.

11 shots!

That is not a misprint and that included the paltry amount of four shots in the last period.

With that defense and the forwards fore-checking ferociously maybe a midget goalie would win for our country.

As for the Russians, it's the same old story. We in this country follow every move of the juniors from selection camp to those exhibition games to the round robin but we hear so little about the Russians.

They must be good having won a few gold medals of late and they have a Sidney Crosby of their own, the current NHL top overall draft choice, in this Ovechkin kid. I met the kid two years ago in Halifax and he looked sharp and poised and let's never forget, he loves this game as much as any Canadian.

At times we do don't think of that fact.

We as Canadians live and breathe this sport and know of all the up-and-coming juniors but for many on the Russian side of the equation this is their moment in the sun. Many I am sure view this final game as their way to ?merchandise themselves for the draft'. As a result of lifestyles this game may mean more to them than to our kids.

As for a winner?

I'm one of those who don't believe that this country has to win gold in curling and hockey.

Especially in hockey.

I've realized, since I went to Moscow for the Team Canada ? Soviet series in 1972, that the Russians and Europeans are very good. If one is looking for proof, all they need is to look at the top NHL scorers over the past decade. More often than not, Europeans not Canadians dominate.


I'm also a believer in the ?Alex J odds system" which means that if two teams are very close as the final competition usually is then the more often one gets into a gold medal game the better chance you have to win it.

One could quote the Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings and say they are 0-4 in the Superbowl competition.

I would rather quote the Denver Broncos who were 0-4 but then won back-to back titles.

It's also not like Canada hasn't won this event before. It just seems, after the drive for five that an eternity has passed.

Maybe we are not good at being runner-up, over and over, and over again.

Canada has a very strong team, one of the best in recent years but we've lost to the Russians twice and the USA in past gold medal contests.

But to win gold you have to give yourself a chance and we have done that again this year.

The more we make it to the finals the closer we are to winning, with or without a superlative goaltending effort.

We are due.

Correct that, we are overdue.

For TSN.CA, I'm Alex J.Walling
 
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