CFB 11/11 to 11/15

[WildBillPicks7]

N Illini -2 1/2 (5 units) - Toledo QB banged up last game, fill in absolutely stymied the offense, Huskies RB Stingily is tough and with a wind chill near zero and some windy conditions, Huskies running game should outlast the Rockets who are not so good on the rd this year and this is a big game for N Ill for their Division in the MAC! Huskies by at least a touchdown, they won LY away by 18!

Buffalo +3 1/2 (1 unit) Zips home fav last week, zipped at home, Buffalo @ Ohio LW zipped on the rd, two teams both going in same direction, Buffalo with home field addy and better running game, zip QB still trying to get his marbles together. Buffalo small live dog play at home!!

UNDER 55 1/2 BG/Kent (3 units) - Cold and slippery ball, should aid running attack and turnovers, Kent nothing to play for, BG still in hunt for something in the MAC. 28-13 BG!

Under 68 1/2 ECU/Cincy (1 unit)
Under 72 Cal/USC (5 units)

Arkansas -2 1/2 (5 units)
Miami F +1 1/2 (5 units)
Missouri +5 1/2 (3 units)
Memphis -10 (3 units)
Alabama -6 1/2 (3 units)
Arkansas St -13 (3 units)
Wisconsin -6 (3 units)
Oregon St +10 (1 unit)
Michigan St -12 1/2 (1 unit)
UTEP -5 1/2 (1 unit)
UL-Monroe +7 1/2 (1 unit)
Texas -3 (1 unit)
SMU +11 (1 unit)
Rice +21 1/2 (1 unit)
Kansas +28 1/2 (1 unit)
N'western +17 1/2 (1 unit)
Duke -4 1/2 (1 unit)
Minnesota +12 1/2 (1 unit)
E Michigan +27 1/2 (1 unit)
Middle Tenn -5 (1 unit)
Over 55 1/2 Neb/Wisky (1 unit)
Over 58 1/2 Clem/GTech (1 unit)
Under 58 1/2 NT/UTEP (1 unit)
Under 69 1/2 Army/WK (1 unit)
Over 67 1/2 Aub/Ga (1 unit)
Over 63 1/2 Troy/Idaho (1 unit)
Over 56 Nev/AF (3 units)
Over 60 TCU/KU (3 units)
Over 62 1/2 Appy St/Ark St (3 units)
Under 69 1/2 Pitt/UNC (3 units)
Over 63 1/2 Rice/Marshall (5 units)

1 unit......95-88-2, -.80
3 unit......21-32-2, -42.7
5 unit......22-16-1, +23.0
Teasers.... 0-5-1, -9.8
Totals.....46-47-1
Sides......82-78-2
Money Line..1-2, -5.0
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...141...LOSS...144...49.77%.. Push...6.....units..-32.4 since 8/28/14

 

[WildBillPicks7]

I was doing my write ups on the top plays and freekin AOL says "Whoops", damm muddah squashers!!

My plays are in - the lines will move, so play accordingly!!

GL!

:0008

 

[Full court press]

Agree with the assessment of Jullian but Toledo's QB situation was still a gametime decision last I heard which was this morning. If no go, NIU is close to a cinch.

 

[smurphy]

Nice Louisville GOY hit last week! :0008

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Thanks for the info as usual FCP, you are on top of it!!

Thanks Smurph!! First quarter and a half had me biting my nose off, 3 times near the goal line and only 3 pts!! :facepalm: But they prevailed big time!! :00hour


Ok now for the writeups on the top plays:

Under 72 Cal/USC (5 units) - Cal can score, problem is USC can play "D" and Sark knows Cal's "O" well, Trojans will be prepared. Almost sounds like a condom commercial!! USC 38 Cal 20.

Arkansas -2 1/2 (5 units) - LSU off big home game vs Bammer, Ark off bye week, Ark gave Bammer a tough time in Ark as well, losing only 14-13. Problem here is LSU makes turnovers and Hogs should capitalize on those as well as being able to run the ball vs LSU, at least Collins should get some yards and the hogs front 7 isn't too bad, Hogs by 7!

Miami F +1 1/2 (5 units) - FSU longest winning streak, ranked #2, why weren't they favored by more than 2? Sag ratings have Miami by 8 at home with their computer, however, the skinny on this game is 61% on FSU still, though it's only Tuesday and almost a pt and a half drop in the line? Miami's front 7 and quick DBs should atone for any turnovers that Jameis can cough up. That's quite possible since the Noles had a few turnovers vs Louisville and Miami should get a few at their home field. Kaya is no longer a freshman, although that's his class title right now, each wk he's gotten better but the ace in the hole here is Duke Johnson, FSU won't be able to stop him, the Noles gave Dyer a few yards at L'ville and they'll likely do the same here. Miami by 7!

