CAPPERS MUST SEE..MUST..

gsp

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Since I have a little time on my hands and don't intend to play the Toledo game I thought I would look at it. First, one of the criteria I use shows the dog covered 11-2 last 13. I also saw Toledo play Vanderbilt. They came back strong and I believe Vand could beat NC Wilm by double digits. The 11-2 thing makes me almost want to add this to what I'm already playing but my plate is pretty full with NBA, NCAA and hockey. If Toledo covers tonight I'll be on this play tomorrow. Good luck whichever way you go.
 

Agent 0659

:mj07:
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Strange but Toledo was sticking out as a play to me, was just waiting to see what the line does but I only grazed things this morning. Watching some games from last night and will cap in a while.

:shrug: :shrug:


I can't make myself play Toldeo in this but that is who I would take if you forced me.

GL guys
 

tig3rs

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Funny, the NY POST line has NC Wilm -2 before all the line changing took place. The Post line is usually off a point or 2 though.

Just information to digest...... Whats everyone else think?


wow, line's up to 9. i'm likin it even more.
 

TONYDAHORSE

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I wonder if this game comes up on the Blastoff Radar. You know the system that preaches "If a line should be 5 but its 10, then why are you laying the 10". Seems to fit into that category. :shrug:
 

tig3rs

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i'm still confused with that system. i kinda understand the end logic--now, i'm not really sure how he came up with the theory, it seems really backwards to be able to come up w/ it--but i have a tough time seeing how he determines the plays. if he thinks the line is off in one direction it's a play but if it's off the other it's a no play. idk... anyways... that is a good question
 

chump

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what an absolute meltdown for NCW

up 17 and no cover

****
 

tig3rs

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can't believe it. saw the halftime score on my phone at dinner... what a meltdown. at home nonetheless. oh well. couple others turning out very well. great discussion today. i love it.
 

TONYDAHORSE

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I know the ppg etc etc favors NC Wilm but the above information makes me think its not such a slam dunk. Funny, the NY POST line has NC Wilm -2 before all the line changing took place. The Post line is usually off a point or 2 though.



Looks Like they were off 2 points this time....... I knew this seemed too good to be true. Hopefully everybody didn't go to heavy on this game.
 

Old School

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I tried to make very clear that while I believed this was a great spot to bang a game that handicapping is certainly not my expertise.I surely hope no one was crippled by my over zealousness for the match-up.Yes, I understand that it is each and every persons responsibility to cap the games themselves.But at the same time we like to put faith in a forum members breakdown of a game.
I broke the cardinal rule of wagering..Never ever place too much emphasis on one game..Anything can happen and if it is that wrong spot it will.
Got caught by a near total meltdown by the better team who led by 15 in the 2nd half w/the chance to bury their opponet and didn't.

In the future I will be more reserved in my like or dislike for a given game.

Best of luck to all and a hell of a lot better luck than in this contest.
 

TONYDAHORSE

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Old School,

Money Management is the key to success in this area. Everyone has a different approach. I play one or 2 games I feel are strong plays and spend a lot of time looking at. I play 2 units on these plays unless they are very strong then its 4 or 5 units. Occasionally a 10 unit play but rare. If I don't have the time, its a non play unless there is something that stands out so much that warrants a play at first glance which happens occasionally. Never throw big money on those plays. Others play the #s game, that is play a number of games at 1 unit and a game or 2 larger. The trick is don't bet more than 10% of your bankroll on any one game. You last longer, have a better chance of winning, and enjoy more of the season that way. Lets face it we aren't going to retire doing this so just try to keep it fun. We can't pick winners all the time and strive for 60%. I got burned many times throwing big bets on the sure fire winner. I learned the hard way. MONEY MANAGEMENT. Bounce back, regroup and get it back. GL today man!!!
 

Wineguy

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Old School....look at it this way, you put 5 times your normal wager on this game, which isn't that bad when you think about it. You can get that back with a few good nights of 3-1, 4-2, etc. It's not like you went 10 or 20 times normal. You will get it back, sir.:Yep:
 

BUCSnotYUCKS

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Old School....look at it this way, you put 5 times your normal wager on this game, which isn't that bad when you think about it. You can get that back with a few good nights of 3-1, 4-2, etc. It's not like you went 10 or 20 times normal. You will get it back, sir.:Yep:

Well said.

Oh, and I agree too. Great picture :00hour
 
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