***CARTERSCUBS 2010 Season Thread

[CartersCubs]

WEEK 1:

WEEK 1:

Week 1: Started bad, but ended on a positive note.

Thursday: 0-2 (-100.00)

Sunday/Monday: 5-2-1 (+78.49)

Total: 5-4-1 (-21.51)

 

[CartersCubs]

Maybe I was a little embarrassed by this bet, but I don't know why I waited so long to post these 2 season long bets:

Chiefs Over 6.5 WINS (-140)
- Risk 35 to win 25

Chiefs to win AFC West (+750)
- Risk 25 to win 187.50

I was pretty sure they would win at least 7 games, and knowing the issues the Chargers have had this offseason I decided to somewhat "hedge" my divisional bet for the opportunity to win over 200. (assuming at least 7 wins will win the division)

Here is my proof of my bet:

 

[bleedingpurple]

Maybe I was a little embarrassed by this bet, but I don't know why I waited so long to post these 2 season long bets:

Chiefs Over 6.5 WINS (-140)
- Risk 35 to win 25

Chiefs to win AFC West (+750)
- Risk 25 to win 187.50

I was pretty sure they would win at least 7 games, and knowing the issues the Chargers have had this offseason I decided to somewhat "hedge" my divisional bet for the opportunity to win over 200. (assuming at least 7 wins will win the division)

Here is my proof of my bet:

We believe ya.. I have the Chiefs over as well.. At least this win puts them in the right direction for the division. Passing game will need to get better but last night was not great passing conditions.

 

[CartersCubs]

We believe ya.. I have the Chiefs over as well.. At least this win puts them in the right direction for the division. Passing game will need to get better but last night was not great passing conditions.

I just was proving my bet to relieve any doubters. The passing game does need to get better. I just hope the defense can continue to play with that much energy.

 

[CartersCubs]

WEEK 1 TALLY

WEEK 1 TALLY

Teasers
1-0 +50.00

Medium plays ($50)
0-2 -100.42

Small plays ($20)
4-2-1 +28.91

Bodoglive
3-1 +54.98

Week 1 Total:
8-5-1 +33.47

**to calculate percent what do I do with the ties?

wins/losses = 61.5%

 

[CartersCubs]

Week 2: HERE WE COME!

Week 2: HERE WE COME!

Locked in this 2 team teaser

Packers -6
Falcons pk
Risk $100 to win $76.92

Week 2 Singles

Chiefs +3
Washington +3
Bengals -3

don't know the values yet but this is what i'm liking so far

 

[CartersCubs]

adding another teaser:

California +10
Purdue -4 (vs. Ball State)
Packers -1
Falcons +6

Risk 25 to win 20.83 LOSS

 

[CartersCubs]

WEEK 2: ALL OR NONE

WEEK 2: ALL OR NONE

Locked in these 2 team teasers

Packers -6
Falcons pk
$100 to win $76.92 WIN NOT COUNTING THE MONEY, BUT WILL COUNT THE WIN BECAUSE IT WAS ON BET JAMAICA AND A FREE BET, which doesn't give my 100 back, just the 76.92.

Packers -7
Cowboys -1/2
$130 to win $100 LOSS

Packers -7
Eagles pk
$130 to win 100 WIN

5-team Parlay
Chiefs ML +145 WIN
Raiders ML -170 WIN
Broncos ML -180 WIN
Redskins +3 PUSH
49ers ML +210
$17.33 to win $578.84

Week 2 Singles

Chiefs +3
$80 to win $76.19 WIN

Washington +3 (amount changes due to early games)
Oakland -3 (amount changes due to early games)

BOL everyone! :0008

 

[CartersCubs]

passing on the afternoon games.... 3-1 in the 1st round of games

 

[CartersCubs]

Friday: 0-1 -50.00
Sunday: 3-1 +46.19

 

[CartersCubs]

MNF PUBLIC MONEY!

MNF PUBLIC MONEY!

My data shows:

79% on Saints -6
80% on the Over 43.5

Looks like I'll be fading tonight!!!!!

Will be back before the start of the game to post my play!

BOL everyone tonight! :0008

 

[elmer fudd]

like saints and under..straight/parlay/teaser...bol:0008

 

[CartersCubs]

HERES MY MNF BET!

HERES MY MNF BET!