Missouri +5 1/2 (3 units) - A&M will be hungover from big win @ Aub LW, Mizzou tough in dog role in SEC and is even on paper with A&M, Hill likely just a bench warmer now and Allen with all the confidence he got last week being pin point vs Auburn, he'll have trouble with the Tigers "D".

Memphis -10 (3 units) - Memphis has had the Green Wave number for some time, but this Tiger team is much better than years past and should run over the Green Wave by 20!

Alabama -6 1/2 (3 units) - Hate to go against the #1 team in the Nation, even off their tune up game vs UT-Martin LW, Bama yeah off big rd win at LSU, but problem here is MSU's "D" is not much different than what Bama has faced this year at LSU, @ Ole Miss and @ Arkansas, the big edge here is Home field and Cooper & Yeldon and special teams for Bama, my numbers come out to a 9 pt win for Bama and that's why I'm taking them, 24-13!

Arkansas St -13 (3 units) - Red Wolves seeking solid bowl and moving up in SBC division, Appy state off 2 big home wins now run into rd trip buzz saw in Jonesboro.

Wisconsin -6 (3 units) - I hate to go against my alma mater but even with a healthy Abdullah, going into Madison is a different animal. Huskers were lucky for the BDC @ Sparty, but we just saw how good Sparty was vs Ohio St in the 4Q. Badger "D" and Gordon will be huge vs Nebraska and their top ranked "D" with Gregory and the other quick husker "D" folks, but home edge should give Badgers at least a 10 pt win at home.


Over 56 Nev/AF (3 units) - Flyboys and Wolfpack don't stop each other from scoring much, Wolfpack need wins for bowl and division.

Over 60 TCU/KU (3 units) - TCU should rack up 42 on the rd, KU has been scrappy vs TCU in the past and have nothing really to play for as they keep searching for HC for 2015, but TCU isn't bashful of giving up any pts too and after hard fought win at home vs K State LW and tough L4 games for TCU back and forth between home and away, should give the Jay-chickens at least 21 pts.

Over 62 1/2 Appy St/Ark St (3 units) - RedWolves again should be ready to roll here vs Appy St, ARK ST 49 Appy St 24.

Under 69 1/2 Pitt/UNC (3 units) - UNC had a bye week, Pitt can run and score, UNC can't stop anyone from scoring, this should be a shootout right? Well Pitt on the rd vs ACC should be a bit lower scoring as the big back for the Panthers should get some yards and QB Votyk should eat some clock vs Heels. Pitt 31 UNC 24.

Over 63 1/2 Rice/Marshall (5 units) - Conf USA shootout, undefeated Marshall team lost big time LY to Rice in Championship, this time Marshall goes for the early jugular and comes out with a high scoring affair, Marshall 41 Rice 31.

 

[BMONEY83]

Agree with the assessment of Jullian but Toledo's QB situation was still a gametime decision last I heard which was this morning. If no go, NIU is close to a cinch.

Any word who's starting at qb?

 

[WildBillPicks7]

2-0, +6 units last night, however line moved to -4 or -4 1/2 on N Illini which would have been a loser if you got it. Also that FG at the end instead of pounding it in was the difference in the game!! Carey is a real piece of work and will be lucky next year to win as many games as he has won the last 2 years since Doeren left.

GL tonight!! U Mass is high scoring, that could be an over type game again with a lil warmer conditions than were played in DeKalb last night.

:0003

 

[Destructor D]

Careful on Missouri, couple starting DB's out, one is for 1st half and other for the game for 2nd MJ possession.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

thanks for the heads up D!!

Wednesday Play:

UNDER 55 1/2 BG/Kent (3 units) - Cold and slippery ball, should aid running attack and turnovers, Kent nothing to play for, BG still in hunt for something in the MAC. 28-13 BG!

 

[Spalding]

2-0, +6 units last night, however line moved to -4 or -4 1/2 on N Illini which would have been a loser if you got it. Also that FG at the end instead of pounding it in was the difference in the game!! Carey is a real piece of work and will be lucky next year to win as many games as he has one the last 2 years since Doeren left.

GL tonight!! U Mass is high scoring, that could be an over type game again with a lil warmer conditions than were played in DeKalb last night.

:0003

Hot Rod is an idiot and will run that thing into the ground. He was the luckiest man in coaching history when he fell into the NIU job.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

3-0, +9.0 units on the week!! Big game in So Cal tonight!!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Thursday Night Games

Thursday Night Games

Under 68 1/2 ECU/Cincy (1 unit)

Under 72 Cal/USC (5 units) - Cal can score, problem is USC can play "D" and Sark knows Cal's "O" well, Trojans will be prepared. Almost sounds like a condom commercial!! USC 38 Cal 20. .

