75 DIME - FLORIDA GATORS - The more I looked at this game the more I realized the Gators were the right side of this game.
Let's us start with the fact this line is -13 (as I post this analysis). Who does that tell you Vegas is begging you to bet? Exactly, Cincinnati.
Next, the Bearcats shouldn't be here. Pitt should be, and the determining factor for me is the fact the Gators are going to be able to do anything they want offensively.
Urban Meyer and his announcement has got to inspire this Gator team and I believe it will.
Tim Tebow playing his last game and you had better believe he will go out a winner.
The Gators defensive coordinator Strong will coach his last game here before departing for Louisville and with his entire defense back from last year, this may be their best game.
The Bearcats haven't seen this type of pressure from a front 7 all year long and when your offensive line is going to get overwhelmed to the level they are, long day for Tony Pike.
He didn't look all that good against Pitt and trust me, the pressure he sees here is the most he will have seen all year.
Just look at Cincy down the stretch.
They struggled to beat Uconn at home 47-45, how about West Virginia at home 24-21 followed by a 13 point win over Illinois and then finally Pitt 45-44.
I want you to think about this for one moment. The UConn Huskies came into your house and put up 45 points on you. That was UConn! I'm talking about a motivated Florida team here.
A few years ago Hawaii played Georgia in the Sugar bowl with Colt Brennan and his high scoring offense, and Hawaii got blown out because Brennan had no time to throw.
Guess what, the same will be said about Pike when this game has come and gone.
Gators will win this game by 17 points or more.
25 DIME - NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS - Way too many points here.
I respect Auburn and what they have done this year, and the improvements they have made - but covering this number is a too much for them to bite off.
As impressive as Wisconsin was against Miami-Florida, and to know this Northwestern team beat them at home tells me a lot about the Wildcats.
This is a team that played their best ball down the stretch with a 17-10 win at Iowa, a 21-16 win at Illinois, and a 33-31 win over the Badgers.
The Tigers come in off the near-miss win over Alabama, and now look for bowl success and they might have a bit more speed but this is a live dog here.
In the last 2 years Northwestern has been a dog 13 times and they got the money in 10 of those 13 games, with 8 outright upsets.
That is good enough for me as the Wildcats get the job done here and cover the number.
25 DIME - FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES - Going to war with the Seminoles.
First and foremost, just not a believer in West Virginia nor anything they did all year long.
They come into this game here averaging just under 21 points over their last 5 games and the fact of the matter is I just don't trust Brown at QB for the Mountaineers.
Away from home this WVU team was just 1-3 ATS, and with all the hype surrounding this being Bowden's last game, I will go to war with that hype here.
The Seminoles come in here off a loss to the Gators and if you thought that leaves them in a letdown situation, think again, as Florida State is 10-1 SU and ATS after losing to Florida.
Lastly add the fact the ACC is a rock solid 13-3 ATS versus the Big East and for my buck, it's about Florida State this afternoon.
Been a great run Bobby, take your lap around the winners circle and enjoy being retired.
25 DIME - OHIO STATE BUCKEYES - I will roll the dice with Jim Tressel as a dog anytime anywhere.
The Buckeyes excel in the underdog role, going 4-1 ATS last 5 times getting points winning 3 of those games outright.
