Central Michigan at Ball State

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Central Michigan at Ball State

Central Michigan at Ball State (+16.5)

The Mid American Conference continues to bask under the ESPN lights Wednesday night when Central Michigan (8-2, 6-0) travels to Muncie to meet Ball State (1-9, 1-5) in an West Division battle at Scheumann Stadium. The game is televised on ESPNU.

The Chippewas opened as a 17-point favorite and the line has since moved to ?17.5.

Tonight?s forecast

There is a 70-percent chance of rain, with temperatures in the mid-40s. Winds out of the east at 10 mph.

On the Ball

Under first year coach Stan Parrish, the one-win Cardinals have done a complete 180 degree U-turn from last season?s 12-win team. Ball State?s only victory came against winless Eastern Michigan on Oct. 24, a game in which BSU rushed the ball for 463 yards.

That was the first start for QB Tanner Justice, the backup who replaced injured Kelly Page. Justice, who passed for one-yard in his debut against EMU, had his best game against Northern Illinois last week, completing 11-of-19 passes for a career-best 134 yards. Justice threw for 79 yards in his first two starts.

"I've seen him improve," Cardinals coach Stan Parrish said. "He does what you tell him to do. He manages our team, and that's all we can ask right now."

RB MiQuale Lewis leads the team in rushing with 792 yards on 152 attempts, good for an average of 5.2 yards per carry. Lewis had a monster game against Eastern Michigan, rushing for 301 yards on 26 carries. The 5-6 senior tailback has gained 113 yards on the ground in his last two contests.

WR Briggs Orsbon leads the receiving corps with 46 receptions. After back-to-back 10-catch efforts against Temple and Bowling Green, Orsbon has been held in check the past three games with nine total receptions.

Mistakes have killed the Cardinals, who committed nine penalties in each of the past two games.

Chips away

What a difference a year makes. Central Michigan is 6-0 in conference play for the second year in a row. Last year the Chippewas dropped their final two conference games ? to Ball State and Eastern Michigan.

After a brief hangover from its loss at Boston College, the Chippewas scored 49 consecutive points en route a 56-28 blowout win over Toledo last week.

CMU fell behind for the first time this season against a MAC team, but roared back with seven straight touchdowns as they moved closer to another West Division title. Twenty-eight of the points came off turnovers.

Quarterback Dan LeFevour, who has completed 70 percent of his passes this season, completed 16 consecutive passes against the Rockets and tossed two touchdown passes to move into 16th place in NCAA history with 92. The future NFL QB also scored four rushing touchdowns to become CMU's all-time rushing touchdowns leader with 45 in his illustrious career.

Wide receiver Antonio Brown, who leads the team with 69 receptions for 734 yards and eight TDs, showed no ill-effects from an injury suffered at Boston College. Brown caught 13 passes for 129 yards.

Central Michigan head coach Butch Jones looks forward to tonight?s contest.

?Any chance you get to play on center stage on national television, the only game on, you're selling your product. That's why it was critical that the product be seen by everyone? Any chance you get to sell your program is critical.?

Ugly stat of the week

Ball State coach Parrish is 3-40-1 SU as a head coach at the Division-1 FBS level. Inside those numbers Parrish is 6-12 ATS in lined home games, including 1-11 ATS versus .500 or less opposition and 5-1 ATS versus opponents with a winning record.

From the archives

Home teams on Wednesdays are 26-13-1 ATS during the regular season, including 3-0 this season and 10-2 the last two years.

Central Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last five visits to Muncie.
 

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LOKI
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Preview:
Central Michigan at Ball State
When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Where: Ball State Stadium, Muncie, Indiana

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Ball State Cardinals are ranked 109 on offense, averaging 307.0 yards per game. The Cardinals are averaging 163.2 yards rushing and 143.8 yards passing so far this season.

The Central Michigan Chippewas are ranked 45 on offense, averaging 402.5 yards per game. The Chippewas are averaging 169.7 yards rushing and 232.8 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Ball State Cardinals are 0-5 at home this season, 1-5 against conference opponents and 0-4 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Cardinals are averaging 18.0 scoring, and holding teams to 26.2 points scored on defense.

The Central Michigan Chippewas are 4-2 while on the road this season, 6-0 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Chippewas are averaging 20.5 scoring, and holding teams to 20.5 points scored on defense.
 

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Trends - Central Michigan at Ball State

Trends - Central Michigan at Ball State

Trends - Central Michigan at Ball State

ATS Trends

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Chippewas are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 conference games.
Chippewas are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 18-6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite.
Chippewas are 37-15-3 ATS in their last 55 games overall.
Chippewas are 21-9-2 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 23-10-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 road games.
Chippewas are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.


Ball State

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Cardinals are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.


OU Trends

Central Michigan

Under is 4-0 in Chippewas last 4 road games.
Under is 5-0 in Chippewas last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-0 in Chippewas last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 7-1 in Chippewas last 8 games in November.
Under is 4-1 in Chippewas last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-1 in Chippewas last 5 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Chippewas last 5 games as a road favorite.
Under is 7-2 in Chippewas last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 13-6 in Chippewas last 19 vs. a team with a losing record.


Ball State

Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games.
Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games in November.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 conference games.
Under is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.