ECU plans to run the ball more this evening and questions still around Cincy QB situation with Kiel, backup is Chuckie Legaux, wind chill in teens, surface is turface, the air will be cold making it hard to grip the ball but not on the Cincy sidelines - ECU on Thursday Night ESPN games last few years, 1-7 under average total score 58 pts, Cincy had a big game on ESPN earlier in the season vs Toledo, and have been a scoring machine, however tonight with the line steaming now to 71 1/2, this is public movement, not smart movement. Play what you will but I'm sticking to the under, now you have 3 full pts to play with as I have my line at 68 1/2, my numbers come out to 62 total pts in this one, 34-28 ECU!

Under 71 now in USC/Cal game - Cal needs a win for bowl eligibility, their season has digressed since their early outburst and USC "D" wants to make a statement this evening and they should. Game should end up 38-20 as my score prediction sheet tells me.

GL tonight on whatever you are playing!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

1-1 LN, +3.9 units, now 5-1, +12.9 units!! :0corn

 

[cole]

Great start Bill!

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Great start Bill!

Thanks Cole!!

Going to be some insane outcomes on Saturday. Probably lots of sports talk late tomorrow night into early next week!!

Will be interesting to see how the warmer weather teams handle the cold and snow in the upper midwest on Saturday, TCU @ Kansas, Texas @ Okla St, both will be interesting.

Nebraska @ Wisky, Ohio ST @ Minny, NW @ ND.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Arkansas -2 1/2 (5 units)
Miami F +1 1/2 (5 units)
Missouri +5 1/2 (3 units)
Memphis -10 (3 units)
Alabama -6 1/2 (3 units)
Arkansas St -13 (3 units)
Wisconsin -6 (3 units)
Oregon St +10 (1 unit)
Michigan St -12 1/2 (1 unit)
UTEP -5 1/2 (1 unit)
UL-Monroe +7 1/2 (1 unit)
Texas -3 (1 unit)
SMU +11 (1 unit)
Rice +21 1/2 (1 unit)
Kansas +28 1/2 (1 unit)
N'western +17 1/2 (1 unit)
Duke -4 1/2 (1 unit)
Minnesota +12 1/2 (1 unit)
E Michigan +27 1/2 (1 unit)
Middle Tenn -5 (1 unit)
Over 55 1/2 Neb/Wisky (1 unit)
Over 58 1/2 Clem/GTech (1 unit)
Under 58 1/2 NT/UTEP (1 unit)
Under 69 1/2 Army/WK (1 unit)
Over 67 1/2 Aub/Ga (1 unit)
Over 63 1/2 Troy/Idaho (1 unit)
Over 56 Nev/AF (3 units)
Over 60 TCU/KU (3 units)
Over 62 1/2 Appy St/Ark St (3 units)
Under 69 1/2 Pitt/UNC (3 units)
Over 63 1/2 Rice/Marshall (5 units)

1 unit......95-88-2, -.80
3 unit......21-32-2, -42.7
5 unit......22-16-1, +23.0
Teasers.... 0-5-1, -9.8
Totals.....46-47-1
Sides......82-78-2
Money Line..1-2, -5.0
Half time...1-0, +5.0
Game of Year...L'ville -3 (WON) 11/08/14, L'ville 38 BC 19, +10.0 units
TOTAL OF YEAR...0-1, -11.0, Over 43 UCF/Tulane, UCF 20 Tulane 13, 10/18/14
WON...141...LOSS...144...49.77%.. Push...6.....units..-32.4 since 8/28/14

Big day today!! Lots of line movements since I posted my plays, weather going to play small roles in some midwest games and late night rocky mountain areas!

GL today!!

:0008

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Going for a middle here, already played UNDER 58 1/2 UTEP/NT for 1 unit, now playing Over 46 1/2 UTEP/NF for 1 unit!!


GLE!!

:0003

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Overall not a bad week, 5-6 on totals and 17-8 on sides. I promise ya'll this, I will not have 30 something plays out next week!! I've got my formula down and will only post those plays that come close to a 3 or 5 unit plays as those are the strongest plays my numbers come out to be. 22-14 overall, +15.2 units or $15,200 for dime players!!

Miami loss was a stellar fuck job!! Miami misses an extra pt taking them out of the FG equation at the end of the game and the kid misses an ez FG. You can't beat FSU by not capitalizing on their give aways, just ask L'ville and N C State that, two teams that had FSU beat SU!! Like with winning results, you have to finish the job to get to the payday!!

FSU will lose before the season's end and bowl games!!

GL this coming week!!

:0003