Celtics vs Heat

JT Sneaks

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Everyone is calling for this series to be over with and I can't say I blame them. The Celtics look old and the Heat look focused, but.......there are a few things that bother me about the heat tonight...

Celtics are a consensus favorite yet the line is going up, --conspiracy theorists, your up---

The Heat have dominated the two games in South Beach and the Celtics will need a player to stand up for this game...not Rondo (who should be benched) not SHAQ, who should hang it up...but

BIG BABY:shrug:

now to ask a guy to come back from the dead who has been sleeping throughout the playoffs is a bit much, but he can make it happen.

When he was attacking the rim in the very few instances that he has in the series he has gotten results.

KG always rises to the occasion for these sort of games and that will open up the middle and I may be the only guy not upset with how J.O. is playing, sure he is old, but he gives it his all....he takes charges, goes to the basket on offense and is possibly the other X-factor.

This game will be physical--win or lose the Celtics will go out swinging. The Celtics have had problems on help defense on the weak side which equals bad fouls and the Heat have zero discipline on the fast break, defensively speaking.

Through in a "T" here and there and a defensive technical for not rotating on both ends and this game will go over

OVER 92 f/h
OVER 181


Now after picking the over in this game I will say this, watch the Celtics defense in the first ten seconds of the shot clock.

The Celtics will change up the approach and pressure early not allowing the Heat to set up the offense until precious seconds have ticked off the clock.

The Celtics won't be intimidated and they won't be desperate although the situation would suggest that is exactly what should happen.

The Celtics will shoot an high percentage in the first half because their execution will be on point.

Halftime Prediction: 52- 47 (Boston)

For once in this series, expect a close game, the Heat are a three team crew and the emphasis on defense against Wade/James will allow this game to be lopsided.

Bosh will not have a good game tonight and expect him to go back into his shell. This game goes down to the wire and the Celtics win and advance.

Celtics +4
Celtics +7.5
Celtics ML +315

Final Prediction: 102- 99



JT :0corn Sneaks
 

umf1

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BOL.
I dont see it going down like that. Either does the books. Using the same theory as LA down 3-0 is a bankroll
 

umf1

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Nice to hear---how do the books see it going down?

Just like last night offering -9.5.
Books offering +7.5 tonight. Highest number in the series yet. Boston is out of gas. The end of game 4 was the nail in the coffin.

%'s are closer to 55 on Boston.

I wish you luck as always. May you cover tonight.
 

JT Sneaks

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Yeah I get it and I am big on going against the public, consensus and all of those angles but don't be confused by consensus and money----

also consensus is a tool---just one that can be used and like all other tools its not 100% correct and i think that is the case tonight, but best of luck on your play


:0008 Sneaks
 

jeremy51

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Yeah I get it and I am big on going against the public, consensus and all of those angles but don't be confused by consensus and money----

also consensus is a tool---just one that can be used and like all other tools its not 100% correct and i think that is the case tonight, but best of luck on your play


:0008 Sneaks

:0008 :0008

Nice call on the 1st half.
let's keep it going in the 2nd half.
 

umf1

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Great call 1H. Are you confident in the game bet or going to hedge with Miami 2H ?
 

JT Sneaks

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I am sticking with the Celtics. The %'s do not call for it, but the Celts have got nothing out of Pierce and are still in the lead and KG is playing with a drive. Green showed up late and Rondo has to get points or get out..

the non-Big 3 for the Heat are not doing enough...


JT :0008
 
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