Reggie Bush No TD in game -210

$210 to win $100 LOSS 2009-2010 he scored in 8 out of 18 games.


San Francisco 49ers +3 (1st Half) & Under 21.2 (1st Half) WIN

$50 to win $140.59


I've got a 5 team parlay still alive with SF ML +210. :scared

 

[CartersCubs]

i bet the Saints ML -245

$42.46 to win my money back $17.33

 

[CartersCubs]

crazy 1st half!!!!!

Lose $210 in the first few min with the Bush TD then hit 12 straight Live bets and make back $177.50.

 

[CartersCubs]

lost my parlay with the SF loss but won my money back with the Saints ML.

 

[the addict]

CC, not sure if it is good or bad, but colin cowherd picked the colts again this week as his big game. I listen to his show everyday at work (actually like the guy unlke a lot of ppl), and he said colts -5 is his fav. Last weeek he said his big plays were colts at home vs. the giants and nebraska vs. washington. pretty much nailed both of those....I usually cap my own games, but curious what your thoughts are on the denver/indy game since i knw you watch them all...you agree with cowherd think indy wins in a blowout....best of luck like always

 

[sds222]

I wonder how much emotion Denver will be playing with, I would expect them to be very inspired with the suicide death of McKinley. Something to think about for sure.

 

[CartersCubs]

CC, not sure if it is good or bad, but colin cowherd picked the colts again this week as his big game. I listen to his show everyday at work (actually like the guy unlke a lot of ppl), and he said colts -5 is his fav. Last weeek he said his big plays were colts at home vs. the giants and nebraska vs. washington. pretty much nailed both of those....I usually cap my own games, but curious what your thoughts are on the denver/indy game since i knw you watch them all...you agree with cowherd think indy wins in a blowout....best of luck like always

I'll have to agree with you about Cowherd. He's normally spot on with his insight in college football and NFL. I don't know why more people don't like him more, but his show sportsnation is by far my favorite show on ESPN.

Ok enough about colin, and more about the cardiac colts...

For me i'm extremely biased when it comes to the colts, and I rarely bet on the game unless its week 1 or week 17. As for this game in particular I think the key to Indy covering is all about the defense. If they play fired up and can somewhat stop the run, then they have a chance. I think the divisional teams have an advantage against the Colts when it comes to exposing their weaknesses, which is why I believe they will cover against the Broncos.

I don't have time right now to post a list of what I like and dislike about the game, but I will in the next day or so...

 

[CartersCubs]

----Okay I'm back. sorry addict about the lateness of my post, but keeping my 3.9 in college comes first before Madjack, unfortunately. Now I have some time in between classes and can finally post on your question about the colts/broncos game this week.
Here's a couple things to ponder before playing the game: (I will add more as the week goes on but here's just a start)

Likes:
1. Peyton Manning vs. Broncos Defense: Since 1998, the Colts are 7-2 against the Broncos. For my data I'm throwing away one game because it was a meaningless week 17 and Manning spend over 3 quarters watching the Broncos destroy 2nd & 3rd stringers 33-14. I'm also throwing out the 2 playoff games because as everyone knows, the regular season is completely different than the post season (btw I'm not throwing this out because Peyton's numbers are better in the regular season compared to the post season. If you look at his playoff stats against the Broncos he has done very well.) ........ time is up! will continue after class :facepalm:

Dislikes:
1. Colts are a good road team, well kinda: Over the last 2 regular seasons (2008-2009) they have gone 13-2 on the road SU. Yes, I know that only adds up to 15 games because I'm excluding last years buffalo game in week 17 because the practice squad played the bills for over 3 quarters. In the 13 wins, Indy has won by an average of 9.38ppg. In the 2 losses, Indy has lost by an average of 15ppg. So based on this data, if you think the Colts are going to win the line won't matter because it is only 6 pts right now and they have an average road win of 9.38 points. Sounds pretty good, right? This data is a quite misleading and here's why:
61% (8/13) of these 13 road wins have come by 4 points or less.
15% (2/13) were between 7-20pts
23% (3/13) were by 21+

**And if you add in the 2 losses by the Colts, they win by less then 6pts or lose 67% of the time in the last 2 seasons.

So yes, while the Colts may be a good road team winning almost 87% of their road games in the last 2 years, the majority of the time it is by only a few points.