Head to Head

Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ball State.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
 

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LOKI
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Aug 30, 2002
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Ball State Cardinals (1-4) (0-3 H) vs Central Michigan Chippewas (4-2) (3-2 A)

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, November 18

Stadium: Ball St Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Central Michigan Chippewas HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 4 - 0 4 - 2 8 - 2 3 - 0 4 - 2 7 - 2 3 - 0 1 - 4 4 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 0 2 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 0 2 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 0 0 - 3 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 3 - 0 6 - 0 3 - 0 2 - 1 5 - 1 3 - 0 0 - 3 3 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Ball State Cardinals HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 0 - 5 1 - 4 1 - 9 1 - 3 4 - 1 5 - 4 1 - 2 2 - 3 3 - 5
Last 5 games 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 5 1 - 2 2 - 1 3 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 4
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Central Michigan Chippewas 2 - 1 2 - 1 4 - 0 0 - 2 3 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 0
Ball State Cardinals 0 - 1 4 - 0 1 - 0 3 - 1 0 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Central Michigan Chippewas
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @AZ 6 - 19 L +12 +15 W 2 0 0 O +-25.0 G
09/12/09 Sat @MIST 29 - 27 W +15 +14.5 W 16.5 53 50 O +- 6.0 G
09/19/09 Sat ALCORN 48 - 0 W 0 0 W 48 0 0 O +-48.0 T
09/26/09 Sat AKR 48 - 21 W -17 -15.5 W 11.5 53 54.5 O +-14.5 T
10/03/09 Sat @BUFF 20 - 13 W -8 -9.5 L -2.5 55 53 U -20.0 T
10/10/09 Sat EMI 56 - 8 W -24 -24 W 24 53 53.5 O +-10.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @WMI 34 - 23 W -7 -7 W 4 58 58 U -1.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @BG 24 - 10 W -7.5 -9.5 W 4.5 62 61.5 U -27.5 G
10/31/09 Sat @BC 10 - 31 L +3 +5 L -16 52 50 U -9.0 T
11/11/09 Wed TOL 56 - 28 W -17 -17.5 W 10.5 60.5 64.5 O +-19.5 T


Ball State Cardinals
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/03/09 Thu NTX 10 - 20 L -16 -16 L -26 0 0 O +-30.0 G
09/12/09 Sat NH 16 - 23 L 0 0 L -7 0 0 O +-39.0 G
09/19/09 Sat @ARMY 17 - 24 L +6.5 +8.5 W 1.5 42.5 42.5 U -1.5 T
09/26/09 Sat @AUB 30 - 54 L +27 +30.5 W 6.5 52 56.5 O +-27.5 G
10/03/09 Sat TOL 30 - 37 L +6 +5 L -2 60 59.5 O +- 7.5 G
10/10/09 Sat @TEMP 19 - 24 L +13 +14.5 W 9.5 49 45.5 U -2.5 T
10/17/09 Sat BG 17 - 31 L +4 +3 L -11 53 55 U -7.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @EMI 29 - 27 W -5.5 -2.5 L -0.5 48 44.5 O +-11.5 T
10/31/09 Sat OH 17 - 20 L +7 +6 W 3 44 44 U -7.0 G
11/12/09 Thu @NIL 20 - 26 L +17 +16 W 10 47 46.5 U -0.5 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/19/05 Sat CMI 31 BALLST 24 +6 +3.5 BALLST --3.5 NL NL O +-55 G
10/14/06 Sat BALLST 7 CMI 18 -8.5 -10.0 CMI +1 NL NL O +-25 T
10/06/07 Sat CMI 58 BALLST 38 -7.5 -12.5 BALLST --32.5 NL NL O +-96 G
11/19/08 Wed BALLST 31 CMI 24 +5 +6.5 CMI --0.5 58.0 61.5 U -6.5 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CMI (off) 20.5 21 32 137 4.3 33 22 0.7 222 6.7 359 0.8 0.5
BALLST (def) 26.2 21 36 139 3.9 35 24 0.7 277 7.9 416 0.8 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CMI (def) 20.5 22 32 138 4.3 40 24 0.6 274 6.9 412 0.7 0.3
BALLST (off) 18.0 15 34 140 4.1 30 14 0.5 139 4.6 279 1.0 0.6
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CMI (off) 33.1 23 37 170 4.6 31 22 0.7 233 7.5 403 0.6 0.3
BALLST (def) 28.6 19 39 155 4.0 28 18 0.6 211 7.5 366 0.6 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CMI (def) 18.0 19 34 119 3.5 34 20 0.6 222 6.5 341 0.8 0.5
BALLST (off) 20.5 16 36 165 4.6 28 14 0.5 144 5.1 309 1.2 1.1



SCORING AVERAGES:

Central Michigan Chippewas (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.5 6.2 10.7 1.5 8.3 0.0 9.8
POINTS ALLOWED 3.2 8.5 11.7 4.8 4.0 0.0 8.8



Ball State Cardinals (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.4 2.8 5.2 4.4 8.4 0.0 12.8
POINTS ALLOWED 4.8 9.8 14.6 2.8 8.8 0.0 11.6



Central Michigan Chippewas (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.1 13.1 20.2 5.8 7.1 0.0 12.9
POINTS ALLOWED 2.6 6.5 9.1 3.6 5.3 0.0 8.9



Ball State Cardinals (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.9 3.3 7.2 6.5 6.8 0.0 13.3
POINTS ALLOWED 7.1 9.8 16.9 5.2 6.5 0.0 11.7



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Central Michigan Chippewas 42.5
Ball State Cardinals 39.5 -1.0 21.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 51 UNKNOWN
 
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